The attitude of Catalonia
in Spain and its internal fight of the country, is similar to the one that one
lives at level of the Euro area, with the richest countries complaining about
the poorest. Also, reflective something that is passing at internal level in
several European countries, since the problem of Catalonia is not isolated.
Belgium, with the problems between flamingos and Walloon, is the other great
focus of internal tension at European level. But it is that also, in other
countries in more stable principle as Italy and Germany, problems are arising
with the subsidies to the poorest regions, although it is in smaller measure.
And it is that in
definitive all these problems either have the same origin THE INEQUALITY:
social, economic, or fiscal, and now in Catalonia they join the three
conditions, in the whole continent there are old tensions for the unequal
economic development that now come to resurge in form of political problems,
look in the non alone bottom it is Catalonia the one that puts in a problem to
Spain, it is that the own Spain is making the same thing with the euro area, I
ignore if he has threatened her to become independent of the euro, I believe
that not, but it is more than evident that the Spanish government is trying of
blackmailing to the whole rich part of the euro area, with his attitude of if
but not, of if I catch the rescue that if I don't need it that if I complete
the deficit that if I don't complete it etc.
But the advantage of Catalonia,
is that it is not an alone a problem for Spain, if it doesn't stop the group of
the euro area. This way, the drift sovereignty represents a "great
threat" for the hopes of the European leaders of containing the debt
crisis with the stabilization of Spain. The plan of Brussels is to maintain
Spain it floats while the investors digest the losses in Greece, where there
are still bigger problems.
Before the situation
of uncertainty, the financial markets simply become agitated with the fact that
it is spoken of secession. The investors fear that the Catalan revolt prevents
the central government to control the expense of the Autonomous Communities,
one of the big problems of Spain. Europe knows that Spain is to 50% Madrid and
50% Catalonia if it fails anyone of two, good-bye Spain and possibly good-bye
euro area, at least such and as we know it now.
At the moment,
"the president Artur Mas" it avoids the word "independence"
to define their objectives, this gives a blow of hope and it loosens the
tension that the topic causes in europa, maybe some political and economic
commentators that Catalonia would simply be given for satisfied with a more
favorable agreement to their interests in tax matter think. However, the
impulse for the growing support to the secession, and its speech, with its
famous sentence of "Catalonia wants to have instruments of State" he
has lit the alarms in the whole euro area.
Europe picks up the
numbers that he usually gives the Generalitat on the fiscal deficit: those
already well-known 16.000 millions, 8% of the Catalan GDP, and the complaint
that alone they return to Catalonia 43% of the taxes that are paid there. Also,
it highlights that an independent Catalonia would have, in theory, a rent per
capita of 30.500 annual Eurus, the seventh bigger than the fair European Union
behind Denmark and above countries like Germany. But they also think that some
Catalan sovereignty is painting a more beautiful square of that that in fact
would be". The problem is that the Spanish government is not able to or it
doesn't facilitate other reasonably specific numbers that rebut it, with what
the Catalan version is the hypothesis to shuffle.
Some economists
contrary to this movement or tune the Spanish central government they adduce
without any type of figures, ideas and chapters of expenses, such as:
Catalonia, a region would rot of for yes highly you get in debt and with
deficit, to confront the enormous economic cost of opening embassies in the
entire world, to create its own police and agency of customers and possibly its
own army, Catalonia would have to assume a part of the Spanish total debt.
Let us see today Catalonia
he already pays their proportional part of the complex Spanish state, and Catalonia
this indebted one in relation to the debt that has acquired the Spanish state,
remember you that Catalonia doesn't have access free to the international
markets, as he doesn't have it any Spanish CCAA, it already has its own police
and it contributes I repeat, to the diplomatic and fiscal expenses of Spain,
all these contributions in the event of becoming independent would not leave
the region and they would be good to create and to assume the creation of
structures of the new state that now not alone it already shares, but rather
also help to other costs of the Spanish state that it distributes gracefully in
other CCAA,
The only reasonable
doubt and certainly of capital importance, it is if this hypothetical new state
would be accepted in the European Union, especially if the other part, in this
case Spain, opposes you. The Spanish government's diverse positions, also,
remember that the from the Generalitat expenses like the cost of the rescue of
Catalan banks have been obviated, when promoting the benefits of the independent,
this is not certain in Catalonia it is not counted alone with this, if not with
the assumption on behalf of the Spanish sovereign debt, quantities and forms
that would be part of the logical negotiation in the event of a non traumatic
process neither I force of segregation
In spite of
everything, you threaten, calamities, non solidarity accusations and all that they
want, seems that every time there is more people in Catalonia than he decants
for the secession. There are a lot of people that was not a couple of years ago
now in favor of the independence you see it as the only hope", assures Laia
Serrano, economist that the last year formed the community “Barcelona he Acts”
to help the victims of the recession.
Internationally since
the hypothetical segregation of Catalonia of Spain, you cannot consider a
danger from the point of view of the new state, but from the situation the old
Spain would be of how, robbed of one of its two motors that surprisingly is in
alone social representation 16%, but that it represents 46% of the economy of
Spain.
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