I arrive the hour, “la suerte
está echada” “rien ne va plus” “Die
Würfel sind gefallen” “Il dado è tratto”. there is no longer returned behind now single lack to
wait that it passed after the confirmation that Germany if it is a big and rich
(the only one I would say) European nation, the uncertainty ends or the UE
exploded, now it is necessary to wait to see what it happens. In alone two or
three months we will see if Greece leaves the euro, if France accepts the
"advice" of the BCE, if Berlusconi sinks Italy and if Rajoy and the
PP make the same thing with Spain, if it breaks the monetary unit, and let us
wait to see what it passes with the political disunion, (this it doesn't break
because it has never been united), the thing this in seeing if continuous the
idea of the UE or each one leaves for its side.
The Union Europe has four pillars basically in those
that to lean on and frankly I don't see them very sure we will see these
pillars they are: Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. Among the four 256.960,785
inhabitants add that is to say on the 440.159,005 inhabitants from Europe
(without United Kingdom that has never been for me neither it will be European)
they represent 58% and regarding the economic power, in these four countries he
concentrates 52,2% of the nominal GDP of the union. Well if like one says in
the Bible to San Pedro he was said: On this stone I will lift my Church, the
European union should say the same thing: on these stones I will lift my union.
The Europa problem is who tells it to him.
The bad thing is that these stones are also at this
time crucial, of gritty fine and they come undone, as sugar in the coffee, when
they press them a little anything but, Germany, three don't harmonize with none
of the other ones, their mood, position, and history, they impede it to him.
France, neither can with Germany to which fears and he envies at the same time,
with Italy it could work, and with Spain for them continues being more near Africa
than of Europe. Italy, good it is not
the one that falls but bad, it was German fifty-fifty when the European Nazi,
half French center when Napoleon, good because that, some everything, I would
say that he knows how waters to be between two but it is not enough to lead
anything. And finally Spain, is in this quartet almost anything, neither it
considers it to him for its neighbors, neither for its friends, neither for its
enemies, Spain cannot make absolutely anything, it is more if something can
make, it is the whole lattice that could be in foot after they have just
collapsed more than probable desertion of Greece.
And here they have you the truth and with this it
would be necessary to count to make decisions me frankly not you so that the
governments of the mentioned states meet if all and each one thinks that the
blame is of the other one and they acted this way like a pot of crickets, alone
that this time they have the expiatory male goat Greece. This circumstance
surprisingly could save the European Union, Greece he could make of reflective
mirror where to look at you all the other ones and to see the light, and to see
that if we continue we go this way one after another for the same road having
to decide if we continue ahead this way and we precipitate ourselves, or to decide
once and for all that to make.
I don't take a risk to give a presage, but if I say
that you finishes the time for the hesitations and uncertainties on deciding
what to make, they will have to take the pertinent decisions, to catch the debt
for the horns and to assume it for all those affected and to combine it, or to
undo the European Union and the Euro, maybe at the end the solution will be
mixed the debt became unified and Greece will be remote of the euro group until
another occasion. Alone one will be able to this way to begin to plan the exit
of the European total economy by means of the industrial reactivation of the
area euro that is the last step that is if there is you really win of
continuing. Meanwhile Italy and Spain should of they wait both very quiet the
events to those that don't have neither voice neither I vote.
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