I go openly to you to see of convincing her of what is a step in false
for you and it stops it is the definitive step for the European Union. I speak
of the euro voucher, you look, against the opinion of the European politicians
in the one that include it, the first problem of the Europe of the euro, is not
the fiscal deficit neither the sovereign debt, the main problem it is the
political mismanagement caused by the different government visions in the euro
area, and this gives cause to all the other maladjusted, the difference of
tendencies, each government's idiosyncrasy, makes that some see the half empty
glass and other it empties completely.
Let us don't be angered but you and their government, they are always
completely of those that come it empty, less his and I don't find bad, with
their wisdom and their tenacity, he goes them very well, but the problem
resides in that you don't send more than in its parcel, and its attitude and
government's form is not able to neither it should be imposed by the force of
the facts, making use of its influence to brake initiatives or ideas that
others propose, neither for the fact that they collide with its ideas or its
own interests, because this attitude, invalidates them to be what they should
be, the leaders from the Europe of the euro.
You maintain the theory that - we should, and that it is the lesson, to
move away from a union of debts and to go toward a union of sustainable fiscal
stability. This won't be easy, but it is the correct thing - she has the whole
reason it was this viable, but I ask, because they didn't expose it years ago,
when yourselves was jumped the ratio of deficit deviation regarding the state
budget, then they don't care to allow a Europe above their possibilities because
it suited you. And Mrs. Merkel of those powders these muds. But I don't say it
strictly in punitive sense toward their country and government that it
consented it, what I mean it is that the fiscal deficits doesn't have to be a
fixed measure and immovable for all same, because the economies, the resources
and their economic balance are not for example similar to those of their
country.
This exposes it because now in Spain, Greece, Portugal, and Italy and I
fear myself that in some country more, their inflexible posture and based on
some macroeconomic figures that are those of Germany, she will force them to
take to their society to you about them of the poverty, because to adjust their
budgetary imbalances with the help of to clip and not to equal the fiscal scale
for their productive and tax side as it happens with Germany, it causes that
poverty and desolation in the society.
Let us see the following example a country X he has 70 million
inhabitants and in their fiscal balance he has in their chapter of revenues
7.000.000 million Eurus and in their expenses 7.210.000 million Eurus we make
the bills and it presents a fiscal deficit of 3% according to their position it
is the correct deficit this means that the (presupposed / capita) that he
enjoys their society it is of 103.000 Eurus. That it happens with another
country Y that he has 47 million inhabitants and that their fiscal balance
presents some revenues of 4.230.000 million Eurus and according to its rules it
liquidates the year with some fantastic expenses of 4.356.000, it maintains the
demanded budgetary balance, but and its society that passes to its society also
maintains the balance with regard to the other one, let us see it in this last
country the (presupposed / capita) it is of 92.700 Eurus, that is to say an
European of this country is anything less than 10% less European that the other
one.
As we equal this, because it will be accountably all the correct one
that they want, but socially and politically it is not it, I would wonder in
the case of the second country for what reason I want to be European,
undoubtedly you can adduce that if was not it maybe it would be worse, but this
is not an acceptable explanation, what europa should make is to bring near all
the economic indexes among countries, and not to look for the simply numeric
solution of the problem doing without of the social economic repercussion that
bears, because if one doesn't make, he will be able to end up the europa of the
euro to present some sustained economic deficits, but equal presents a civil
society in state of permanent revolution.
I believe that it is necessary to make the adjustments otherwise it is
necessary to mark some levels means of value of the (presupposed / capita) and
to outline in consequence that deficit is the one allowed to each country, so
that it is balanced the level of all the societies that they are part of the
union, in this case of the area euro, because but the economies they were never
balanced and it will never be a true union.
As we make that, let us return to the previous example we mark that the
(presupposed / capita) of the euro area it should not present more than a
deviation of 5% among countries, this rule could allow this way maximum
difference of this order among countries, well continue to the country AND of
the 47 million inhabitants and 10% differential we should allow that it
outlines its budgets with a deviation of deficit of 9% he will be able to this
way to budget 4.610.700 millions this will give a (presupposed / capita) of
98,000 Eurus and its deviation in front of the one considered comparative
serious of 5%, this would produce a budgetary debt that this country should
assume in this equivalent case of 380,000 million Eurus to the budgetary deviation
evidently.
Here it is where it lacks the agreement of the European union, regarding
the Eurobonds these perfectly controlled budgetary deviations and reasonably
experts which it is their cause, should can to finance with euro funds in the
international market and with the guarantee of the euro, and I don't eat now in
the international market creating speculations that they go against the whole
euro area in the bottom.
It would be possible also that the countries that doesn't have so much
necessity to get in debt and therefore doesn't load to the euro voucher of more
cost, can have an allowance of their interests paid by the use of the euro
funds in the financing of their debt, this way and maintaining the example the
country X with 3% of budgetary deficit, he would pay the interest to which the
euro voucher is marketed in the international markets, and the country Y, with
more deficit he would pay an increment about this equivalent interest to the
differential of its deviation of the budget, in the example 6% but, this way if
the euro voucher quotes in 2.5% the country Y he would pay for its voucher to
the internal originator 2.65%, these interests extra could be used to discount
to the countries that maintains their budgetary deficits in the approved
valuation.
It is necessary that the levels of competitiveness and the budgets are
similar. I don't seek collectivizing the debt, thing that you selfishly fear.
Nobody has mentioned the opposite, Mrs. Merkel if the originator of funds is
Europe it will be the BCE or what would be better still an European FED who
truth, and you would emit them who believes that it would fill the arks of this
entity, because the country properties publish of the nations, according to
some contribution taxes that perfectly and until all the parameters that you
claim is not even, each country should contribute with a bigger or smaller
percentage that the other ones, this way although the voucher has the same
interest before a third, he would not have it among the taxpayers of the area
euro, so Germany could continue paying its cheaper debt that for example
Spain.
The president of the European Commission, José Manuel Durao Barroso,
announces and it moves away in its speech before the full of the Euro camera
its intention of presenting options to introduce Eurobonds, and he makes it for
its reaction to against. But it is that there already is not a lot of time, you
have been given bill that it is necessary to begin to fight for the reactivation
of the economy, because otherwise there is not form of leaving the recession,
so to begin to reactivate, before they have to reduce costs and social and
economic inequalities in order to get them not to go getting wider the cracks
that go us separating, and he doesn't doubt it the only form of equaling us it
is the fiscal regulation, the budgetary control, and the euro voucher, they
have already started both first please it allows to start the third.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario