THE GOVERNMENT GOES OF FRIDAY TO FRIDAY WITHOUT ARRIVING ANYWHERE

Spain doesn't start up. The national economy will fall 2% at least in 2012 and it will be an indefinite time in the hard voyage of the recession. The forecasts that it diffused yesterday the European Commission, are not realistic, because neither the government has put on the table, all that there is under the same one, because I believe, for what the panic of the Spanish capital that the real budgetary deficit approaches without countable traps to 10% points, to these heights of February of 2012, because we keep in mind that it is still to discover Andalusia and to make the national budgets, for this year. 

In fact, if Spain had to fulfill the cutting from the deficit to 4,4% that Brussels, the situation, already demands of for yes dramatic, he would become in untenable. According to the services of studies and the private reports that manage the financial entities, if Spain fulfills the austerity that Brussels, the GDP demands conscientiously it could fall until 2,5%, and the unemployment would overcome the six millions thoroughly, in fact it would arrive perfectly to the seven millions. 

The reports that manage in private in the financial sector and the main services of studies don't leave place to doubt: if Spain clips the 50.000 million Eurus that Brussels, the GDP demands it could fall until 2,5%, and the unemployment rate would be shot above 25%, a bench mark that has never been reached in the Spanish democracy. The bench mark of the six millions would be overcome of stopped, but it is that these numbers are on the base of the more than possible deficit of 8.5%, I maintain that the real deficit after the conquest of Andalusia will ascend to 10%. What modifies these figures substantially would pass to some cuttings 60.000 million and an unemployment of 28%, the GDP would fall 4% approximately. Spain would be forced to abandon the euro group. 

Because you friends readers are believed that in a country traditionally of right, and in the one that all the economic forces come from this address, today is that having to the fret of the governability of the country, to the party that better it represents them and also with absolute majority to govern, these they are beating in retreat, leaving absolutely alone to the elects, not supporting them in none of the measures that Friday after Friday, the government sketches to see what it happens, but that Friday after Friday none is summed up. 

The Spanish right the one that possesses the capital, the one that either moves the political threads of the right or when it also governs the left, he has abandoned the government of the nation, it doesn't follow it, he doesn't want to commit suicide, so that they possibly have to make the team of Rajoy to commit suicide or to be immolated alive, before the fauceses of the euro group, and to crawl behind them to the whole country.  

This reality that is given already had discounted, for the capital, it is reflected in the des cohesion of the capital with the government, the big Spanish companies are you give locating all that they can, the biggest Telefónica, he has finished carrying out the most numerous ERE that had been made never in this country, thing that finally has affected relatively little to their bill of results, but it is evident it has unloaded it of costs that the has put in danger. All that that he wants to analyze the reality and it is not allowed to take for the political ideas, if it analyzes the real situation he will realize that that this happening 

Some analysts fear that, if Brussels finishes betting for the extreme austerity as the BCE, Spain he requests he could enter in the same dynamics that Greece. The cuttings and the ascents of taxes would depress the activity, they would reduce the collection for the collapse of the consumption and of the trust and they would increase the expense in unemployment benefits. In the Hellenic economy the draconian adjustments have caused, in fact that the deficit increases, the opposite that was looked for. In Spain for the fact of being bigger, it would still affect more, and that mattress of relatively low debt of which we prepared will leave in four days. 

FUNCAS, I predict that if Spain clips the public expense in 40.000 million Eurus, like it predicted in the Congress, the deficit will stay in 5,8%, very above 4,4 demanded%. Funcas say that the Spanish economy will fall with these deficit forecasts 1,7%, a fall that could overcome 2% with the strong austerity that they are demanding some European leaders still imagines if the cutting should be more of 50%. 

Rajoy and their government doesn't have another exit that to outline the reality to Brussels, and to present an economic plan to 5 years seen in that intends that Spain will go reducing the budgetary deficit two annual percent, with this system and time we would arrive at the 2017 with a level of deficit of the 1,5 or 2%, I don't make a mistake they don't get scared, I already know that two for five make ten, (that is our departure deficit) but it is that this would be this way if among means is not necessary to add costs, and interests of debts, to help to finance flows of effective etc. what caused that the reduction of two points per year reduces ten percent indeed but they will have been added two more percent more or less during this time, so in 2017 Spain it could be in a budgetary deficit of 2% and starting from there to begin to grow. 

Among so much the government doesn't have more solution than to empty Spain, it is hard but there is not another solution, nobody in his healthy trial neither our capitals, bet an euro for Spain and his economy, until in five years if one makes this plan, among point it is necessary to see of reducing the 60 or 70 thousand million annual Eurus that it will cost the tremendous unemployment that I wait he will stay in this distressing 22% that we have to day of today, in five years this figure it will ascend to 300.000 million Eurus in the best in the cases, I present my proposal again in this respect. Way the return of immigrants is not financed to its origin place, with the enough money to can begin a new life in its origin place. 

They are not believed that it builds up hopes me all that I am capturing in this I articulate, the truth is that I am absolutely afraid, but I believe that it is better knowledge from what you will die and to make what is to avoid it that not to give way to that what god wants happens (in this case what Merkel and Sarkozy want) for the fact of enjoying a position of political privilege because they don't hope that of That will say the history of my, doesn't serve once as anything dead.