The
situation of the unemployment of Spain is unnatural and you cannot continue
hiding the situation, because of maintaining the theory that the politicians
adduce, that it is the economic crisis it is the causing of the same one, he
won't be able to never get ready. The economic crisis if he has an incidence in
the sense that for their cause you the economic structure on that the excessive
growth of Spain was based collapses. To demonstrate my theory and that my
readers see it graphically, I have made the graph that is shown next.
In
this graph one can observe that our half level of unemployment is in a fringe
of between the 10 and 20 percent according to the data accumulated from 1980,
so the thing that first it jumps visible, it is that these figures so outside
of the European stocking are the normal ones in our country, this behavior line
presents an inferior tip concretely to 10% 8% among the triennium 2004/2007
that it was really the triennium of gold of the Spanish economy.
In
this point another important variable converges to understand the current
situation, if they look at the superior lines of the graph they will be
reflected the demographic evolution in Spain in the same periods, in the graph
this chapter is presented in two lines a green one that is the process we could
call of natural growth, and another in red that is the consequence of an
increase forced by the limitless growth and desire of wealth of the Spanish
economy. At this time we show off of being 47 million Spaniards, when the
logical thing had been to be 42 millions, the jump in demography happens in the
first decade of this century and it is brutal, the two previous decades that is
to say the 80 and the 90 you grew to rhythm of 1,8 million inhabitants per
decade and in the decade 2000/2010 you grew in 5,9 millions, take out
yourselves its conclusions.
They
already come it the situation of the Spanish unemployment, it is not only
direct cause of the European economic stagnation, if it doesn't cause of the
artificial imbalance of two concepts. A. - The terrible planning of the
industrial development of Spain that I base their growth on the construction
des measured, and B. - The demographic imbalance that I cause, and that now no
matter how much we want, we won't end up growing enough to absorb so much
manpower as we have. If in these moments in Spain has a logical population of
42 million inhabitants, the unemployment would possibly be being about 17% it
calculates that it would maintain us inside the Spanish structural"
"normality.
I
say that of the normality, because the curve of the reflective Spanish
unemployment with accuracy the historical moments, it ascends in the periods of
the crisis of the 80, it lowers in the moment of the entrance in the European
community 1986 and until the celebration of the Olympiads in Barcelona, passing
the euphoria ascends another time until almost 19% in 1994 for the stagnation that
suffered the Spanish economy after the games, and the projects of
infrastructures carried out by Felipe Gonzalez socialists, it begins again to
get off the hand of the political change carried out by the PP of Aznar,
although surprisingly the lowest tip happens to Zapatero socialist government
that coincides with the Bum of the construction, and from this moment until
today the total debacle, like they come almost everything he has explanation.
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