martes, 4 de septiembre de 2012

THE EUROPE OF THE EURO DIES HOPELESSLY, THE II GREAT WORLD DEPRESSION THIS SERVED


It is not significant the one that Germany and unite two or three more nations, be with the barely positive GDP, in front of this, 8 countries of the euro are in recession and the second country the second European economy it is in an unstable balance. The end of this situation doesn't seem another that the II great world depression, the first one began or you uncover in the USA, this he has gotten ready and it will explode here in Europa this is already a reality. 

The question now is to begin to think how you will leave this reality, because to avoid it is no longer possible. The first thing that it would be necessary to avoid, is that the situation concludes as the first one, in a world conflagration, although I should say that in these moments I see it difficult to avoid, the great depression of the 29 causes a brutal economic setback I ruin to the society and whole nations, surprisingly in that occasion the most affected one was Germany, so much was so alone Hitler's Social Nationalism, achievement to take from of the misery to the country and its society. 

Toward 1933, the German economy had not still overcome the economic politics’ negative impact implemented by a government that bet for the deflation to leave the crisis. The government's decision of staying in the economic orthodoxy of contention generated more unemployment, the fall of the gross internal product, and the collapse of the bank system, the bad social situation, and more the fear of the advance of the communism is the key to understand Hitler's arrival and the party National Socialist to the power. Today there is not feared to the communists they no longer exist, but Germany is in the same tessitura in what concerns to the rest of its environment. Today their fear is not another that being threatened by the social lust of its neighbors and partners of the south. 

The question it is that Germany this become obstinate again and before the same situation, in maintaining their economic orthodoxy for the simple, but important fact, that he has gone him very up to now, but this orthodoxy cannot maintain it because being a more global economy, like it is that of the euro, it impedes that the realities of the other economies, evolutions toward the exit of the recession, it is incredible that Germany doesn't see that its strength is not enough to maintain the CE, and it is not this the problem, but rather he also offers an image to its partners like that he will be able to stay as an oasis of rich country, amid an enormous desert populated by poor countries, this is so absurd that I reach the conclusion that Germany had already thrown the towel and he doesn't want to fix the CE but just the opposite that he dies. 

The other European countries, they should react and to go against the German politicians should understand that to follow this game takes them without remission to the economic depression and a social setback of more than 50 years.  Germany has a market and an unbalanced industrial potentiality, that is to say its internal market cannot sustain its industry, this it depends on the world and of course of the europa rest, this that they saw the initiators of the idea of the common market clearly, and that in the spring of 1951 Konrad Adenauer rushes with the signature of the treaty of the coal and of the steel, it seems that the current politicians don't come it, it is this the problem of the europa of the euro, sincerely I believe that yes. 

It is evident also that the imbalance that Germany has been imposed between its industrial and productive potentiality and its internal economy, it has unbalanced the economies of the CE indirectly, it is evident that now no European country can be redoes without the help, or redistribution of the money or of the industry that Germany stores, it is astonishing to see that besides the whole industry they are also added the whole economic resources, that is to say all the money that has generated the poor europa that is to say the rest is invested in German funds or in deposits in its banks because if not the euro could maintain on evaluation of 26% on the dollar.  

The reality today is clear, there is not any country of the euro area able to be left outside of the depression in that we have entered already, it is rather on the contrary they will go falling in her one after other, those that resist trying to put personalized economic measures, will see that they didn't work, because the economic market had bet alone for the security of the German euro and Germany knows it and he believes that of it depends it its economy and here it is where he makes a mistake.  

To know if this situation has been planned by the own Germany, or on the contrary it has been happened by the unit lack and vision of the national politicians developed by the nations that we conform the euro area, I consider it is a matter of vital importance, since as it is the result of the analysis of this situation, the measures to take can be some or others. 

Anyway the surest thing, is that it is for a German imperialistic planning or for a negligence of the other ones, the reality is that the solutions are not others that to the balance of the euro area, and for there is it to unify debts and economies, and to devaluate the euro at least 20%. This or the breakup of the euro area and to return to the old economies of competitiveness among nations, thing that I fear myself is the more ones for sure it happens, because I doubt that Germany wants to lose its supremacy in favor of their neighbors. 

If this is this way such and as I see it, this depression won't have more remedy than to finish again with the one conflagration at European level that returns the balance with the help of the own destruction of the economies, to redo them again in a more balanced mark, if this destruction is made I eat up to now for bureaucratic means we will be able to us to give for satisfied, the bad thing is that there are many numbers so that this destruction is physical and with the help of a new world conflagration.  

No hay comentarios:

Publicar un comentario