The International Monetary Fund (IMF) it was shown surprised by the
strength of the Spanish economy and it elevated their forecasts of growth
substantially for the country, although he noticed about the necessity of not
to slack in the reformations and to anchor the trust of the investors.
"The growth has surprised to the rise and an increase of the GDP of 3,1
percent is expected in 2015 and of 2,5 percent in 2016, significantly above the
average of the Eurozone", he has said the IMF in its report annual
preliminary on the country.
Who deceives the one who, it is really so skilled the minister De Guindos
presenting numbers faked, or it is that the IMF doesn't want another Greece and
he knows that if he doesn't begin to help the PP, Spain can be it next November
if the PP doesn't win the general elections that Rajoy that summoned says it
stops then. I lean to think of this alternative, because it is impossible that
they are really completed the averages of growth of the GDP, these they don't
square for any side, a country an economy that grows with the help of getting
in debt, is because its GDP doesn't grow and they tolerate it the debts.
However such a simple thing of understanding as this, the IMF, not alone it
doesn't alert it, but rather in a juggling exercise he helps to falsify the
terms and the results that they are really those that Spain, the IMF is living
it attributes the improvement to the structural reformations but also to the
external, included favorable conditions the expansible politics of the BCE,
this it had projected growths of the 2,5 and 2,0 percent for 2015 and 2016 last
month of April. Until here it is correct, if was not for the external
conditions and for the expansible politics of the BCE has already arrived to
Greek limits they don't doubt it.
In a moment in the one that the political panorama seems to weigh about the
trust investor after some local and autonomous elections in those that new
political and alternative formations have emerged of left, the IMF has decided
to toss a hand to the PP or the official right as they want, to see of avoiding
temptations to give it goes behind in the reformations, thing more than
probable if in the general elections they win, like in the last local, parties
or groupings of extremist considered parties, populists and all of left, today
there is not, on the contrary, any reason in believing to be able to continue
with the politicians directed by the IMF to correct the economic imbalances
that suffer the countries of the Mediterranean area of the UE.
A reversion of the reformations already on in March it would generate
uncertainty and it could break the recovery mainly if the external environment
deteriorates, he says the IMF to add that vulnerabilities and structural
problems still persist. Because undoubtedly structural problems exist and who
has told to you that there is a recovery in the Spanish economy. It is evident
that you don't find out anything and that they are limited to repeat what tells
them De Guindos in the G7 and similar meetings.
The bad thing is that like one says in Spain, he catches to a liar before
that to a cripple. This way you after saying that we will grow 3% they ask to
reduce the debt of companies and families, to continue with the fiscal
discipline and to watch over the finances of the regions closely (communities)
to maintain the trust of the markets. You for what I see continue without
knowing that the region’s most has been good to fill the pockets of the
politicians of the PP and the PSOE making pass through them costs of
infrastructures etc. that provide some commissions that could not justify you
if they took them directly of the central government.
This on one hand and for other, they should know that there are some
communities like Catalonia that should run with all the costs of sanity and
education that have passed over between other services like the police and that
when the government of the community puts copayments in sanity, or canons in
the bank deposits, the central government and it presents them to the
Constitutional Tribunal so that he declares them null and
unconstitutional.
Indeed after the strong adjustments of the last years, the risk of
deviations in the deficit of the Autonomous Communities has not disappeared and
it won't disappear, because it is as he told them, the weapon that the central
government uses to square his deficit numbers, the one that it has more than
enough to the autonomous communities happening. Spain should take advantage of
the current moment to carry out additional reformations that they spread to be
more effective when they are implemented in an environment as the current one
in that other European economies if they are starting up again, find out well,
it is better the growth of 1,5% of France that 3% of Spain that you
predict.
Also if so well we go because they ask to reduce the debt of companies and
families, with a GDP of 3% this comes alone, because they will go up the wages,
the consumption will grow and the companies manufactured more and the state
also collected more, or I make a mistake, this is the true that you come and
not the lie that they make them say or you need to believe. It is extraordinary
to read that they suggest tributary mechanisms to help to finance to the
regions and even to allow differentiated deficit objectives, to keep in mind
the structural differences among the communities. But if you don't control it,
they will see as the current government he doesn't pay them attention
And finally you and we are afraid with the unemployment and I astonished,
when you say that there would be margin to apply more measures to foment the
employment creation, in a country with more than five million people in unemployment. Knowing this figure that the
central government reduces in almost a million, demonstrates that you know then
more than what you say, my theory it is that they are you making electoral
campaign, but with lies the campaigns are not made we are already disillusioned
the Spaniards with these own tactics for sub-developed countries.
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