lunes, 24 de agosto de 2015

THE ISLAM UNBALANCES TO THE WORLD THAT ALREADY THIS TO POINT OF FALLING ALONE



Last month the western powers signed a historical agreement with Iran with the objective of limiting their nuclear program. To change, they committed to lift the economic sanctions and to connect Iran with the rest of the world when this happened I wrote that it could be a great news although he didn't know when the serious today everything indicates that I make a mistake and it will be a very bad news for all. 

And partly it is logical that it is this way because two very disparate but confluent circumstances converge to the same one, time they will do on one hand the agreement with Iran it benefitted to the world with the idea that they would not have but atomic bombs in hands of a country that the certain thing is that this watched by numerous divergent religious and political forces and that the in turn seeks to be head of a very dispersed Islamic movement for the time being this gave like I say the tranquility that one day to somebody gave him the idea of using the atomic energy to finish with their dissident enemies and already in passing with the whole world. 

But there am here that if it won't happen an atomic hecatomb if an economic hecatomb that is already unbalancing the world will happen and it can cause an authentic geopolitical disaster with an Islamic war that will become like it happened in the two last European wars in world, this now is more possible because the reality is that if neither there has been for already 70 years another war of world character has been thanks to the atomic bombs of the USA, Russia, France, Great Britain, Israel, and some more camouflaged. 

A world war with these weapons is unthinkable because it would not serve since as anything it would not be anything after her this that scares all is in fact the most effective life insurance, so that to make a war for not taking out benefit then some this it is the reality that he has brought us until the century 21 in "peace". But the things are putting on to shot (never better used the expression) a war to shots or conventional bombs if it can be made and it is more, I believe that there are many political and military cabinets that they should be studying it and advising that it is not expected more. 

As he told the ex-president of Israel, Shimon Pérez, in Davos the last year, Israel is no longer a threat for the Arab countries in the Middle East. From the invasion of Iraq the map of East Means has changed almost 12 years ago. ISIS has become the enemy number one. The reports of their cruelties on behalf of the Islam sunita are overwhelming. Their combatants don't distinguish among military and civil objectives. It is not possible to negotiate with a group whose objective is to kill or to expel to the yazidis, Christian and chiies, and to revoke the governments Arab sunitas to establish its version of a caliphate in the entire world Arabic. 

The Arab world and the western today they also wonder How to stop such a cruel movement that he doesn't keep in mind the civil population's life? ISIS is arming with heavy military team and it is developing tactical effective. It proves of it is it that up to now, even with the wide air support of the American forces, the Iraqi army has been unable to stop them, the objective that ISIS pursues is a military victory and implacable social control and the total governability of the Islamic world. 

United States and their allies don't have the necessary support to begin a lingering invasion of Iraq and Syria. On the other hand, the Arab States doesn't seem willing to commit its own forces to defeat ISIS. It is not strange: it would be to the monarchies suníes difficult to convince to their own town that the destruction of ISIS is worthwhile, because besides the human and economic cost, ISIS is car-proclaimed as the true defender of the ideal purer sunitas. The problem is very difficult of solving, it is as if to the capitalist Europeans tells us that makes the war to the USA. No matter how much its economic aggressiveness is collapsing to all, it would be we very difficult to understand that he/she is our enemy. 

For everything it, I believe that the strategic objective that has allowed the signature of the nuclear agreement with Iran is to facilitate a bigger cooperation in the fight against the ISIS. But it can have an appreciation error on the part of occident in this respect. I believe that the agreement with Iran, also help to ISIS in an indirect way because it confirms to their followers, the theses that the USA, and West is supporting the Shiite ones in its millennial fight against the sunitas. The tension among Shiite and sunitas is high not only in Iraq and Syria, but also in Yemen.  

Maybe it is a problem we call him local that it affects to the differences of religion of some millennial civilizations if this was this way maybe the only form possible to get an end of serious definitive peace to separate the two blocks religious base of the problem, offering to the tribes sunitas an autonomous region, maybe the moment has arrived of to face the facts and to divide Iraq because I don't believe that the tribes sunitas take a risk their lives for a Shiite one that the Government dominates in Baghdad. 

The problem also increases for the crisis of the petroleum that as much these uncertainties as the treaty with Iran and the world economy is making that countries whose dependence is bound exclusively to the price of the same one it complicates possible agreements or coalitions able to appease the spirits. 

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