sábado, 7 de septiembre de 2013

THE GLOBAL NUMBERS GO IMPROVING BUT THE BOTTOM OF CLOSET IS TOO HEAVY


This title is motivated by a theory that I argue with the development of the complete text of this article that surprisingly is practically copy of another that publishes ago some behind months. The concept takes out it to collation, after the results of the improvement of the foreign debt and the immobility of the unemployment in Spain, the first thing pleases a lot to the markets and the government, but him second is reason of an alarming social restlessness that is not seen the end, for the reality of our structures as nation unable first to accept it and later to solve it. 

The position that I develop has been based for days on published data by the German Government with reason of the electoral campaign you publishes that the unemployment won't decrease more than appreciable way in next year’s, and that its rate will stay stable in the active population's 7,0% in Germany. This comment leaves of a deep economic study it allows me to be plentiful on the I authenticate problem of Spain, I have always written that one of the main problems of our country is the demographic imbalance that brought us the real estate bubble, it is evident that next to her he came us the debt, the crash of the bank system, and some more but mainly the unemployment to unbearable bench marks because we care manpower. 

But those that follow me know my opinion that the problem is irresoluble on the part of Spain and that it also impedes in great way the correction of the other economic imbalances, the unemployment not so alone for its direct incidence, if not because what means in a stopped, scarce, poor, and ineffective economy. Our unemployment is also a false unemployment in its enormity and that therefore, we will never be able to him to correct. 

Until today this theory was that of this poor man that writes them, but already little by little is not this way now they also say indirectly it from the own Germany. They that they think in advance have already been given bill that the stabilization of the consumption and the production no longer gives more than yes, and for that reason they have calculated that its ratio of future unemployment stayed in 7%, with people he gives this way pleasure to be governed because now that will make it will be to adjust the things to this level of occupation production and consumption. 

But friends here in Spain the government refuses to think and to look forward and it continues determined to wait a miracle that makes that Spain is reactivated by magic art and be able to stabilize an economy able to sustain 47 millions of inhabitants of those that are stopped the total" "population's 13% that is to say more than 6 million it is in unemployment, notice that the comparison makes it on the population's total, very since with everything and with that we overcome in 6 points the index of German unemployment that this of course only calculated on the active population. 

Germany calculates since in 2016 the figure of unemployed it will be in 2,85 millions today it is that is to say in 2,9 millions they come that this it is the stabilization point, the country he doesn't give for more, and it is not that the country doesn't grow that it grows and thanks to they calculate it to maintain the occupation rhythm. Because it is clear that the occupation forms vary with the own development of the technique and the markets consumers and suppliers, today less manpower is needed to bill 1000 Eurus that 10 years ago and but that the one that will be necessary in next 20 years, that simple, the factories have changed an atrocity first everything you automates, now already it is that there are employees that work from its house for three or four or more companies, another basic aspect it is that a product manufactured today, for alone a person, is worth in the market more than that 20 years ago one was worth manufactured by 10 employees. 

Well I believe that it is clear and it will be understandable for my fewer readers for the government from Spain that continues unintentionally to understand that never in Spain he will be able to place those but of 6 million workers in unemployment. If Spain looks toward the future he/she would see that not alone he/she will never be able to fix this, but rather on the contrary he will leave increasing, the Spanish companies escape all of the country and here alone they are services that are most for the bad economic condition deficit, and for that the industrialization in europa is already complete, it won't grow more, alone it will change articles or he/she forms of working, but in next 50 years the employment of basic manpower will be dedicated to Asia, Africa, and the emergent countries. 

I last very hard the article that today writes but harder it is to see that they close the eyes hoping a miracle or a ray get off the sky and readjustment the demography and the productive economy of Spain, in our country the figure characteristic of stabilization of the unemployment in a study that embraces from 1980 oscillates in a figure of 12% (5 points more than Germany) well to arrive and our ratio unemployed should be that is to say about 3 millions we must place other 3 millions urgently, the question is where and I eat, it is literally impossible, for the current and future industrialization of Spain.  

There is not exit to the problem the bad thing it is that we find difficult this situation, I have already told it many times about 50 thousand million Eurus and ascending a year, and if we stop to spend them it cost us a revolution style the French of 1789, and there won't be for less I assure it to him, my proposal has also written it several times but I make it again for if there is luck and they pay me attention. Spain should calculate a stanchion possible by means of indebtedness or rescue or like be, based on the following philosophies: or revolution, or I spend yearly endless, or valuation contextuada of the expense in a period of time and quantity. 

I lean for this last one because like I have said before, the Spanish demography you shot artificially for the immigration that I cause the boom of the construction, today there are millions of people in this country that you/they are displaced of their disabled origins of working and neither of escaping from this trap for lack of resources. But that if to these people they are offered the possibility to liquidate their debts (basically mortgages) or of returning to their origin with a capital to define that allows them to recompose their life in their origins, for sure Spain placed these three million unemployed in one year or two. 

If we don't outline something seriously the Spanish society it will return to the almost medieval structures, composed by a rich noble class and with all the power on goods and country properties, and the rest surviving in the hardest in the poverty and penuries, without right to the education neither the sanity and of course to the work.  

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