lunes, 21 de noviembre de 2011

THE INABILITY OF UNDERSTANDING ITS ECONOMY ANNULS TO THE EUROPEAN UNION.


 

It seems already truly the game of the nonsense’s, the European commission demands changes Germany and France they second it, the changes take place the peripherals they are according to their guidelines. Result the European economy collapses, then so that we want an Union, so that we need an European economy, if we don't know how to manage it, better it would be to break it and to enter again in the national competition of each economy in front of the other ones, and to have like that is digested.  

Made this introduction wants to pass to outline the one that I believe it is the solution for the European Union regarding its global economy. I diagnose it is that the European Union seeks to stabilize an economy very above its reality and possibility, I believe that incomprehensibly the Union Europe, wants to agree with to the German theses regarding the competitiveness and to the productivity, and for consequence to the economic strength. And God willing can be made, but somebody has to study the reality and to say it so much to government's advice in Brussels, like to Germany. The conglomerate mosaic of nations that they form the current European Union and but concretely the euro area in no way cannot sustain the productive economic ratios of Germany, it is impossible structural and I would say that physically.  

An economy based on the industrialization and the commercial surplus as the German sustained by 82.000.000 of inhabitants, is impossible to expand it to more than 350.000.000 of inhabitants, alone in the euro area, and much less in more than 500 millions of the current European Union. Let us be sensible if him GDP of Germany you extrapolates like standardize for the whole union, the macroeconomic figures would jump to the impossible thing we see if not, the GDP of Germany is considered more or less in 2.8 trillion Eurus 34.500 Eurus per capita. The GDP of the rest of the euro area is that is to say of 7,4 trillion Eurus about 31.000 Eurus per capita, that tells us that the area euro to be equaled, its GDP should increase in 833 thousand million Eurus with that that the GDP of the euro serious area of approximately 11,5 trillion Eurus or 15 Trillion dollars the USA is in 14.2 trillion Dollars. We really believe that we are more than the first world power 

These macroeconomic figures leave well to the white that one cannot make an economic politics in europa, to image and likeness of Germany for the whole context of countries and societies incorporated in the union, it is necessary to break this idea or it is necessary to organize compensations it is necessary to carry out plans of relocation of productions or what is wanted, but you cannot seek that Greece has a GDP like Germany, it is absurd and impossible, I don't say it in pejorative sense to the Greek society, it is that he doesn't have possible infrastructure the own country for it, neither it should be created in the case that one can, because another fundamental point also exists if the euro area ends up expanding its GDP to the analyzed figures, where it would place its production of where it would take out its commercial surplus, we should flood the China and the USA of products "Made in UE." 

This whole reasoning comes for the continuous fact of the economic positions of the axis German Franco, but of German that of French but good leaves it to me this way, Germany seeks and Europe doesn't deny it that the deficits is balanced to solve the sovereign debts, debts that are been in fact of 15 years to have passed trying to balance the social rents of the inhabitants of the area euro, without controlling that this could not be true, without appealing to the leverage with the sovereign debt without any real support behind. 

We don't go this way anywhere except to the total ruin, the area euro what has to make once and for all is to accept this reality and re dimensioned their economy reducing it a lot, and assuring it face to the external markets, fact that would allow him to resurge with certain force. They will see my plan it is the following one: the European Union should create an own central financial entity, endowing it of a capital of 2 trillion Eurus, the trillion that was approved already makes more than one month in form of a bottom ghost because nobody has seen it, and another trillion but I eat margin of security, these two trillions mean 16% of the current global GDP, this quantity would be contributed by the BCE with the help of the setting in circulation of 2 trillion new Eurus, that would make lower the rate of the European foreign currency that we cannot really sustain and they are making it lower the markets without we take out profit some of this circumstance. 

I don't know to what extent it would lower the Euro in front of the Dollar but I not calculate more than 20% what would leave their value among a fork of 105/110 dollars / euro, let us remember that when the euro started he was given a parity of 0.909 dollars / euro, so still we leave winning, this besides tranquilizing the collection of the European debt and admitting that it could seem the topic kind of an it removes of 20% as concession to the not well thought markets of the debt, he would give the reactivation of the European industry as a result, and of the interior trade, because he should be lowered for force the imports, and against the opinion of the BCE I don't believe that it went up the inflation more than that that now is already, that is to say 3/4%, in short they already have everything in its hands, the governments that wanted, and the economic solution that they don't want to see, if they prefer to look toward another side it is that what they want is that we leave the European Union definitively. 

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