THE INABILITY OF UNDERSTANDING ITS OWN ECONOMY ANNULS TO THE EUROPEAN UNION.

 

It seems already truly the game of the nonsense, step them of the European Union they demand changes Germany and France they second the idea but they go in against position their proposals, the outlying countries are attentive to their guidelines. Result the European economy collapses, then so that we want an Union, so that we need an European economy, if we don't know how to manage it, better it would be to break it and to enter again in the national competition of each economy in front of the other ones, and to have like that is digested.  

Made this introduction wants to pass to outline the one that I believe it is the solution for the European Union regarding its global economy. I diagnose it is that the European Union seeks to stabilize an economy very above its reality and possibility, I believe that incomprehensibly the Union Europe, wants to agree with to the German theses regarding the competitiveness and to the productivity, and for consequence to the economic strength. And God willing can be made, but somebody has to study the reality and to say it so much to government's advice in Brussels, like to Germany, the conglomerate mosaic of nations that they form the current European Union and more concretely the euro area, in no way it cannot sustain the productive economic ratios of Germany, it is impossible structural and I would say that until physically.  

An economy based on the industrialization and the commercial surplus as the German sustained by 82.000.000 of inhabitants, is impossible to expand it at 350.000.000 of inhabitants, (alone in the euro area), and much less in more than 500 millions of the current European Union. Let us be sensible if him GDP of Germany you extrapolates like standardize for the whole union, the macroeconomic figures would jump to the impossible thing we see if not, the GDP of Germany is considered more or less in 2.8 trillion Eurus 34.500 Eurus per capita. The GDP of the rest of the euro area is that is to say of 7,4 trillion Eurus about 31.000 Eurus per capita, that tells us that the area euro to be equaled, its GDP should increase in 833 billions Eurus with that that the GDP of the euro serious area of approximately 11,5 trillion Eurus or 15 Trillion dollars the USA is in 14.2 trillion Dollars. We really believe that we are more than the first world power. 

These macroeconomic figures leave well to the white that one cannot make an economic politics in europa, to image and likeness of Germany for the whole context of countries and societies incorporated in the union, it is necessary to break this idea or it is necessary to organize compensations it is necessary to carry out plans of relocation of productions or what is wanted, but you cannot seek that Greece has a GDP like Germany, it is absurd and impossible, I don't say it in pejorative sense to the Greek society, it is that he doesn't have possible infrastructure the own country for it, neither it should be created in the case that one can, because another fundamental point also exists if the euro area ends up expanding its GDP to the analyzed figures, where it would place its production, of where it would take out its commercial surplus, we should flood the China and the USA of products "Made in UE." 

This whole reasoning comes for the continuous fact of the economic positions of the German frank axis, but of German that of French but good leaves it to me this way, Germany seeks and Europe doesn't deny it that the deficits is balanced to solve the sovereign debts, debts that are been in fact of 15 years to have passed trying to balance the social rents of the inhabitants of the area euro, without controlling that this could not be true, and for that reason it is appealed to the leverage with the sovereign debts, without any real support behind. 

We don't go this way anywhere except to the total ruin, the area euro what has to make once and for all is to accept this reality and re dimensioned their economy reducing it a lot, and assuring it face to the external markets, fact that would allow him to resurge with certain force. the European Union should already emit once and for all about 2 trillion Eurus, these two trillions mean 16% of the current global GDP, this quantity would be negotiated by the BCE with the help of the setting in circulation of 2 trillion new Eurus, that would make lower the rate of the European foreign currency that we cannot really sustain in spite of the small movements to the drop that is causing these last days because they are making it lower the markets without we take out profit some of this circumstance. 

I don't know to what extent it would lower the Euro in front of the Dollar but I not calculate more than 20% what would leave their value among a fork of 105/110 dollars / euro, let us remember that when the euro started he was given a parity of 0.909 dollars / euro, so still we leave winning, this besides tranquilizing the collection of the whole European debt and admitting that it could seem this maneuver kind of an it removes of 20% as concession to the not well thought markets of the debt, he would give the reactivation of the European industry as a result, and mainly of the interior trade, because they should be lowered for force the imports. 

And against the opinion of the BCE I don't believe that it went up the inflation beyond 4/6%, in the moment of change of last system the fright together with the gradual ascent of the price of the money in about two years would be in the inflation that the BCE of 2% wants starting from here the economy would pass to depend more than the interior market that not of the export market that alone he benefits to one of the members, this it is economic solution that they don't want to see, an economy that is the one that makes big to the to the USA whose potential is now its internal consumption that is it’s your moneybox, if they prefer to look toward another side, it is that what they want is that many leave the European Union definitively.