Everybody economic and politician coincides, all know and they know the
situation and the problems. The perspectives for the world economy in 2013 are
very black; they are not at all favorable: recession in Europe, anemic growth
in the best in the cases in United States, and an abrupt deceleration in China
and in most of the emergent economies.
The Asian economies are exposed to the readjustments of China. Latin America
is exposed to smaller prices of matters cousins (as China and the advanced
economies you des accelerations), Europe central and oriental are exposed to
the still confusion of the euro and the economic politics of the euro area. And
the turbulences in the Middle East are causing serious economic risks (so much
there as in other parts) as it continues high the geopolitical risk and,
therefore, the prices of the petroleum can that they limit the global
growth.
There is no longer doubt that there is recession in the euro zone. Although
it is not possible to predict their depth and duration, neither if it will be
general and with the same intensity in all their extension, my opinion is that
there will be different recessions, the constant contraction of the credit, the
problems of sovereign debt, the lack of competitiveness and the fiscal
austerity imply a serious one and in some places very deep economic
contraction.
United States that grows at a snail's pace from 2010 faces considerable
risks to the drop due to the crisis of the euro zone. It should also fight with
a significant fiscal ballast, for that reason the new saving measures in
expenses of the state that have been forced by law for the contention of the
brutal deficit with which the USA cohabits, the political stagnation that has
begun among democratic and republicans have to the blocked country and they
won't have new initiatives to longer term
Meanwhile, they are more and more obvious the flaws in the pattern of
growth of China. The fall of the real estate prices is detonating a reaction in
chain that will have a negative effect in the construction companies, the
investment and the government's revenues. But with everything I don't believe
that Chinese suffers if she will make it the international financial world
because is put in all that smells of expansible bubble.
The situation in Africa and everybody Islamic it is of a such complexity
that cannot be more than with the luck, so that they get ready the things and
it can leave the economic atony that they suffer these regions gives you
immemorial times, the petrodollars don't change the whole complex Islamic, but
rather alone world they unbalance it more and more the social and tribal fights
and nuns confuse the real objectives of the society and they maintain it
anchored in kind of a similar dark age to the western medieval time.
As he said in the heading all we know what happens, but the reality is that
nobody can put order and remedy to all that we know that it happens. Curious
paradox but simple very simple of understanding, the knowledge of the situation
is thing of the globalization, the problems are caused by the globalization,
but however the globalization is not prepared for globalized the solutions,
because the solutions are not global, as well as neither they are it the
politicians, the beliefs, and the societies.
Already days ago in my comments I demand the retreat of the theory of the
globalization that is destroying the world, but it is a similar case to the contamination
all we know that we contaminate and that it is bad for all, but who he wants to
do without of her, but this is an error, the globalization he has an effect
contrary to which is supposed, the globalization it doesn't balance neither
societies, neither economies, neither political, neither resources, but just
the opposite.
The globalization what globalize is the speculation, and it makes worse the
social, and economic imbalances in the world, it is necessary to disable the
idea of the globalization and to change it for the cooperation, that is to say
it is necessary to give to each society the possibility to supplement him in
what is necessary him to prosper in its future and in its economy, and not to
force him to apply what was them well in its day to some few ones, under some
circumstances that are not repeat in other atmospheres and circumstances, this
performance practice is very from the USA that they believe always that
everybody should be as them, to practice its system of life, to follow the
rules of its economy, and until they should speak in English.
I believe that the USA took in its moment the idea that as them they knew
all that passed in the world, they were the suitable ones in unifying and globalized
the world to its image and likeness and they rushed to it, the consequences
will be brutal if we didn't stop this aberrant politics suddenly, and
characteristic of a country and some specialists and political that are single
preparations to understand to the USA but that centuries they still lack them
to understand what is the world and its disparity minimally.
The global situation of the world that is indispensable that we have to
solve it as soon as possible, we have to solve it even solving each one their
own imbalances that have been caused by the application of a false and mistaken
theory, for those that benefit them in principle, and that today like to all it
is ruining them and making go back or it is not this way.
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