miércoles, 15 de agosto de 2012

EUROPE HAS TAKEN A TRIP IN THE TIME AND RETURNED TO 1929, THE II GREAT DEPRESSION THIS SERVED



It is not significant the one that Germany and unite two or three more nations, be with the barely positive GDP, in front of this 8 countries of the euro are in recession and the second country the second European economy it is in an unstable balance. The outcome of this situation doesn't seem another that the II great world depression, the first one began or you uncover in the USA, this he has gotten ready and it will explode here in Europa this is a reality. 

The question now is to begin to think how you will leave this reality, because to avoid it is no longer possible. The first thing that it would be necessary to avoid, is that the situation concludes as the first one, in a world conflagration, although I should say that in these moments I see it difficult to avoid, the great depression of the 29, causes a brutal economic setback I ruin to the society and whole nations, surprisingly in that occasion the most affected one was Germany, so much was so alone Hitler's Social Nationalism, achievement to take from of the misery to the country and its society. 

Toward 1933, the German economy had not still overcome the economic politics’ negative impact implemented by a government that bet for the deflation to leave the crisis. The government's decision of staying in the economic orthodoxy of contention generated more unemployment, the fall of the gross internal product, and the collapse of the bank system. The bad social situation, more the fear of the advance of the communism is the key to understand Hitler's arrival and the party National Socialist to the power. Today there is not feared to the communists they no longer exist, but Germany is in the same tessitura in what concerns to the rest of its environment. Today their fear is not another that being threatened by the social lust of its neighbors and partners of the south. 

The question it is that Germany this become obstinate again and before the same situation, in maintaining their economic orthodoxy for the simple, but important fact, that he has gone him very up to now, but this orthodoxy cannot maintain it because being a more global economy, like it is that of the euro, it impedes that the realities of the other economies, evolutions toward the exit of the recession, it is incredible that Germany doesn't see that its strength is not enough to maintain the CE and it is not this the problem, but rather he thinks that he will be able to stay as an oasis of rich country amid an enormous desert populated by poor countries. 

This didn't work this way, Germany has a market and an unbalanced industrial potentiality, that is to say its market cannot sustain its industry, this it depends on the world and of course of the europa rest, this that you/they saw the initiators of the idea of the common market clearly, and that in the spring of 1951 Konrad Adenauer rushes with the signature of the treaty of the coal and of the steel, it seems that the current politicians don't come it, it is this the problem of the europa of the euro, sincerely I believe that yes. 

It is evident also that the imbalance that Germany has been imposed between its industrial and productive potentiality and its internal economy, it has unbalanced the economies of the CE it is evident that now no European country can be redoed without the help or redistribution of money or industry, toward the weak parts of the group of the euro, he gives chill to see that besides the whole industry they are also added the whole economic resources, that is to say all the europa money.  

The reality today is clear, there is not any country of the euro area able to be left outside of the depression in that we have entered already many of us, it is rather on the contrary they will go falling in her one after other, those that resist trying to put personalized economic measures will see that they didn't work, because the economic market had bet alone for the security of the German euro and its economy.  

The europa resources are all concentrate in that economy, to know if this situation has been planned by the own Germany, or on the contrary it has been happened by the unit lack and vision of the national politicians developed by the nations that we conform the euro area, I consider it is a matter of vital importance, since as it is the result of the analysis of this situation, the measures to take can be some or others. 

Anyway the surest thing, is that it is for a German imperialistic planning or for a negligence of the other ones, the reality is that the solutions are not others that the rebalance of the euro area, and for there is it to unify debts and economies, this or the breakup of the euro area and to enter in the old economies of competitiveness among nations, thing that I fear myself is the most probable thing, because I doubt that Germany wants to lose its supremacy in favor of their neighbors. 

If this is this way such and as I see it, this depression won't have more remedy than to finish again with the one conflagration at European level that returns the balance with the help of the own destruction of the economies, to redo them again in a balanced plan after the experience of a new European failure, with the hope that this time is the definitive one.   

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