SPAIN WHERE THESE CALCULATIONS WERE TEN YEARS AGO?

Next year Spain will reach a critical moment, from the point seen demographic, for the development of the work market, of the system of pensions and of the social protection in general. It will be then when their population will be divided to same parts - 50% - among those who are in age of working, because they have between 16 and 64 years, the assets, and who are outside of the environment of the labor market for age. That is to say, those smaller than 16 and those bigger than 64. 

Or, said otherwise, Spain has already arrived to a situation of demographic risk of an asset for a passive one. Maxima, when 4,8 millions of the 23 million assets are in unemployment. This tendency will go to more in next year’s and, as consequence of it, he will make that the moment arrives in the one that the cotenants number to the Social security cannot support the expense in pensions.  

Well and that it is necessary to make, because to denounce failures and forecast lack is very easy, that that this country and almost all need today in day, they are studies about to give solutions, not to only demonstrate problems that repeat it is the easy thing. He will be necessary to decide urgently that to make with the surplus of unemployed that the national economy will never be able to absorb, and it is necessary to make it quick because the phenomenon that is happening today in day, is that he decreases the immigration to the emigration it increases according to studies of the National Institute of Statistic, but as always, the data are tendentious they say alone what seems good, if they leave but that arrive we will reduce the demographic imbalance caused during the crazy decade of the real estate bum, this is not this way, since it is calculated that in next ten years to this rhythm single 500.000 inhabitants will decrease that is to say anything. 

It is also neither said in the statistics that people's type enters and what people's type they leave, and this is of vital importance, the current reality, is that those that continue coming are not qualified, and those that mark the difference and that they leave, they are our youth's better, with university graduates, and with a wide professional future that will be carried out outside of our frontiers. 

This is logical and I cannot complain for it, I would make the same thing if begins today my professional life, I eat up I will be in a country where the future is full with unemployment, there is not possible future, the cost of this chronic unemployment it is such that it is impossible that Spain squares its numbers unless its economy decreases to levels of some countries of central America and Africa, this is that it records. Spain should return imperatively to a balance population of between 38 and 40 million inhabitants like be and quickly, regrettably it should select that he wants that he stays, and who should leave of this nation. 

If this action bears like I have said repeatedly in my comments, a cost of repatriation development to the state, it should carry out equally, it is preferable to carry out a punctual expense that to transform it into a perpetual social cost and without final objective, more than its elimination for impossibility of supporting it, because if you arrives to this end, the problem then will be worse since we will convert the chronic unemployed, in active revolutionaries. 

Spain should plan its new economy being based on these problems, and he should make you participate to the other countries of the European union if we want to continue belonging to her, I am for sure the UE this knows it, the same thing that knows that Greece and Portugal never paid its debt, and that Italy goes right the economic and political collapse, this it is the basic problem of the European" "disunion the unquestionable fact that a part is known how to govern, and the other one no. 

Already capture it in another article but voucher the pain to return on the figures we see in Spain there are really 5 million unemployed that some get paid and other not, these they receive a we call him social compensation, if we analyze the typologies of this community the thick of their components he would say that in 60% they are coming from the immigration of last decade, that is to say we are before 3 million people that dazzled by the peacefulness of Spain, they left their bad original situation, to see of having a better life here, this situation has been changed completely and now they are same or worse that when they began its adventure. 

But it is that also, it is for sure here it won't change them the situation, Spain won't be able to create neither in 50 years that pass 3 million new employments because it is that, not of going maintaining the employment and natural unemployment that it would be calculated as a lot in the active population's 9%. For this chapter we would already have the 2 millions that we should support. So if we calculate a half cost of 650 € for month and unemployed of long duration (direct emoluments but costs of attention) we can calculate in 23,400 millions, Eurus of year, the expense that relapses about the national economy, my proposal is we dedicate the equivalent cost to 10 years of this situation, what would be equal to a stanchion 234.000 million Eurus, (6.500 € for unemployed) this means that if our PIB is of 1.100.000.000 million Eurus, he means that the proposed cost would mean so alone 0,021% I would say that he would not have appreciable repercussion. 

I find it that to propose to this surplus of people, a compensation for their emigration of 6.500 € for unoccupied, serious very much more effective than to maintain them making courses and wrong living in our country. With a figure this way in the pocket in their origins would allow them to redo their lives and their country property completely. And to this country it would allow him to recompose their natural demography, because although we are making numbers on an unemployed, the logical thing it is to suppose that in the number of emigrants it would not be of single 3 millions, if not that between family and other I suppose that the figure of the 7 million inhabitants, this demographic readjustment would be overcome it would allow to the state to be able to establish incentives to foment the natural growth fomenting the nativity, with the purpose of going also recomposing the pyramid of the Spanish population's age.