lunes, 26 de enero de 2015

SYRIZA CAN CHANGE THE FUTURE DE GREECE BUT NOT WITHOUT THE HELP OF THE UE



The express government agreement in Greece carried out in hours by Syriza and the bias from the Euro group to an extension of the rescue moderates the tension in the markets. The Bag of Athens brakes some previous falls that reached 6%. The biggest scattering concentrates on the Greek debt to shorter term. The interest of the voucher to three years is shot until touching 12%, the financial markets in Greece make an effort in containing the bear pressures. The day has included moments of more tension, with fallen next to 6% in the Bag of Athens. But the investors avoid the panic and they moderate the initial alerts. 

In their overcome, the Bag of Athens has ended up quoting in positive, before beginning a new bear path. The market evaluates the options of an agreement on the Greek debt although the incognito ones will persist in the next dates. The creditors discard any type at the moment of it removes in the debt. The momentary collapse of 5% that has suffered today the Bag of Athens has been led, again, for the banking. The actions of Piraeus Bank has ended up quoting with fallen off until 8%. The blow has also expanded to other banks like National Bank of Greece and Alpha Bank. 

The economic uncertainty doesn't only pass invoice to the Greek variable rent. The fears are bigger if it fits in the public debt of Greece, awaiting knowing the measures that it will start the Government of Syriza to make in front of the pending payments. The interest demanded to the Greek voucher to three years is shot until touching 12% 

The investors renew the sale of Greek debt, especially to short and half term, the more affected by the uncertainty about the capacity of payment of Greece. The creditors offer dialogue to Syriza, but they discard one it removes. The result is a new escalade in the demanded interests. The disinvestments elevate the interest from the Greek voucher to three years above 10% and of 11%. In their escalade it ends up touching 12%.  

On the other hand, the adjustments of wallets are moderated in the debt to longer term. The profitability of the Greek voucher to ten years resists near 8,7% with which closed last week, although during the day it has ended up touching 9%. Like one can deduce the war it has begun and less bad than inside the bad thing at least there is not uncertainty in government's unit if in what drifted and it executed but not in the one who and in the time that will be quick and it is that to Greece he is finished this value so appreciated "the time." 

In my opinion Greece cannot seek to negotiate nothing else that its exit of the euro and of the UE its bigger public debt is unpayable because its own economy doesn't produce the enough GDP it stops to return the interests I have not even read in some place that should grow to make in front of these Greece 7 annual%, but it is that the things don't finish here in its public debt it is that nobody speaks of the private debt that should be impossible to redeem in the current situation. 

Such and like the things or the UE are presented it assumes through the BCE the whole Greek debt and he prepares a restitution plan from the same one to the countries and banks implied with the purpose that this action doesn't compute lost immediately and it can unbalance the economic plans that he also needs the own UE and all the other partners or this is an announced death and of unforeseeable political and economic repercussions. 

I believe that the BCE the first thing that should buy in its (QE) of serious 60.000 million for month the Greek debt distributed between the countries and European banks the idea would be that of these 60.000 million a third you dedicates to this, and with the rest acts following the reactivation plan that the UE needs urgently, 

Evidently Greece should be remote of the euro area and if they hurry me of the UE but that yes without debt that is already enough favor, and this is not a punishment to Syriza neither Greece, it is simply an immense favor, because they have said it for active and for passive, Greece wants to recover its nationality that according to words of Alexis Tsipras, the already today first Greek minister, the Greeks have lost it for five years. And I agree with him, such Greece and like it is now he doesn't have capacity to be able to be an independent country. 

It is logical because that something has to sacrifice if they want to be Greek and I believe that their sacrifice is retiring of the UE, to redo its economy and its identity like society and I eat sovereign country, but not to the German way but to his. Greece is for sure he can live perfectly like a part more than those exceptions that you cohabit in Europe: Andorra, Switzerland, Monaco, as examples. 

Greece could be that unique tourist paradise. With some tourist structures of great level, located in the islands of the Aegean sea like idyllic places and their own history like birdcall to create from this their first industry and source of revenues, they will possibly tell me that they are more than 10 million of Greek and this is a lot, but I believe that what I propose is not quarreled with an industrial planning, in their more peninsular and less more attractive part. 

In short me I believe that without debt, Greece, the Greece that is there for more than 3.000 years ago, he has more than enough reasons to survive being that Greece, not being what the UE wants and that in the bottom it is the wrong that he has brought it until this disaster, because we all know that the UE was allowed to deceive, thinking that without Greece it would not be the European Union that dreamt to be, and it allowed that it was part of her, even knowingly that their bills were false. This is a fact that now should pay all the Greeks and the "Europeans."  

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