martes, 19 de febrero de 2013

WE CONTINUE WITH THE "BILLS" OF THOUSAND AND ONE NIGHTS


The commercial deficit closed the year 2012 in 30.757,4 million Eurus, what supposes a descent of 33,6% regarding the previous year, according to diffused data this Tuesday for the Secretary of State of Trade, in press wheel. The fact seems good and partly it is it but it is necessary to gauge it to decide if it is thrills or simply caused by the forced adjustments carried out by the government low command of the UE 

The first comparative fact begins bad because this result is consequence of the increment of 3,8% of the exports, up to 222.643,9 million Eurus, in front of a descent of the imports of 2,85%, up to 253.401,2 million Eurus. This indicates that the result comes helped and a lot for the reduction of imports what can be sign of a drop of accused activity and denounced by the fall of the Spanish GDP so this has a component of optimism because he also tells us that the export had increased, but here it is necessary to make a shade if the low GDP is that he has not taken place more, but rather it has been sold more it was so of hopes anything of anything. 

Because it has been sold but we have manufactured more not at all if has been this way the GDP it would have ascended instead of lowering. According to the Ministry of Economy, the biggest competitiveness in the Spanish exports owes herself, mainly, to the descent of the unitary labor costs, to the increase of the companies that they export and to the orientation to new markets, they allow to explain the favorable results of the commercial scale in spite of the recessive situation. Said otherwise we are but cheap we manufacture cheaper things with companies that are not the sufficiently big ones as to modify I repeat the GDP and we get paid less to work. 

This is also in evidence when, the covering rate, the percentage of the imports that they can be paid with the exports, reached the maximum of 87,86%, a fact without precedents in the registrations, we return to the same thing it is not good news, although it is not bad, it is simply logical if we buy less and we sell but, the result is this it cannot be another. The imports have fallen in almost all the departures except for the purchases of energy products that 11% has grown because of the high energy dependence of the exterior, mainly of the petroleum and their derived. This has taken to that the energy deficit 13,9% has grown regarding 2011, up to 45.503,7 millions.  

That we export and to who will also give us an idea of if we go for the one on the way to the resurgence or of the sinking we see: The balance with the Union European, main commercial partner of Spain, registered a surplus of 12.571,1 millions, the triple of the one obtained in 2011, good fact in spite of the economic recession of the region. Almost all the economic sectors, less that of the automobile, the semi not manufactures chemical and some goods of durable consumption, increased their exports last year the, wrong fact the expensive thing doesn't work. The most dynamic sector was that of the foods, with an increase of the sales to the exterior of 11,7%, mainly for the ascent of the exports of meats and drinks, little value added wrong goes that they are sales for price and for product exclusivity.  

They continue him the consumption factories and the chemical products, with increments of the 6,8 and 6,4%, respectively, we return to the same effect discount of manpower costs the chemical ones they are almost here all multinationals installed, as long as the team goods - first sector exporter - their sales increased 1,6%. Nevertheless, inside this last sector it is necessary to highlight the ascent of 12,4% of the machinery exports for the industry and of 3,3% of the sales of other goods like motors and electric apparatuses and of precision, this yes it is interesting. 

We continue to see who our clients are, this will give us an idea of the good ones that we are against but important he is the client but we can value our product. The exports directed to France (first destination country) they fell 6,2%, while the sales to Germany (second destination) 6,7% grew. Somebody compensates the thing we continue, Of the rest of the world it is necessary to underline the peak from the sales to Africa that 30,6% increased and where the main addressee is Morocco, with some purchases to Spain in 2012 for amount of 5.294,6 millions. It also highlights the increment from the sales to Australia, with a balance in 2012 of 2.217,1 millions, 43,6% more than one year before. 

Onlooker doesn't appear Latin America, that means that or we have smashed or they have smashed, or maybe it is that we will have installed the services that we lose here, there with the graveness that little by little they nationalized them to us, in definitive our GDP almost falls a 2% and our economy seeks to recover it selling Africa and Australia, wrong goes, this leaves clear that there is not any on the way to exit toward but there of the Pyrenees on one hand, and that the oceans are very big for our products and neither they can cross them. Where this China, the India, Brazil, the USA etc. that is to say the authentic motors and world markets, already come it better not to make bills, or at least not to present them as if was an achievement they are a total disaster, they demonstrate that we don't have products and that we don't have technology to compete in the authentic markets, there where they play it to him the big ones, to increase the GDP will be this way almost impossible task and this will go us reducing more and more, until being to the bottom of the economy of the euro. 

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