IT CAN BE THE PENINSULA DE CRIMEA THE MODERN SARAJEVO

The president from Russia, Vladímir Putin, urged today to impede the escalade of the violence and to achieve the prompt stabilization of the situation in Ukraine during phone conversations that it maintained with several western leaders. As the Kremlin, Putin informed it approached the crisis in the neighboring country with the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, the first British minister, David Cameron, and the president of the Council of the European Union, Herman Van Rompuy. He stood out the enormous importance of impeding an escalade of the violence and the necessity of a prompt stabilization in Ukraine, it points out an official statement diffused by the Russian Presidency. 

In these moments Putin is playing another time with europa the NATO and the western world and he makes it because he leans on in the sad experience of Georgia and Ossetia of the South that we live all in the 2008 this time or a lot I make a mistake or it passes the same thing in Crimea and Ukraine again, because Russia what needs of its old world takes it for the force and I list, Russia knows very well that its former satellites don't have the but minimum possibility to counteract its military force that is mobilized with a speed that has already wanted for yes "The Wehrmacht", fact that surprisingly have contributed to that is if the Westerners for distrustful, one can say that before the breakup of the USSR we don't trust completely and among some and other the disarmament of all the Soviet former new and independent nations was preferred. 

To Russia we put it to him in tray he has the same defense space in front of Europe and the NATO without a ruble and their mobility cost him and force allows him to take to protect or to make what gives him the desire in this belt before steel and now of butter, but this doesn't respond my "question I title" it can be Crimea the modern Sarajevo and to loosen, in this case the III war world, difficult answer but I will dare to respond that NOT and in that base myself then in that Russia continues being a monster of cardboard stone that bases its position of force on the fear of the other thing that if he knows how to manage and very well, Russia doesn't want wars for that reason with anybody neither to favor neither in against they see that he made with Iraq, with Iran, and that he makes with the wild Syria, and this makes it because it cannot maintain the cost that supposes to really intervene in a war neither although they declare it others.   

Russia kept Crimea because it interests him vastly since it is the armor of the natural refuge of its naval fleet anchored in Sebastopol port city of Ukraine, summoned in the peninsula of Crimea. I believe that this time Russia is right because strategically if he wants to defend its interests and because Crimea was not also Ukrainian but rather for politicians' reasons it has been as a ball that has passed of Russian to Ukraine and finally it is considered an independent republic inside Ukraine, this before the drift occidental of this it can never interest Russia, so we have two scenarios one to free Crimea of Ukraine and that he makes comfortable at Russia like friend and protector, and two displace all the military force from the NATO to the area to tell him that not to Russia. 

The first option believes that it would finish with the problem because Russia cannot sustain Ukraine for what doesn't interest him we said to conquer it again but if one doesn't make he will make like he made with Georgia it will put its army in Crimea and he will make like he/she made with Ossetia of the south, take out me of here if you can Ukraine and you finishes it cannot happen of here but another time was in evidence the UE and the NATO I sincerely would prefer to avoid it, and it would convince Ukraine that is not necessary him the peninsula for anything and that he worries about its national stability. 

The second option to face Russia is simply a question of strategy of the UE and the NATO so quick would fall Crimea in hands of the NATO like in hands of Russia, the problem is in that if he falls in europa we would have a focus of guerrillas and of expense of money that now I don't believe that it suits us, but this should decide it the judicious ones political and military western, and frankly I don't believe that it is necessary to take a risk for a peninsula that up to now has not given any problem, me what I believe, is that that more it interests to europa and the NATO, it is that as much as bigger expenses have Russia less you win of entering in military adventures he had left them.