ANSWER TO THE REPORT OF CONSEQUENCES OF THE INDEPENDENCE DE CATALONIA FOR SPAIN

After reading the document of the ministry of external matters that yesterday made public the minister Margallo like an argument more inside the operative of attack on the part of the Spanish government, to the intention of a consultation to the Catalan society about the possibility of deciding its future, they are clear two things: one that are no longer in the consultation discussion, but rather Spain gives for fact that Catalonia is gone and he becomes independent, unless the fear impedes it. And the other one is that the wrongs and disasters are surprisingly unidirectional, that is to say hidden Spain to their society the effects that would carry Spain the same disasters that outline for Catalonia.  

I allow myself the freedom of making a comparison work and analysis from the repercussion to the Spanish state of the same consequences that they will happen to Catalonia in the event of their independence. 

- Effects on the External sector. - 

According to this report it assures that the exports of Catalonia would be off, he adduces by reason of having imposed taxes’ and other and it values for Catalonia some losses of 7.400 million Eurus by reason of lack of competitiveness when increasing their the costs of the carried out exports (data of 2012) 36.716 millions to the UE and other 30.335 millions to the euro area well are not to discuss if it is this way or not but yes it is for sure Spain would lose 67.151 million that now it exports through Catalonia and that he would stop to export it is clear. 

But it doesn't finish the thing here the following data they refer to the remaining exports outside of europa, to the world and the rest of Spain the exports according to the report ascend to 58.853 million Eurus at the world, and 49.131 to the rest of Spain the explanations and calculations of loses of these exports don't care, what it cares is that Spain would stop to export 58.853 million Eurus integers what is Catalonia, I repeat it is to see, but what is safe is that it would not lose everything. 

According to this chapter the reality is that Spain would lose 126.004 million Eurus I repeat that it doesn't care now what of these figures Catalonia would maintain for its competitiveness for its product quality and for its commercial ability. 

- Tourism. - 

In this chapter the incoherence of the study is already exaggerated according to the data (2012) specified in him Catalonia he received 4.082.000 of internal tourists or Spaniards and 14.447.000 coming from the foreigner, I make the same consideration again I don't care all the suppositions that he offers the study of the ministry of tourists' discount and revenues for rate increase and for not having the euro supposedly (it sews that this but that confirmed that you could use) well that that yes it is safe it is that Spain would lose 14.447.000 tourists that now leave IVA and other in Catalonia and me I believe that they would still come more for the single fact of the novelty from to visit a new European state and to see what it passes in him. 

- Public debt. - 

As soon as the debt public Catalan this it ascends to 53.665 million Eurus 27,2% of the Catalan GDP, and here another absurdity takes place, because if the process of independence takes place without negotiation and with the threats that up to now the government from Spain proclaims us, it is evident that the Catalan answer will be an independence formulated unilaterally, since otherwise, they would not have lost of tourism, of sales to Spain, of integration problems to the Euro area, etc., this is clear, but it is not this way according to the ministry he sends us the plagues and above he wants to endorse us a part of ITS SOVEREIGN DEBT, this is already the last thing, if they are taken to effect all the threats of the Spanish state, Catalonia won't have any obligation to live neither legal of absorbing anything of Spanish debt, this is logical as you will alleviate a "enemy" that alone he thinks of bothering you instead of reaching negotiated agreements.  

This is very important because Catalonia with a debt of 53.665 million Eurus and a GDP of 165.000 millions (deduced 20 reduction% that it predicts the ministry) he would have some economic parameters of debt sovereign 32.5% of their GDP that would give him the credit qualification of AA, with what I doubt has problems of being financed in Eurus or dollars or with Swiss francs. And here I finish but if I mean my Spanish countrymen that ask to the ministry, to Margallo, or to Montoro which it would be the percentage of sovereign debt of Spain of an amount of 940.000 million Eurus and a GDP of 800.000 millions, and that credit qualification would give this calculation.