Already time
ago I wrote on the danger of the revolts of the Maghreb and the next East and I
said - the revolutions will possibly conquer they overthrew the tyrants
dictators, but after it happened, because the conquering revolutionaries met
with the same problems, with their integrist religion, with their lack of
opportunities, without future, without work, and above wildly. And arrived this
what a moment will happen? Because they
already it, the things worsen and they stiller worsened.
In any
"liberated" country the things have improved, in fact just the
opposite, in Tunisia neither it is known that it happens and they continue
wildly, in Libya the disorder is total, it follows the war the indiscriminate
slaughters, in Syria the dictator is laughed in the own noses, and among so
much the USA and Europe in definitive occident paying bombs and ammunition, but
when at the end they give birth to of making the revolution, if it is that they
stop, the town doesn't go that is what to make, then that it happened, they
stopped of killing, not for sure not, it is that they don't have another stable
work, and the petroleum gives money but I don't work, and the money will stop
to integrist hands with what will be worse.
In Egypt the
situation is much worse that before, apart from having lost the tourism, its
source of more important revenues, they continue in a militarized régime and
impotent before the grown of the recently overthrown "democratic" Islamic,
now from occident we are hoping the things throw, among so much, they have
already begun to entertain to the town with battles between Christian
Muslim" "siblings and moderate islamistas.
The general
situation in the area, is pending of three poles: one is what happens in Syria
with their civil war, and the other one what happens in Egypt, and finally
Turkey, I explain to myself, the revolution Syrian doesn't have possibilities
to triumph without international intervention, because the one exercises of
Bashar al-Assad it is very strong and very trained after its wars with Israel,
so it is impossible that the Syrian town can make nothing else that to either
die for bullets and bombs or for gases. And to all this it is necessary to hope
the Syrian conflict doesn't spread for Libya, soon we will see what it happens,
it can happen that the outrages of you al-roast they take to Europe and the USA
has to continue its saving paper in Syria, thing that now I doubt because we
are not for waste, but everything can be.
Regarding
Turkey this it plays the paper of putative father of the area, it won't put peace,
but I suppose that he didn't leave that the things you disorder a lot, neither
that occident intervenes too much, because its final purpose is the one of
being the military superpower and none of the Maghreb and of Next East. This
position change is very clear because seeing that the UE has given him
definitively the back believes me, Turkey has very undoubtedly it doesn't
interest him he waited but in an uncertain land he should make a decision and
before the negative of being western doesn't have more remedy than to become
Islamic.
The problem
anyway is to come because before this panorama, Turkey anger stopping little by
little to be moderate Islamista, and Islamista Integrist will become to the
Iranian style, but with another tendency not so absolutist, he closed this way
mainly the tong the Arab and Islamic world that he will take party among the
Iranian Islamism and the Turk arrived to this point it is very possible that a
fact that already happened that is to say that is to say in the antiquity the
union of the Hittites and the Egyptians of Turkey and Egypt, this situation
happens he will force to demographic changes partner very difficult of solving
but not of foreseeing.
These
movements that are cooking to slow fire, at the moment are leading them and
sustained Iran, for it vivifies it the Palestinian movements, and it uses the
Muslim Siblings as the force political-nun that will unite the towns of the Maghreb,
this strategy it is very clear and necessary, if Iran wants to go dominating
the nations that surround it and to end up dominating in a next future until
the Arabic Peninsula, the Gulf Peach and Oman's Gulf. Turkey and Egypt were
positioned like counterbalance in the other end and we will already see how
they are distributed this part of the world whose religion and culture is made
to pieces and he should agglutinate if he wants to count in the new allotment
of the globalization economic politics of the planet.
Very since I
am for sure all this is also part of the orchestrated financial attacks that
Europe suffers, it is evident that this whole position requires that the power settler
of in the past and its influence disintegrates, because this process is long
and patient as the Arab character, but as always I say, I should be me alone
the one that thinks of something more than in to look his nose every day and to
see if it has grown me saying lies to my society to hide him the possible
problems so that me alive well and the calmest thing possible, and those that
come behind already fixed it, because good at the moment the ruin on behalf of
Europe is already guaranteed so already less same lack the Islam it reconquers
us.
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