A while ago
that I am writing on the general crumbling of the UE neither the economy works
neither the politics works although I believe that it is the first one the one
that makes wobble anyway at second he gives the same thing that was first if
the one had or the hen the question is that the hen of the eggs of gold dies
and behind we go all the Europeans.
Today they
have been given to know the economic forecasts of the European Commission for
Spain and the group of the European Union and both paint worse than six months
ago, that is to say how he told them we don't go forward but back and now it
confirms it Brussels that calculates that the growth in the area, will be this
year from 0,8% tenth four inferior to the prospective one and, far from turnaround
until 1,7% in the 2015 like it was expected in May, already prevue that will
only reach 1,1%.
It is evident
that this situation of deceleration of the general economy of the union will
affect to the Spanish economy, Brussels corrects it for the 2015 and the
discount of 2,1% that the Spanish government waits to alone 1,7%, and with an
unemployment of 23,5%. The so cackled acceleration of the economic growth in
Spain is postponed once again, now up to the 2016 it is not expected that the
national wealth grows above the barrier of 2% (Brussels predicts an expansion
of the GDP of 2,2%, and a fall of the unemployment until 22%).
The worsening
of the situation economic general will complicate all the efforts of the
national governments to complete the objectives of reduction of the deficit,
(that are the main cause of the disaster and left not her as Germany it
imposes) in the case of Spain it is already a suicide to seek to accept these
forecasts Spain it won't grow on 2% until to the frogs it leaves them hair, or
Spain stops once and for all to belong to the euro.
The economic
perspectives that figure in the budget draft outlined by Mariano Rajoy
government for the 2015 don't guarantee that Spain will turn their objectives
of deficit reduction for next year. The government waits that the resulting
savings of the new cuttings and reformations together with the turnaround of
the economic activity, compensate more than enough those announced cuttings of
taxes and a relaxation in the politics of recruiting of the public sector that
the PP is forced off to announce for that the elections are to the turn of the
corner, but Brussels calculates that the deficit will be located in 4,6% of the
GDP, that is to say, tenth four above the conventional objective for the
2015.
That they will
be more many more because the political reality of Spain to which Brussels
doesn't want to enter will still give a turn of 180 grades to the current
government's conservative and centralist politics, I don't believe that this
government can arrive at the end of the legislature on one hand the pursuit of “Podemos”
that it is much quicker and stronger of what was expected and the central
government's blindness of maintaining without I dialogue neither exit some to
the conflict Spain Catalonia, he is making fall the trust of the international
investors and the bad thing is that the PP continues thinking that it is blame
of we Can and of Catalonia, when the reality what scares to the economic world,
is that the government from Spain doesn't make anything to rectify the road
toward any part that Rajoy has taken to the politics and the Spanish
economy.
It will be at
the end of month when the European Commission is pronounced on how to act
before this possible budgetary deviation. It is not clear that the reaction
will be to request more cuttings to make sure that it completes its deficit
objectives. The economic stagnation and the bad employment figures and
investment in the area euro are making veer the European economic politics
little by little and it is not discarded that Brussels opts in fact to tolerate
certain relaxation in the reparation of the public bills in several countries
of the biggest after Germany I refer to Italy Spain and France.
But at the
moment there is not anything concrete the alone situation that the economy and
the employment doesn't improve to the necessary rhythm. The European Commission
will use all the means and resources at your disposal to create more employment
and growth in Europe, Jyrki Katainen has declared, vice-president of the
European Commission for Employment, Investments and Competitiveness. The new
community executive's great bet that took possession this weekend goes by the
launching of a plan of investments valued in 300.000 million Eurus. But this is
not the solution it is simply a patch that he will get lost amid the real necessities
of the European economy.
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