The slope of the euro toward the parity with the
dollar will give a very wanted impulse to the European companies this year it
was already hour that this understands each other it was an inexplicable
atrocity as some economies in ruins like those of the euro zona could maintain
a foreign currency that I end up being 40% above the parity with the dollar.
Now this correction that is confirmed will force to that its American rivals
adapt their business or take a risk to lose market quota. Although the
agreements to cover the risk of foreign currencies suppose that the benefits
won't see each other automatically, the weakness of the European foreign
currency has already made happy the European consultants when making their
cheaper products abroad and to elevate the value of the sales based on
dollars.
I have never understood because we were conditioned to
maintain the strength of the euro, but now it seems that the wind changes
direction and we try to take out the maximum profit of this positive effect
that he will help us to give an impulse to the sales and benefits of
2015", I believe that many big companies in that its scale of costs was
very based on the import they should think that a strong euro benefitted them
without realizing that it was just the opposite because while Europa could
consume its products in Eurus its benefits they were extraordinary but at the
end the things are regulated alone when the UE has stopped to consume (the
deflation demonstrates it) the scale has changed tendency.
The companies that predict some favorable winds coming
from a near fall to 20 percent in the value of the euro in the last half year,
until values of 1,06 dollars on Friday, they are the maker of airplanes Airbus,
the maker of cars and trucks Daimler and the groups of French engineering
Schneider Electric and Alstom. Some American companies also come positive a
weaker euro, as some smaller financing costs, a better evolution of their
European branches that they export or a bigger demand of European clients,
besides a bigger affluence of trips to the continent for the tourist
sector.
But the most common reality is that most of American
companies, as Apple, Dupont, Caterpillar or General Electric, they have noticed
that they can it turns affected in Europe and other places, while some as Xerox
have reduced its forecasts of benefits for it. These companies have said that
now they look for to reduce the costs, and for they looked at it of increasing
the proportion of components from inside the area euro and to adapt with new
politicians of prices to try to maintain their market quotas and margins then
the devaluation completes the effect of re launching of the production as
always and with it of the economy.
This is not new for that reason my followers will have
read it to me numerous times my confusion now it is maybe bigger when not
understanding because he stayed the euro in some untenable values that alone it
was good to buy but he doesn't stop to sell, for what the imbalances that have
been created will take years in overcoming. Mainly in the production of all
kinds of industrial or textile complements for example will have put in operation
factories and practically abandoned productions again
Now it will be necessary to drift to longer term,
keeping in mind that the weakness of the euro will stay because of the program
of purchase of funds of the European Central Bank (BCE) and a probable increase
in the types of interest because of a solid economy in United States. He will
be necessary to think on where you have your revenues, where you take place and
where you buy your matters cousins, this is a true change that has always
benefitted to the one that devaluates of having entered and it maintains the
quality and the prestige of their manufactured I hope this understands each
other I am for sure they will make this way it the Germans and Central European
my doubt this as always in my country Spain.
Spain was a country before being in the UE where the
devaluation was very common to be able to compete with the imports but the bad
thing was that most of times one should make because what offered our industry
was of a very little upgrade as soon as quality and technology and this fears
myself that now he goes to be the danger number one of our economy I fear
myself that the devaluation of the alone euro serves Spain, to sell better sun
and beach that is to say tourism and agrarian products and others of not very
high technology because as always the products of more technology like cars, pharmacy,
and computer, science what is manufactured here is in factories of non-Spanish
origin, Ford, Opel, WW, Citroën regarding the chapter of vehicles Merck,
Boehriger Ingelheim In pharmacy, HP computer science, Alstom and the Swiss ABB,
etc… that have production plants here they will be the most favored.
But I don't worry about until the point of doubting in
any event of the effectiveness of this devaluation I worry about him to arrive
too much late because in Spain there have been during these last 5 years a true
dismantlement of companies that they have escaped as souls that the devil of
the unstoppable costs pursued them, for the high salaries for the energy for
the social costs everything paid it in Eurus when his market paid in dollars 40%
cheaper.
In itself, the fall of the
euro is a good news. He should have a positive impact in our sales and benefit
operative, many companies they say that they studied to capture the benefits of
the euro in their supply chain, "taking advantage to suppliers based on
Eurus". This means that the industry looked for more and more "the
regional" self-sufficiency.
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