How many paginate me
still lacked to write on the Greek hairspring I wonder maybe every day for
weeks it is this the last one, I don't believe it. They are hardly two days for
the encounter of the Euro group in which an agreement should be sealed between
Greece and its European creditors, it stops this way to unblock some of the
7.200 million of the rescue with those that to avoid the crash. But I doubt it
the minister of Finances of the euro they will be this Thursday without
anything on the table, because Athens and the institutions have changed the
negotiation for a game of guilt’s. Greece no longer has left anything that to
offer.
Mario Draghi,
noticed yesterday Monday that in the event of Hellenic crash, the euro zona
would enter in an unexplored land, but that the tools are had to negotiate an
infection in the best way. The infection is to me to understand dear readers
the weapon that the Greeks that don't want to pay use and the markets that they
don't want to lose but there is not infection to speak and if there is him the
problem it is that there has already been him, I imagine that when Draghi
speaks that he has tools to negotiate it is that it is already negotiating it
and you see that he can with it.
The area euro, is
already in these moments contaminated by the indecision and the contradictions
of the negotiations between her and Greece, and it is he from the moment that
the UE began to fall almost in recession, of this he will make a little more
than 18 months, this it was the alarm sign that Draghi knew how to read clearly
and it began to plan the reaction that I take him to implant in March the
current plan of purchase of 60,000 million monthly funds to which we call “Quantitative
Expansion” in fact and in my opinion this action that makes it is to isolate to
the euro area of the contamination for the hopeless crash of Greece.
The sign that this
action is giving to the market has several readings and at the moment all are
being positive except the politics that he goes for other courses; let us see
the international markets economically they come that the BCE and the euro have
resources to safeguard the economy of the euro area independently that this
Greece or not therefore the euro is safe, for my too much pleasure because it
should be devaluated much more, but the fact is that if tomorrow Greece
abandons the euro the European economy he won't find out the BCE indirectly it
is returning to terms and amply the Greek debt to the market of the euro.
Another thing is
the political topic and this yes that is contaminating it is evident that the
situation between Greece and the troika has closed for the politics of the governments
of Syriza extreme left that has very undoubtedly he doesn't want because he is
not able to this it is certain to pay the debt that this government didn't
contract and that it has ruined the life of the Greeks this is not to forget it
because if you leave this way just as it is, he understands each other that the
current Greek government makes the impossible thing to detach of the obligation
of paying the unpayable thing and it is not necessary to fight against the but
to understand it and to leave it free that means that it is necessary to leave
it outside of the euro and that you reconstruct for his means.
If it doesn't
become quick the economy didn't contaminate to the rest of countries of the
euro but if he lengthens or not very more, if he will make it the politics that
has already begun to enter in Spain and with an extraordinary force and alone
the exclusion of Greece of the euro can make that the Spanish politics changes
direction otherwise they don't doubt it to final of this 2015 Spain it will be
governed by the same politicians that Greece and this will no longer have
another exit that the end of the euro and of the UE it doesn't fit them the
smallest doubt and this is what is taking not to the markets and the
investments toward the uncertainty the debt of Greece, the market you see that
with Greece he has to absorb 320 thousand millions but if he sinks to Spain the
thing he rises to the 2 trillion and these they are already too many.
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