Somebody has noticed that 24% of productive people is
not working, That is correct. Almost one of each four people in age of taking
place of this country is charging the unemployment, or anything, these
statement more difficultly is in situation of social exclusion, this is a
problem of much care, because if this fact that and reflected it is violent,
they will see now when he translates it to social numbers. If we give for good
that there is an average of 3 family units behind each unemployed, it is that
the unemployment situation in Spain excludes at 15.000.000 of people, that is
to say to the national population's 32% that are forced to be integrated in the
submerged economy, or where it is and like be, Spain has in danger of social
exclusion a third of its society.
And among so much the government is clipping budgets
and expenses because it cannot sustain them, the banks storing money and debt
of the state, the companies without orders, and the consumption doesn't exist,
and the worst thing is that meanwhile Europe neither is fixing anything. We are in danger of putting in risk to but of
two generations of Spaniards, if they are reading it they are very already two
heading to the chronic unemployment, especially the men and young women and
bigger than 50 years, and our legislators cannot see beyond the problem of the
debt and the budgetary deficit. And I am not sure that they not even look
further on.
The PP and their government have not even demonstrated
their concern for what represents in economic losses on the alone national
budget it seems that they outline it from the social and political point, but
it is not if it is millionaire and unbearable expenses for the country. This
way today in day the heavy and dangerous drama of the debt, it is increased and
it is developed quickly with the costs of the unemployment, the political
leaders and their respective ones political partisan. They are unable to face
the fact that more than 5 million terrible workers that have fallen in the
category of unemployed, they take years in labor extra situation. How future we
have left it, the crash is not other, neither debt neither default neither
anything, is the pure and hard decadence of the values of the society.
It is not anything pleasant to treat this topic in
these terms so hard. But I cannot leave this I should insist this way in that
the things are becoming very ugly for all, and for our blame, it is not
necessary to give him turns the last well-being it is killing us, the humanity
is not made to live idling, seems to be that we should have to fight, if the
society gives it to us all we ruin it. As it has been this way, we have ruined
the demographic balance and I eat consequence the economics of our country, me
you that it sounds bad but I cannot stop to stress it, the imbalance that has
been created among the plaintiffs of employment opportunities, and the
employment that can offer the Spanish economy, has been unbalanced completely
and if we don't vary both parameters substantially this situation he doesn't
have any exit.
Such and like it will develop the evolution of the
Spanish economy in the legislatures that come, I assure them that we won't be
able to absorb but there of 1,5 million unemployed, and this if the things in
our own country and our environment accompany, I calculate that until the year
2015 won't be possible to brake the employment destruction and to reabsorb
unemployed tips of among the 1, and 1,5%, that is to say our unemployment index
oscillated between the 22 and 24%, it will be later in the 2016 that one will
be able to see a certain employment creation and with luck we could arrive at
the end of this year with an index of 21%. I Believe possible if this goes for
this road and there is reactivation of the world economy that in 2018 we can
absorb as much other two points, and to stay in an index of 18/20% of
unemployed, that is to say a population of 3,8 millions and I don't believe
that one can make but, sincerely think that each oscillation point is the
equivalent one to 230,000 employments.
These figures are not asumibles for the future
industrial development of Spain, for two causes, a because with the
globalization of the industrialization it is not necessary the creation of
productive processes of high manpower consumption, in the world up to now rich
call, these processes have moved to the universe BRIC or even below, it happens
this way that in the environment of the first world to call it somehow, the
increases of indexes of the GDP, don't keep the same relationship that before
with the increase of the occupation, in the included next future they can go in
against, because the theory is bigger productivity and more technical, these
two factors can with all security to reduce the manpower necessity sensibly, while
the economy of the country grows.
This situation believes an evil paradox in our
country, we need to improve our productivity to balance the economy and to
palliate the unemployment, but the more we improve it more unemployment we
believe. It will be a divine punishment for our speculative lust of the years
90, it can be that and it is that hard, this should plan it maybe a new
government, it is not worth me that our prepared youths leave to the Brazil,
the China or to Germany, they are in proportion so small that they don't move
the figures.
The only way to balance in the advanced countries the
manpower imbalance in relation to the possibility of real work is or balancing
the demography relating the offer of workers to the demand of the productive economy
of the country, or the inverse one creating a work offer able to absorb the
imbalance and this in the current moments thinks it is impossible because the
economy in frank recession would not allow the setting in march of constructive
projects of public character that are the only ones able to absorb the type and
quantity of manpower surplus.
If he doesn't face the problem, at the end it will be
Spain to which they will have to rescue us because the cost of 5 million
unemployed doesn't get off 50,000 million annual Eurus, it is much more than
what needed the banking with the aggravating difference that was a single time
for the banking, and for the unemployment it is an and other and another time,
so many as years they pass with these imbalances.
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