martes, 11 de octubre de 2011

IS SPAIN IN RECESSION? THE ANSWER IS YES



Better we go putting on in situation, it is not necessary to wait to that confirms it to us the PP when it leaves chosen by absolute majority the next one 20N. I say this, because it is the first surprise with which their politics of expense reductions announced us, social, economic freedoms, and of all type that took to term the new government. Lately the things are not said by their name, and it denominates them to him in any other way or it is simply avoided to say them, for not scaring but to the society, but I have reached the conclusion that is not alone for the society, this makes it the politicians from three to the room, for not getting scared themselves. 

I don't know if to hide a paralysis situation and brutal setback in the economy and the productivity of Spain is good thing, to my I find that we are losing a time regrettably without he takes any decision neither initiative, that makes that it is deepened but in the disaster that waits for us after the 20N, this is an irresponsibility on the part of our political class, look at all that one is living in Catalonia for ten months, it is a minimized tracing of what one will live in Spain, however not alone it is occurring long to the matter, if not that in many occasions one boasts in certain parts of the Spanish political concert, of the bad thing that this Catalonia, as wanting to think that to them it doesn't affect them, and they are in a gross error, the situation found by the new government in Catalonia is the same and maybe increased that the PP will be in the rest of Spain. 

There is recession and deep it is not some tenth, I calculate that in the legislature that he comes if the European situation continues with the same parameters of indecision in the resolution of the sovereign debt, of the capitalization of the banking and the reactivation of the general economy, Spain will have a real fall the 2012 of about -3,5% of its PIB., in the 2013 of -1,5% and it is possible that it is stabilized in 2014, starting from then, and always counting with which the government of the PP makes it well that the economic agents of the nation find helps and labor reformations to start up to work again that the banking really cleans up and put in circulation the level of credits again of at least the 2005, that is to say, if everything is completed Spain in the 2015 it will be economically located in the equivalent point to the PIB. Of the 2005, that is to say we will have left all the dirt accumulated during this damned decade behind. 

I would like that our new government doesn't hide us the reality, the society knows it because he lives him, we are in a brutal recession in our country, and we know it because you doesn't arrive in order to month, because you cannot change car, neither of refrigerator neither of washing machine, because the mortgages cannot be paid, because almost one already has more friends in unemployment than working, because those that have work have been reduced the salary, because the misery appears in the middle class, because the companies one gives they locate or they close, because the savings bank disappear, because the banks don't not give credits because they don't want, but because they are not able to, because no international market lends anything to them, because we can no longer maintain our sanity, neither our education, etc. better not to continue. 

All this is the unequivocal signs of the recession, they cannot hide, and I believe that they should not hide, because to leave this is thing of all, certain that the public powers, are those that should guide us toward the one on the way to exit, but it is evident that we have to push them, we cannot let that with their statistical and wordiness they want to appease us, making us believe that the things are not so bad, the things are not well very bad, and alone knowing the graveness of the situation, we will prevent that arguments and easy and comforting demagogueries are used, to get the days and the comfortably seated years to pass in the armchairs of the power without assuming the obligations and the push that we need all on the part of our rulers. And here I want to make a request that politician that this situation please scares him to leave it. 

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