THE GOVERNMENT DE SPAIN A "ERE" SHOULD PREPARE URGENTLY

Today that the day accompanies, for the difficult thing that this general situation, I will play a very rough topic and of difficult position they will see I don't see any other solution to refloat Spain that to apply an ERE (File of Regulation of Employment) mandatory, accompanying that if to the cutting measures and privatization of the few services that are and the structures and public companies. 

The reason of this position will try first to explain to it with an example that many will understand it, because they will even have suffered it in themselves. Imagine as a company anyone, given the incidence of the current crisis, their capacity of sales makes that its revenues decrease visibly, this company like all have a credit line with the banks that he needs it to adjust the treasury flows and their investments but that every time he finds more difficult and face of maintaining.  

With the slope of sales and for consequence of revenues you do with alarm that he won't be able to balance the balance of losses and earnings and he begins to study to reduce their expenses and costs so that they are balanced the most possible thing to their revenues. The company took several solutions: 1º. - To reduce expenses that are not necessary, the most immediate and easy of applying, representation expenses travel etc. 2º. - To reduce costs, here he meets with more difficulties because he has to define that costs suppress or it reduces.  

And in this point two qualifications variable costs and fixed costs appear. The variables are those that go bound to the production and they vary as he takes place more or less, an example the matters cousins that he needs for their production, in this field the administration will consist on adjusting stocks and purchases, to look for of to reduce prices with the suppliers or to substitute them for others. And we arrive to the fixed costs they are those that it manufactures more or less they are there and they don't vary: Rents, paying-offs, interests of credits, and the dramatic one the labor personnel.  

Arrived to this point the company he doesn't have another exit that to reduce the expense in personal, because he doesn't need their production so much since it has shrunk a lot, and for that reason an ERE, the objective of the one begins which is to reduce the insole of the company. To part of the discussions and negotiations at the end a figure is gotten and he decreases the insole in an appropriate number. And the surpluses leave and they leave the company free of the part of costs that they supposed. Among the whole company it is balanced and continuous their survival. 

Now imagine you that this company after making the ERE its surpluses of workers has to stay in a corner of the same company and to continue getting paid less if they want but getting paid, and that yes without to work that will make, if there is not neither matters cousins, neither necessity some of its contribution to the production, would be absurd and of course it would put an end to the company in the ruin. 

Very since this it is the situation of Spain, he is asked that it reduces costs, of all type and he attempts it, but the deficit doesn't lower and it didn't lower, because Spain has not made an ERE and this is killing her hopelessly, in our country there is according to the last estimate 4.8 millions of stopped, if we count an average of 800 cost Eurus we are I relent from 3.800 million to month 46.000 million Eurus a year. Almost 4,5% of our GDP. This without counting, because I doubt that neither the own state knows it, the incidence of other indirect costs that its administration causes that would not miss me that they bent the figures, among courses, grants, officials, etc.  

Where I want go to stop then very simple this whole position seeks to demonstrate that the final resolution that I will outline, doesn't have any racist reason neither of extreme right neither nationalism neither anything of that, is pure economy, Spain he should understand that never more it absorbs again more than half of this figure of stopped, because unfortunately they are forever fruit of a false and finite planning of growth. 

Spain should calculate that cost represents him to maintain this situation so much in its pure monetary aspect as of political incidence and of country solvency, and to make an ERE that means the relocation of at least 2.5 million workers and its direct clerks, that is to say I calculate as a lot about 7 million people, this operation is the only alternative so that Spain you reequilibre, because what doesn't seem probable is that Europe and the western economy changes, neither that the German industry displeases factories to Spain so that employment the surpluses of unemployed. 

If I am right, and we give for good that during next 5 years the unemployment won't change, the non absorbable unemployment that is to say the 2.5 millions of but that are those that produce the difference among an unemployment from 9% to the current of 20% we are playing ourselves 120.000 million Eurus, supposing that among half this doesn't arm us a social revolution, and that they don't increase us the costs thing that I doubt. That way would mean that the state could invest about 15,000 Eurus for person (unemployed and family), to finance the relocation of people affected by the change of productive situation of our country, that yes he understands each other that outside of Spain, like in its day they had to leave its company and before its origin country in many cases I believe that for many to redo its life in its origin place with among 30 thousand Eurus in the hand is not by no means a foolishness.