jueves, 10 de noviembre de 2011

EUROPE DOESN'T HAVE CLEAR IF TO UNTIE THE SEGUNDA GREAT WORLD DEPRESSION OR NOT


Such today seems that you is about to unchain the second great world depression, or not, the solution lolls of two fine threads, one Italy the other one the euro. The time is drained and I don't know if he will give time to rectify, or the ball has already begun to rotate slope below on the way to the second recession of the world history, (the first one you beginning one Monday October 29 1929) and the second if it is not avoided it began on Monday November 14 / 2011. 

There is like I have said two very fine threads that retain the ball of the repression tolerating it before so that he/she doesn't throw, one of them doesn't depend on the European Union the one that breaks, this threads it is Italy. This country is completely outside of rational control under the blackmail of a Maquiavelo, old, without scruples that he gives him for what he has left of life the same as it passes with the world, with its nation, and with its responsibility like human being. This ruler has imbued to the whole Italian political class of it is not known well that you accuse, and that fears that torture it incomprehensibly, and it hinders them to act with dignity and sense of the courage and the responsibility in front of themselves and in front of third. Italy won't decide, he cannot decide I don't know because, to escape from its captor and to take the one on the way to the action freedom that all government needs. The European Union should count on it, I fear myself that it will be necessary the force, to liberate the Italian congress of its ties.  

This situation is important to show it, because it is the excuse that can break the second thread that holds the ball of the depression, the Euro. Italy is without doubting to doubts the great slap to the euro senses if it is that it has existed at some time, Italy is agreeing with to those who want to use the argument that there are a serious Europe and worker in the North, and an inconsiderate, vague and mainly false Europe, in the South. Possibly have much of reasons in this asseveration, but even recognizing it, he doesn't stop to also be Europe the South. Nevertheless this defense of the South is not enough to convince to the Europa rest, so that he doesn't make the decision of building Europe in two: the Europe of the north and the Europe of the south this would never work. 

The excuse to build this division, is avoiding the failure of the Euro on the part of the countries that are considered themselves to guarantee of this foreign currency, but this is not this way, the markets would not allow to fall to 40% of the market and the potential wealth of the European union, without the lost one that would represent to their economies being charged. In the moment that was sensed that the "rich" Europa kept the euro, and he left to its free luck to the "poor" Europa all the European and international markets, they would claim the possessors of the euro the debt that there is contracted in Eurus, don't forget it, nobody would want to get paid in Liras, Drachmas, Pesetas or Shields. A solution would be to pay the debt the presidents of the foreign currency and to leave being aimed the lost ones to its new economy again, after all it seems that it is the same one in route to following so much if they separate as not but it is not this way by no means.  

We are speaking of a crash of about three trillion Eurus, accompanied besides the loss of a market of 115 million people that quickly would be object of desire of China, Asia, and the economy BRIC, to use it as logistical platform and cheap manpower, to make the final assault to the rich Europe of the North. This strategic reality, is not bearable at all for the Europe of the North, it would also happen the abandonment of the rich Europa on the part of the possible current allies, the Anglo-Saxon market whose more peremptory mission is to make fire walls to the expansion of the aggressive BRIC captained by China. 

This would happen in a to open up and to close of eyes, their effect would be the same one that took place from all over the world in 1929 falls of the bags western, eight years of internal fights among markets and on the 2020 the final outcome that they can be two, the end of the western economy, substituted by the new Euro-Asian economy, or the third world war, as last resource of the capitalist western world, in front of the forces conquerors that although alone it is for quantity for sure they would win. 

It is not necessary to give him more turns, these they are the alternatives to day of today except that the Germans and French stop to dream they evaluate their forces and their destination well, and recognize that the only exit that Italy leaves us, is the contrary one, to unite all the nations and economies of the European Union, to do without of nationalisms to implant the European State, to unify the economy, to unify the debt, and to absorb it among all, to give to the markets the unit lesson that would locate us under conditions of leaving reinforced of this wrong dream and mainly that if, fall not in the fantasy again that everybody is good, and he can cohabit for separate and together at the same time, or a thing or another.  

And all this could happen, for the non acceptance of some of not wanting to confront the reality of assuming the payment guarantee, of some scattered debts joining them in a single European debt that would not overcome the seven trillion Eurus, this debt would represent a percentage of 60% of the GDP of the European Union, or of 70% alone referred to the euro area, with these parameters, the European debt would be qualified of triple A with all security, frankly I cannot understand like doubts exist in our rulers, except for the customary thing, the diabolical ambition of the absolute power.  

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