THE ECONOMY HAS TO CHANGE THE WORLD AND THE SOCIETY

How many times I have written that Spain will never be able to never to reduce the unemployment unless it begins to eliminate inhabitants independently that it elevates the GDP today in day it begins to it turns in the earliest economies that to more GDP less I use it is needed he had already explained to it in other occasions when the Spanish government tells us that it will go up the GDP 4% in 2015 and that this will make lower the unemployment in I don't know how many hundreds of thousands, besides lying as you pose you they don't know neither what they are said. 

Today the Deutsche Bank has put in warning to all the economists and statesmen of the world, when it has published that in the developed countries we are coming closer to the biggest change seen in generations. For the first time from the industrial revolution the new technologies are destroying more employment of the one than they will create. That overwhelming expressed Deutsche Bank in a document the complicated future that he waits to the labor force in the developed countries. 

The labor force will be less and less necessary to maintain and to increase the production levels. This is already beginning to be an evident factor in several countries that continue growing without the necessity of to create employments and to go up wages of this we know a lot in Spain although unfortunately it is not for the great technology that represents our industry. This deep change will bear with all security immense economic changes and social" implications.   

Inside the report it is pointed out that although this change can be seen on one hand of the society and used knowingly by the politicians in near time of elections, like an era of peacefulness and managerial, long term high benefits it can destabilize the market and the economy completely. In fact, the disappearance of the work in some societies that have been based on the own work is no longer only an economic problem, it is a much wider social and political problem. It is a crisis that already affects to our system of values.  

The new technologies have displaced to the labor force to a secondary place inside the productive system and it has also displaced physically it to so much places considered poor from the intellectual point of view as economic: The production has become completely dependent of the capital (it would scheme, computers, etc.) while the work of the employees has lost its power, worse labor conditions and unemployment they are its consequences.   

These new relationships explain the curl in which are, big benefits and stagnated wages, it is certain that the selfishness of the capital takes advantage of this reality, but there is a part that doesn't depend on an adult or smaller benefit, but of a bigger or smaller automation and production technology. The innovation and the new technologies are something irresistible for the owners of the capital (managers). The companies compete to be more innovative, they invest in (I+D), however this tendency reduces the dependence of the factor work (employees) and in turn erosion the wages, while it increases the benefits.  

This dynamics is very clear in the last 50 years, the salary mass every time he has less weight inside the national rent. Meanwhile the hole among the return of the capital and of the wages he has gotten wider. However, the consumption has continued increasing during these years and he has become with difference the component of more weight inside the GDP in the developed countries. But like we achieve the consumption if we don't have buyers or consumers with more purchasing power. If the wages lose weight, how can the consumption grow? The increase of the consumption and the expense has been possible for the explosion of the indebtedness of the families. The growth of the debt of the homes seems to follow a similar tendency to the growth of the consumption. But this alone it is possible in some very led economies, it is not for example it in Spain or in Greece, in these the relationship is on the contrary as there is not credit like they cannot get in debt more, there is not society consumer or there is little, these economies stop. 

The expansion of the credit is being the support of the consumption. This tendency has also compensated the increment of the cost of the life. The commercial credits have substituted the ascents of the wages, the mortgages have satisfied the right to possess a housing, the university credits have substituted to the gratuitous education, while the public sanity is being eliminated in a gradual way in favor of the private insurance it is evident that all this that today sees clearly has not come out today this has been created during 20 or 25 years and as the politicians they are not statesmen neither they worry nothing else that for the four or eight years of command to happen that more or less enjoy they have not worried neither of finding out what was happening.   

It is this new condition the one that makes that this crisis is the crisis of the rich countries there is not crisis in Chinese (still), the India, South Korea, this explains two things a because he takes place the crisis and the other one because you cannot leave her: Historically the economic and social answer in the recoveries was coordinated and combined, production, work and consumption. However, in this last recovery it has broken this coordination. While the unemployment has fallen economically with force in many countries that are still later and technologically, in the countries with economies and productions very technological the production is not able to find the rhythm.  

Another phenomenon that we are seeing is that although the unemployment this trying to reach previous levels to the crisis, the number of workers that they have a partial employment in an involuntary way has been shot the reality he tells this way us that it is lie the employment he doesn't recover because if analyzes the working hours to get the current GDP we realize that many are needed less this makes that the employment is of bad quality and not well paid because it is necessary to distribute it to get that the society is not revolutionized. The wages are stagnated and the total hours of work they are not able to reach the previous levels to the recession, they are stagnated, the social recovery doesn't arrive. To muffle these effects, "the politics should work with more effectiveness through the public" expense.  

The bad thing is that this public expense cannot only be directed to produce expensive infrastructures for the mere fact of using a lot of manpower but rather it is necessary to dedicate the public expense for supplemental the low salaries with the purpose of that the civil society, the called society of consumption can consume and this alone it is gotten recording with taxes the benefits of the companies and of the trade, otherwise the society finished rebelling without fail because it will be surrounded of some privileged ones that will have luxuries and wonderful products to those that will be able to never to end up possessing, this took us hopelessly to two social groups very differed so much that it can cause authentic fights of classes.