It broke the idyll, the markets of euro whole area
collapse, this time Draghi has disappointed the investors, because their
stories of thousand o'clock and one nights they have already been finished and
the worst thing is not that but rather it has recognized that the BCE cannot
make but it is what I always tell them in my economic articles the economies
based on the operative accountant and financial at the end they explode because
the numbers themselves is revealed and their magnitudes arrive to uncontrolled
that and not another sew is what is happening and that that apparently the
markets have discovered today.
After the monthly meeting of the Council of Government
of the BCE he has left colds to the investors in a first moment, to untie the
sales later in all the European Bags. The president of the central organism has
given details on the program of title’s purchase supported by credits (ABS) and
hypothecary identifications that he announced last, but not so many months as
he waited the market.
Draghi has not given the figure of the program of
purchase of private debt and, also, he didn't buy sovereign funds, here it is
clear the command of Germany that continues in its intention of not feeding the
European economies. This is it that more I worry about because if the euro
area, Germany is not activated he will have problems because he was left without
clients, unless I eat he already announces its objectives they become toward
the east if this is we are this way the countries of the euro area that are
gone the two economies that work, the German economies toward the east and the
United Kingdom toward the west, be like be today my prediction it is that both
financial poles move away from the UE.
Although Draghi again has reiterated that it is open
to approve new extraordinary measures if it is necessary. Magic formula in
previous occasions, this time, it has not served for he swims it no longer
strains the capital he has already decided that the euro and the euro area is
finally of its braked road the hemorrhage salesperson in the Bags they
demonstrate this way it. The Ibex has closed with a descent of 3,12% until the
10.518 points. All the values of the selective one have closed in red. Abengoa,
with a descent of 8,3%, registers the descents for before Gamesa (-6,11%). The
bank sector has been damaged by Mario Draghi deception intervention. Popular it
gives 5,11%; CaixaBank, 4,05%; Santander, 3,92%; BBVA, 3,61% and Bankia, 2,99%.
In the rest of European Bags, the reaction to the
words of the president of the BCE was similar of fulminating. This way, the
German Dax is left today 1,7%; the French Cac, 2,5% and the FTSE Italian MIB,
3,75%. But notice the difference that exists respectively among a fall of 1,7%
of the German Dax in front of the 3,75 and 3,12% of the Italian markets and Spain.
The concretion lack on the amount of the program of
title purchase and a negative message to buy public debt that the market waited
doesn't believe that by itself they are the reasons that have made exploit the
economic reality of the euro area the truth of the in concretions of Draghi it
is that there is not more money to reactivate the heavy economies of the euro
area. And what clear Mario has left Draghi is that, at least at the moment, he
won't buy public debt.
The Italian banker has repeated his mantra of the last
months again: the recovery is very weak, very fragile, and the countries should
continue making reformations if the area euro doesn't want to return to the
well. Is this gentleman clearly outside of yes and of the reality that he tries
to cover but is he no longer able to, what country has it left the well so that
he falls again? Mr. Draghi all the countries except Germany are inside the well
and more and more below.
He has thrown a warning directly to navigators to
Germany, when noticing that the countries that have fiscal margin should use it
to foment the growth. Germany, France and Italy, three European locomotives,
are breaking and they put in danger the recovery, the fourth economy Spain,
neither it is counted on her because nobody in the UE is believed the numbers
and the bills of the budgets and deficits of Spain the most probable thing it
is also that if it ends up having separation of Catalonia and Spain maybe they
will owe both to stop to belong to the euro like members of full right to
simply become users of this foreign currency in the case that you/they
continue, the euro and the euro area I refer.
In short the BCE and of course Mr. Draghi stays
without 'cartridges' also, the president of the institution showed, for the
first time, the exhaustion of the monetary politics’ roads. An and another time
he has repeated the necessity of structural reformations that they encourage
the economy, measures to liberalize the managerial sector and a fiscal politics
that it stimulates the growth at the same time that the adjustment of the
deficit continues. We "know that there are decisions of monetary politics
that are more effective than other, but what is necessary is that they come accompanied
by the governments measures”, Draghi remembered for umpteenth time during the
press wheel. Higher he can say it, but not clearer, the alone not very more BCE
can make he will be necessary to wait and to see what it happens but I advise
them that they are not very optimistic.
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