The agency of qualification of risk Moody's has changed the perspective of
the debt of the Generalitat of stable to negative, until Ba2 / NP. The change
reflects the vision of the agency of the risk that the efforts for the fiscal
consolidation of the region have not ended. As well as the political tensions
among Catalonia and the Spanish Government that could affect the climate
investor negatively in the community. Also a risk according to the one which,
if the political tensions are increased, the support of liquidity of the
Spanish Government to the Catalan you could be affected. This is the true
reason, in the inexplicable explanations the last one is always the true
one.
This is another of the political pseudo actions that Spain is able to make
as quickly as possible because since he doesn't find anything illegal in the
taking of possession of the president and in the composition of the government
of the Generalidat it cannot allow many days to pass without making something
negative that mines the one on the way to Catalonia to the independence. In the
official statement of Moody’s, it is very undoubtedly the only thing that
reduces the qualification of the Catalan debt it is that Moody's knows that
Spain drowned economically to Catalonia no matter how much the Spanish law
forces to not making it.
About the efforts for the fiscal consolidation, Moody's says that the new
Govern headed by Puigdemont will center the efforts in the independence. These
plans, the agency says, they could affect the investment climate negatively in
the area and, possibly, the fiscal politics. Also, according to Moody's,
although from 2012 the Autonomous Fund of Liquidity (FLA) it guarantees the
Catalan finances, it has gone up the convincing lightly that this support could
be affected due to the political tensions. It is very clear how they see that
what worries to the economic world is not Catalonia but Spain that they know
positively that it acted outside of the law
The plans of Puigdemont to follow the leaf of route sovereignty that foreseen
to get the independence of Catalonia in a term of 18 months, the political
tensions can increase with the Spanish Government, mainly after this the
declaration of rupture of the Parlament was declared unconstitutional for TC.
It is clear another time that these notes are dictated by the government in
functions of the PP to maintain the restlessness as much as possible in the Catalonia
non-separatist, but meanwhile Catalonia continues in head of the economic
ratios of Spain in exports, in foreign investments, in installations of
international companies the last one that is settling in Barcelona is Amazon
The own Moody's recognizes that the fact that the Spanish general elections
of the 20D have not still been translated in the formation of a government, he
makes difficult, to advance which the answer will belong from the Executive to
the aspirations of independence of Catalonia, what believes more political
uncertainty this declaration is very difficult of believing that it has left
the own Moody's because the tone and form in that it is edited give had sat
down that at the end the alone PP governed or with parties you tune him because
it denotes a sequence characteristic of a government of extreme right
unionist's tendency and classic of the PP there won't be negotiation some but
rather there will be total war and the elected weapon is the economy.
Moody's doesn't know the leader of the PSOE, Pedro Sánchez, it fulfilled
its commitment and he contacted the president of the Generalitat, Carles
Puigdemont, with who approached the Catalan political situation. Sánchez had
announced his intention of calling to the president as soon as he took
possession of the position and he made it this Friday, although it was not the
first one, since previously Puigdemont had talked on the phone with Pablo Iglesias.
It is the first contacts with state political leaders of the president, the
conversation has been cordial and it has lasted about 20 minutes. The president
has thanked him the call. Both they have come to an agreement in reestablishing
the communication channels and dialogue among the institutions.
Pedro Sanchez has transferred him that for the socialists it is
high-priority to solve the problems that share Catalan and the group of Spain
like they are the fight against the unemployment, the inequality and for the
regeneration of the institutions. Also, of their determination to approach a
federal reformation of the Constitution that solves the Catalan crisis. Also,
Sánchez has put in value the paper of the PSC in the Catalan politics and they
have been in maintaining the contact.
The leader of We Can, Pablo Iglesias, he has been the first Spanish leader
in contacting the new president, Carles Puigdemont. As the own leader has
explained of We Can, the conversation has been prolonged during about 20
minutes and it has been dominated by the cordiality and both have made special
stress in the importance there to be dialogue.
According to Iglesias, he has explained to the president that We Can he
doesn't want that Catalonia leaves Spain and that we "bet for a new
constitutional fitting that recognizes to Catalonia like nation in a common
project that recognizes the multinational of Spain". Also, the leader of
we Can he has told him that it is "in favor that in Catalonia there is a
legal referendum in the current" juridical mark, although the formation
that directs would defend him that Catalonia continued in Spain.
Iglesias have also pointed out so much to the president of the Generalitat
their "concern before the unilateral strategies as the immobile" but
they have been in to maintain the contact and to take care of a cordiality and
a good tone that benefit as much to Catalonia as to Spain". The
Generalitat has confirmed on the other hand that the conversation took place in
a "very correct" tone and that both leaders have been summoned to
"maintain the dialogue from the discrepancy and the respect."
It is clear that it is very precipitate the note of Moody's is more it is
so precipitate that it is clear that it is a note dictated from Madrid and for
the PP because such and like the things go today it is easier than Catalonia
and their representatives in the Spanish congress they support to the Spanish
left that not to the two parties of the right PP and Citizens that both two
don't add in any case most enough to assure the government so maybe friends of
Moody's they have thrown and it is that not alone there won't be economic
breathlessness for Catalonia, but rather this he/she will be able to help to
modernize the structures of government from Spain.
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