It is not significant the one that Germany and unite two or three more
nations, be with the barely positive GDP, in front of this 8 countries of the
euro are in recession and the second country the second European economy it is
in an unstable balance. The outcome of this situation doesn't seem another that
the II great world depression, the first one began or you uncover in the USA,
this he has gotten ready and it will explode here in Europa this is a
reality.
The question now is to begin to think how you will leave this reality,
because to avoid it is no longer possible. The first thing that it would be
necessary to avoid, is that the situation concludes as the first one, in a
world conflagration, although I should say that in these moments I see it
difficult to avoid, the great depression of the 29, causes a brutal economic
setback I ruin to the society and whole nations, surprisingly in that occasion
the most affected one was Germany, so much was so alone Hitler's Social
Nationalism, achievement to take from of the misery to the country and its
society.
Toward 1933, the German economy had not still overcome the economic
politics’ negative impact implemented by a government that bet for the
deflation to leave the crisis. The government's decision of staying in the
economic orthodoxy of contention generated more unemployment, the fall of the
gross internal product, and the collapse of the bank system. The bad social
situation, more the fear of the advance of the communism is the key to
understand Hitler's arrival and the party National Socialist to the power.
Today there is not feared to the communists they no longer exist, but Germany
is in the same tessitura in what concerns to the rest of its environment. Today
their fear is not another that being threatened by the social lust of its
neighbors and partners of the south.
The question it is that Germany this become obstinate again and before the
same situation, in maintaining their economic orthodoxy for the simple, but
important fact, that he has gone him very up to now, but this orthodoxy cannot
maintain it because being a more global economy, like it is that of the euro,
it impedes that the realities of the other economies, evolutions toward the
exit of the recession, it is incredible that Germany doesn't see that its
strength is not enough to maintain the CE and it is not this the problem, but
rather he thinks that he will be able to stay as an oasis of rich country amid
an enormous desert populated by poor countries.
This didn't work this way, Germany has a market and an unbalanced
industrial potentiality, that is to say its market cannot sustain its industry,
this it depends on the world and of course of the europa rest, this that
you/they saw the initiators of the idea of the common market clearly, and that
in the spring of 1951 Konrad Adenauer rushes with the signature of the treaty
of the coal and of the steel, it seems that the current politicians don't come
it, it is this the problem of the europa of the euro, sincerely I believe that
yes.
It is evident also that the imbalance that Germany has been imposed
between its industrial and productive potentiality and its internal economy, it
has unbalanced the economies of the CE it is evident that now no European
country can be redoed without the help or redistribution of money or industry,
toward the weak parts of the group of the euro, he gives chill to see that
besides the whole industry they are also added the whole economic resources,
that is to say all the europa money.
The reality today is clear, there is not any country of the euro area
able to be left outside of the depression in that we have entered already many
of us, it is rather on the contrary they will go falling in her one after
other, those that resist trying to put personalized economic measures will see
that they didn't work, because the economic market had bet alone for the
security of the German euro and its economy.
The europa resources are all concentrate in that economy, to know if
this situation has been planned by the own Germany, or on the contrary it has
been happened by the unit lack and vision of the national politicians developed
by the nations that we conform the euro area, I consider it is a matter of
vital importance, since as it is the result of the analysis of this situation,
the measures to take can be some or others.
Anyway the surest thing, is that it is for a German imperialistic
planning or for a negligence of the other ones, the reality is that the
solutions are not others that the rebalance of the euro area, and for there is
it to unify debts and economies, this or the breakup of the euro area and to
enter in the old economies of competitiveness among nations, thing that I fear
myself is the most probable thing, because I doubt that Germany wants to lose
its supremacy in favor of their neighbors.
If this is this way such and as I see it, this depression won't have
more remedy than to finish again with the one conflagration at European level
that returns the balance with the help of the own destruction of the economies,
to redo them again in a balanced plan after the experience of a new European
failure, with the hope that this time is the definitive one.
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