It
continues and it will continue for some days the situation in Crimea like,
"very confused and difficult" that it is the plan of Russia, not to
make anything of abnormal for them that is to say to put their soldiers to go
for a walk for Crimea and to make see that it has conquered it and that it will
defend it if it is necessary, indeed armed men, without a doubt troops of the
infantry of marine Russian without distinguishing characteristics, and maybe
supported by special units of the recently dissolved Ukrainian police in Kíev, yesterday,
what seems a full one taking of control of the neuralgic centers, of being able
to and of communication of this peninsula of two million inhabitants, monument
of the Russian military glories from the XVIII century and whose population is
for the most part Russian and opposing of the régime change that has taken place
in Kiev, as consequence of a strange mixture of popular revolt, and settling of
accounts among oligarchies.
This
should not confuse to occident and I refer to the UE and the NATO, no matter
how much from Kiev it is denounced the armed invasion and "occupation that
it violates all the agreements and international" norms, Crimea it is a
small peninsula that has their value for Russia, because there he is the base
of their naval armada in the south flank, locked in the Black sea and it is
their strategic exit to the Mediterranean, this is already a fact from final of
the II world war it doesn't owe us then of missing their interest. It is more I
believe that to negotiate their secession and independence is a good trick so
that Ukraine negotiates without unnecessary pressures (included Russia) the new
politics that should consolidate if he really wants to be part of the UE and
not of Russia.
He
told it yesterday we should not allow ourselves to attract for anything, Russia
continues being a country of cardboard stone, a lot of facade mainly military
but unable of sustaining its cost, neither of maintenance, by no means of
activation, its ability rests in giving the appearance of an enormous but alone
machinery of war it is that, appearance, the alone Russian economy it is its
petroleum and its gas and if it puts in danger the export of these products,
inside the country there is not nothing else, for that reason the Russian
strategies before the international conflicts are of I dialogue and intervention
threats but of there it doesn't happen, and he doesn't make it because it could
not sustain neither the helps neither the protection that he promises and that
it could not complete more than some few months.
The
president in grateful Ukrainian functions as such for the European Union,
Aleksandr Turchínov) he requests to the Council of Security of the UN that he
takes letters in the matter on behalf of the territorial integrity of Ukraine
of what understands each other as something more similar to begin a chess
departure that to a coarse armed intervention. Yesterday the control of the
situation on the part of those armed men seemed total: airports, communications
and closed air space. And while that operation, for the time being perfect, it
was executed without the smallest incident and with the support of most of the
population, the Russian minister of exterior told to the Secretary of State
John Kerry in a phone conversation that "Russia doesn't think to violate
the sovereignty of Ukraine". I believe it, today Putin, doesn't want a
Ukraine against Russia and vice versa.
It
is but not alone it doesn't interest him that confrontation, but rather in the
bottom he waits that the economic intervention and with it of the measures of
restrictions and control on the part of occident to Ukraine, they can take to
destabilize to a society that has the belief in the bottom that being europa,
they will tie the dogs with sausages, and Russia will always be there for if
the longings of freedom are deflated, to put its grain of sand and to
destabilize to the country, it is not that Russia helped her economically
because he is not able to, it will simply get him to wear away economic
occident and politically with another problem, this time yes, enormous because
Ukraine is comparable to Spain for size and population.
Let
us don't please make but crossed useless, let us understand the reality of the
circumstances Crimea it is historically a very important trick and
strategically speaking for Russia, and not of now but always, the test is that
Crimea this in 80% populated by origin people and Russian ethnos, there this
its agreement armada with a treaty of 1997 and certainly if Ukraine doesn't
want to maintain this situation, it is necessary to keep in mind that he has
the second army more big of europa after that of the own Russia and that it
also belongs to the NATO, so please we don't make of saviors of the history
that enough problems have in the UE
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