ALL VA FITTING IN THE ISLAMIC WORLD

The rising of the sanctions to Iran supposes the beginning of a new period for the Islamic Republic. The Iranian president has interpreted this way it, Hassan Rohani who considers that we are "in road toward a new and better era". it is logical that alone Rohani refers to Iran when making these declarations, but the matter will go to but this new situation of Iran what will bring gets it is the political and economic reformation of what I denominate the Islamic continent a political continent that is located physically among Europe Asia and Africa. Starting from now Iran will be able to export more petroleum and gas and he will have access again to the international banking. The foreign investments will facilitate the creation of new employments and the modernization of the infrastructures. According to Rohani, a foreign investment of between 30.000 and 50.000 million they would allow an annual growth of 8% of the economy of the country. 

During the last decade, Iran has suffered massive economic sanctions on the part of United Nations, United States and the European Union, in more and more growing and restrictive grades. One of the heights of this economic repression was the prohibition on the part of the European Union of the imports of petroleum and gas from Iran. As consequence, the annual oil earnings of the Islamic nation fell from 118.000 million dollars in 2011 to 42.000 million in 2013. 

This no single affection the development of Iran, but rather I alter the development of the whole Islam it is evident that it rebounded in nations like Iraq and I alter the whole Arab and Islamic countries of the north of Africa, this alone situation of continuous conflicts of revolutions made savages for the lucre and the individual power of absolutist presidents and anything democratic it has braked the human and economic development of almost everybody Muslim and alone Africa we could leave outside of this hecatomb the Arabic peninsula where nations have flourished like to Taste, the own Saudi Arabia and the Arab Emirates. 

Now that the sanctions to Iran have been eliminated after the nuclear agreement of Iran with six western powers, the 78 millions of inhabitants of the country and the big companies of around the world they hope to take out profit of a recovery of the trade and the business in view of the new opportunities that are opened to the Islamic country. The economic expansion that for the country and for the whole area of that new continent that I have invented and that more than a physical continent is a new ideological continent they are extraordinary. 

Iran can pass in little time to be the head of the Islamic world. And with their improvements he can to rush the whole Islam the changes that will take place in Iran they are eminently economic, but of such a depth that they affected to the surrounding economies: The exports of petroleum and Iranian gas to the European Union can be restarted. You sign Westerners they will be now enabled to provide equipment to the fields of petroleum and gas in Iran. Companies insurance companies of West assure shipments of Iranian petroleum again. The general prohibition rises to make business with the energy sector of Iran.  

The Iranian banks are connected SWIFT, a world system of financial transactions again. Foreign banks will be enabled to grant back loans to trade projects with Iran that in turn will be able to consent to at least 100.000 millions of dollars of their oil earnings that had been frozen in bills foreigners. The sanctions against Iranian companies and hundreds of individuals linked with the nuclear program of the country will be revoked. Boeing and Airbus will be able to sell airships and reserves to the sector of the civil aviation of Iran. The industry self-driven Westerner can restart its exports to Iran. 

The rising against Iran won't be carried out with entirety in an immediate way neither he has a definitive character, because they will be able to be restored in case Iran supposed certain incomplete. Some of the sanctions will still remain several years, for example, the seizure to the trade of heavy weapons and the ballistic program of Iran. Las sanctions of United Nations that have conformed the base of the punitive measures of West can settle down again quickly, according to the established system among the parts. This would be implemented if Iran violated its part of the agreement with the six powers, for example, if it failed in maintaining its nuclear programs under the strict agreed limits. 

Let us wait that for once the reason reigns and not the religion in the rulers from Iran sews that it seems he goes for this road. What the new Iran represented is incalculable so much that for that reason he said previously that he can and it will be a change for everybody Islamic I am convinced that to the good ones otherwise as well as I have predicted in other articles by means of some Islamic warlike confrontations to see who takes the primacy or they are carried out unions of interests and markets it is clear that the deepest and modern remodeling that should make the Islamic world imperatively will live if he doesn't want to continue being the civilization of the misery the terror and the so much tyranny of rulers as of more influential clergymen that the own rulers.   

TODO VA ENCAJANDO EN EL MUNDO ISLAMICO

El levantamiento de las sanciones a Irán supone el comienzo de un nuevo periodo para la República Islámica. Así lo ha interpretado el presidente iraní, Hassan Rohani, quien considera que “estamos en camino hacia una nueva y mejor era”. Es lógico que Rohani solo se refiera a Irán a la hora de hacer estas declaraciones, pero el asunto irá a mas esta nueva situación de Irán lo que traerá consigo es la reforma política y económica de lo que denomino el continente islámico un continente político que se sitúa físicamente entre Europa Asia y África. A partir de ahora Irán podrá exportar más petróleo y gas y tendrá nuevamente acceso a la banca internacional. Las inversiones extranjeras posibilitarán la creación de nuevos empleos y la modernización de las infraestructuras. Según Rohani, una inversión extranjera de entre 30.000 y 50.000 millones permitirían un crecimiento anual del 8% de la economía del país.

Durante la última década, Irán ha sufrido masivas sanciones económicas por parte de Naciones Unidas, Estados Unidos y la Unión Europea, en grados cada vez más crecientes y restrictivos. Uno de los puntos álgidos de esta represión económica fue la prohibición por parte de la Unión Europea de las importaciones de petróleo y gas desde Irán. Como consecuencia, las ganancias petroleras anuales de la nación islámica cayeron desde 118.000 millones de dólares en 2011 a 42.000 millones en 2013.

Esto no solo afecto el desarrollo de Irán, sino que altero el desarrollo de todo el islam es evidente que repercutió en naciones como Irak y altero todo los países árabes e islámicos del norte de África, esta situación de conflictos continuos de revoluciones salvajes hechas solo para el lucro y el poder individual de presidentes absolutistas y nada democrático ha frenado el desarrollo humano y económico de casi todo el mundo musulmán y África solo podríamos dejar fuera de esta hecatombe la península arábica donde han florecido naciones como Catar, la propia Arabia Saudí y los Emiratos árabes.

Ahora que las sanciones a Irán han sido eliminadas tras el acuerdo nuclear de Irán con seis potencias occidentales, los 78 millones de habitantes del país y las grandes empresas de alrededor del mundo esperan sacar provecho de un relanzamiento del comercio y los negocios en vista de las nuevas oportunidades que se le abren al país islámico. La expansión económica que para el país y para toda la zona de ese nuevo continente que he inventado y que más que un continente físico es un continente ideológico nuevo son extraordinarias.

Irán puede pasar en poco tiempo a ser la cabeza del mundo islámico. Y con sus mejoras puede relanzar todo el islam los cambios que se producirán en Irán son eminentemente económicos, pero de tal profundidad que afectaran a las economías circundantes: Las exportaciones de petróleo y gas iraní a la Unión Europea pueden reiniciarse. Firmas occidentales estarán ahora habilitadas para proveer equipamiento a los campos de petróleo y gas en Irán. Compañías aseguradoras de Occidente pueden volver a asegurar embarques de petróleo iraní. Se levanta la prohibición general para hacer negocios con el sector energético de Irán.

Bancos iraníes volverán a conectarse a SWIFT, un sistema mundial de transacciones financieras. Bancos extranjeros estarán habilitados para otorgar préstamos de respaldo a proyectos de comercio con Irán, que a su vez podrá acceder a al menos 100.000 millones de dólares de sus ganancias petroleras que habían sido congelados en cuentas extranjeras. Las sanciones contra compañías iraníes y cientos de individuos vinculados con el programa nuclear del país serán revocadas. Boeing y Airbus podrán vender aeronaves y repuestos al sector de la aviación civil de Irán. La industria automotriz occidental puede reiniciar sus exportaciones a Irán.

El levantamiento contra Irán no se llevará a cabo con totalidad de manera inmediata ni tiene un carácter definitivo, pues podrán ser repuestas en caso de que Irán incumpla ciertos supuestos. Algunas de las sanciones permanecerán todavía varios años, por ejemplo, el embargo al comercio de armas pesadas y al programa balístico de Irán.Las sanciones de Naciones Unidas que han conformado la base de las medidas punitivas de Occidente pueden establecerse de nuevo rápidamente, según el sistema establecido entre las partes. Esto se implementaría si Irán violara su parte del acuerdo con las seis potencias, por ejemplo, si fallara en mantener sus programas nucleares bajo los estrictos límites acordados.

Esperemos que por una vez impere la razón y no la religión en los gobernantes de Irán cosa que parece va por este camino. Lo que representara el nuevo Irán es incalculable tanto que por eso decía anteriormente que puede y será un cambio para todo el mundo islámico estoy convencido que a las buenas o sino como también he vaticinado en otros artículos por medio de unas confrontaciones bélicas islámicas para ver quien toma la primacía o se realizan uniones de intereses y mercados está claro que vamos a vivir la remodelación más profunda y moderna que debe hacer imperiosamente el mundo islámico  si no quiere seguir siendo la civilización de la miseria el terror y la tiranía tanto de gobernantes como de clérigos más influyentes que los propios gobernantes. 

IT IS NOT NECESSARY TO FEAR BECAUSE CATALONIA HAS BEGUN TO WALK TOWARD ITS INDEPENDENCE

The new one 'president' of the Generalitat, Carles Puigdemont, he has presided over the taking of possession of the 13 'consellers' that the new "Govern of the Generalitat" forms. In a solemn act in the Palau of the Generalitat, the new Consell Executiu, formed by names proposed by CDC and ERC, he has promised the position in presence of the 'expresident' Artur Mas and promising to "fulfill faithfully of agreement the law the obligations from the position to the service of Catalonia and with loyalty to the 'president' ". 

In a brief later speech, Puigdemont has requested to los'consellers' (some of which repeat in the Govern, like it is the case of Santi Vila, Jordi Jané, Meritxell Borràs and Neus Munté) a commitment: You don't give up anything". The new president' it has also claimed them that they are "faithful to the idea" that expressed in its taking of possession "of making the things the maximum of well, the maximum of having explained possible." 

In clear allusion to the process sovereignty, the 'president' he has requested to the members of the Govern that fulfill the "responsibility of the town" in the last elections of the 27-S. that they keep the institutional" "respect and that they stay to the "service of the democracy in Catalonia." 

I am "sure that you will keep until the last second the promise of service to the country", Puigdemont has added in a brief act in the one that all the 'consellers' and 'conselleres' they have used the same formula to promise the position. To the act relatives of the new members of the Govern and leaders of CDC and ERC have attended. 

The novelty in the ceremony of taking of possession it has been the presence of the 'expresident' Artur Mas that has occupied an outstanding place next to the president of the Parlament, Carme Forcadell, and later on he has received samples of the assistants' support. After the official pictures of the new Govern, Puigdemont and those 'consellers' they have celebrated a first meeting of the Consell Executiu in the Palau. 

As they can read there are not patriotic harangues neither calls to the insurrection neither outrages neither animosity some on the part of the new government of Catalonia that today its road, the president has begun Puigdemont he has said that besides making the things well it is necessary to explain to them well and me this applauds it because it is what I believe that it is necessary to win that transversally that is not still enough and that it seems that we will create two countries that is to say instead of one two alone Catalonia they won't have it will have a he won't make a country for the independent and another for the non-independents. 

This is a question that I have in mind that it worries many Catalan what is sought to carry out it is a called sovereign country Catalonia I don't know if republic will be nicknamed or not but now this doesn't care what it cares it is that that new country context won't separate its inhabitants he doesn't go to differ to the Catalan independents of the alone location Catalan it will change the political structure nobody it will have more than enough anybody it will change its life and its beliefs and much less he/she will force to make it. 

All the Catalan, (we remember that it is always said that it is Catalan the one that lives in Catalonia) independent or not, we have many bonds with Spain who doesn't have a brother-in-law who doesn't have a grandfather who doesn't have a son living in Spain and feeling Spanish, this won't change he goes if one doesn't want of course, as being able to explain to it simpler I am not happened the way. Don't pay attention of the hecatombs that the Spanish politicians omen us. Because those if they make it for interest that it is not possible neither the segregation neither the coexistence because them if they lose a lot of power and a lot of money. 

But the family that is not Catalan of feeling, is simply here because I emigrate in work search, or because I mount a business, or because he was come a son or a daughter and I form a family here, it should not worry them the road that wants to undertake Catalonia, it won't pass them anything, it is as if for circumstances of the life suddenly had left to France or Belgium, they would not stop for it to be Spanish. Once a while ago that I made an article on this same situation and I said that I will have me as Catalan and that I will want to be Catalan of nationality more problems that a Spanish and he said it because I will have to change the documentation, the DNI, the identification card of driving, the number of the SS and however Spanish that he lives and he/she works here and don't want to stop to be Spanish, he won't have of changing anything their DNI it will be the same etc. etc. 

But now leave me that he tells them a thing he won't make them illusion to use for the first time new nationality they don't tell me that he doesn't make them grace to change nationality of becoming of a new more homogeneous small country more than the enormous Spain, to have all more fence, to feel that these creating something new and to be like I would say, only different, to come closer but to some societies like the Dane the Belgian the Swiss, societies more not individualized so overcrowded as Spain or France or even Germany. Really that bad they come to this, but it is that it doesn't pass anything if they come it, because they won't have to change for obligation they will continue like he said before they will continue being Spanish that they live and they work in Catalonia.  

NO HAY QUE TEMER PORQUE CATALUNYA HAYA EMPEZADO A CAMINAR HACIA SU INDEPENDENCIA

El nuevo 'president' de la Generalitat, Carles Puigdemont, ha presidido la toma de posesion de los 13 'consellers' que forman el nuevo “Govern de la Generalitat”. En un acto solemne en el Palau de la Generalitat, el nuevo Consell Executiu, formado por nombres propuestos por CDC y ERC, ha prometido el cargo en presencia del 'expresident' Artur Mas y prometiendo "cumplir fielmente de acuerdo con la ley las obligaciones del cargo al servicio de Catalunya y con lealtad al ‘president’".

En un breve discurso posterior, Puigdemont ha pedido a los'consellers' (algunos de los cuales repiten en el Govern, como es el caso de Santi Vila, Jordi Jané, Meritxell Borràs y Neus Munté) un compromiso: "No renunciéis a nada". El nuevo president' también les ha reclamado que sean "fieles a la idea" que expresó en su toma de posesión "de hacer las cosas el máximo de bien, el máximo de explicadas posible".

En clara alusión al proceso soberanista, el 'president' ha pedido a los miembros del Govern que cumplan con el "encargo del pueblo" en las pasadas elecciones del 27-S. que guarden el "respeto institucional" y que se mantengan al "servicio de la democracia en Catalunya".

"Estoy seguro de que guardaréis hasta el último segundo la promesa de servicio al país", ha añadido Puigdemont en un breve acto en el que todos los 'consellers' y 'conselleres' han usado la misma fórmula para prometer el cargo. Al acto han asistido familiares de los nuevos miembros del Govern y dirigentes de CDC y ERC.

La novedad en la ceremonia de toma de posesión ha sido la presencia del 'expresident' Artur Mas, que ha ocupado un lugar destacado junto a la presidenta del Parlament, Carme Forcadell, y posteriormente ha recibido muestras de apoyo de los asistentes. Tras las fotos oficiales del nuevo Govern, Puigdemont y los 'consellers' han celebrado una primera reunión del Consell Executiu en el Palau.

Como pueden leer no hay arengas patrióticas ni llamadas a la insurrección ni desafueros ni animosidad alguna por parte del nuevo gobierno de Catalunya que hoy ha empezado su camino, el preident Puigdemont ha dicho que además de hacer las cosas bien hay que explicarlas bien y yo esto lo aplaudo porque es lo que yo creo que hace falta para ganar esa tranversalidad que todavía no es suficiente y que parece que vayamos a crear dos países en lugar de uno es decir no van a haber dos Catalunya solo va a haber una no se va a hacer un país para los independentistas y otro para los no independentistas.

Esto es una cuestión que yo tengo en mente que preocupa a muchos catalanes lo que se pretende llevar a cabo es un país soberano llamado Catalunya no sé si será apellidado república o no pero ahora esto no importa lo que importa es que ese nuevo contexto de país no va a separar a sus habitantes no va diferenciar a los catalanes independentistas de los catalanes de ubicación solo va a cambiar la estructura política nadie va a sobrar a nadie se le va a cambiar su vida y sus creencias y mucho menos se les va a obligar a hacerlo.

Todos los catalanes, (recordemos que siempre se dice que es catalán el que vive en Catalunya) independientes o no, tenemos muchas ligaduras con España quien no tiene un cuñado, quien no tiene un abuelo, quien no tiene un hijo viviendo en España y sintiéndose español, esto no va a cambiar vaya si uno no quiere por supuesto, como poder explicarlo más sencillo no se me ocurre la manera. No hagan caso de las hecatombes que nos auguran los políticos españoles. Porque esos si lo hacen por interés de que no sea posible ni la segregación ni la convivencia porque ellos si pierden mucho poder y mucho dinero.

Pero la familia que no es catalana de sentimiento, simplemente está aquí porque emigro en busca de trabajo, o porque monto un negocio, o porque se le vino un hijo o una hija y formo una familia aquí, no les debe de preocupar el camino que quiere emprender Catalunya, no les va a pasar nada, es como si por circunstancias de la vida de golpe y porrazo se hubieran ido a Francia o a Bélgica, no dejarían por ello de ser españoles. Una vez hace tiempo que hice un artículo sobre esta misma situación y dije que tendré yo como catalán y que querré ser catalán de nacionalidad más problemas que un español y lo decía porque yo tendré que cambiar la documentación, el DNI, el carnet de conducir, el número de la SS y sin embargo el español que vive y trabaja aquí y no quiera dejar de ser español, no tendrá de cambiar nada su DNI será el mismo etc. etc.

Pero ahora déjenme que les diga una cosa no les hará ilusión estrenar nacionalidad nueva no me digan que no les hace gracia cambiar de nacionalidad de pasar a ser de un nuevo país pequeño más homogéneo más que la enorme España, tener todo más cerca, sentir que estas creando algo nuevo y ser como diría yo, más único distinto, acercarte mas a unas sociedades como la danesa la belga la suiza, sociedades más individualizadas no tan masificadas como España o Francia o incluso Alemania. De verdad que mal le ven a esto, pero es que no pasa nada si lo ven, porque no tendrán que cambiar por obligación seguirán como decía antes seguirán siendo españoles que viven y trabajan en Catalunya.

VOLKSWAGUEN MAYBE IS ITS HONRRADEZ AND NOT ITS TRAP THE ONE THAT SINKS THE COMPANY

Volkswagen said yesterday that had minimized the consumption of fuel of 800.000 cars sold in Europe, at the time that its majority shareholder Porsche Automobile Holding SE., noticed of new discoveries that could weigh even more in the results of VW. This last revelation on efficient consumption of fuel and emissions of dioxide of carbon that it represents an economic risk according to the biggest German maker of automobiles of more or less 2.000 million Eurus, it deepened the crisis in VW. 

The scandal was centered in a principle in the software of up to 11 million vehicles diesel in the entire world that as VW admitted they minimized in great measure the emissions of the polluting nitrogen oxide. The environmental regulators of United States said on Monday that had settled similar devices in deluxe sport vehicles of the marks Porsche and Audi, although VW has denied those accusations. But the North American branch of Porsche said that he stopped to sell units of the sport diesel Porsche Cayenne until having more news, mentioning the accusations. 

The discovery that VW minimized the consumption of fuel and the emissions of dioxide of carbon, areas that the regulators still have to approach, are known when VW continues a deep revision of its handling of the topics related with the contamination. Although the data are applied mainly to motors smaller diesel, one of gasoline is also affected. "VW is leaving us without words", Arndt Ellinghorst said, of the signature of bank consultant ship Evercore ISI. "We find that this it is another topic unchained by the internal investigation of VW and linked potentially with Europe." 

The maker of vehicles said that he would begin immediately to speak with the responsible authorities on what to make regarding these last discoveries. "From the beginning, I have pressed for a wide and implacable explanation of the events", the consultant of Volkswagen, Matthias Müller said, in an official statement. It won't brake us anything neither nobody. It is a painful process, but it is our only alternative", he added, it is without a doubt, the biggest managerial crisis in the 78 years of history of VW has reduced until a third its value of marked, and it already affects to the German market (DAX) that today he has fallen one percent crawled by VW that has made it 9 % forced the president march Martin Winterkorn and affected to the automobile industry, one of the main bought exporters from Germany. 

VW dedicated 6.700 millions of Eurus of its results of the third trimester to cover the initial costs of the scandal. Some analysts have said that the final invoice could ascend to 35.000 million Eurus in regulatory tickets, you demand and modification of vehicles. I believe that the costs of this incredible case will force to close the company because it will be impossible that he can make in front of the civil demands that the sharp lawyers caused it is in these moments and it authenticates mine of gold that they take it to him the first offices that are able to contain the first collective demands of deceived buyers, and mainly of ruined shareholders. 

And it is that in VW two characteristics of the mentality and form converge of being German one it is to be the best in the world and I believe that the beginning of the case VW comes somewhere around I am an engineer like I have manifested in my profile and although my specialty neither they are the explosion motors, I doubt that was necessary to make such a sophisticated fraud to be more competitive there is not today in day so much difference between a German explosion motor or another French or Italian its mechanics and its operation doesn't give margin so that there are enough differences as so that I consummate or cleaning makes decide the buyer for a mark or another is more the design and the price that the benefits when deciding the buys. 

I believe that VW wanted to be the best the less polluting one the most potent the best in the comparison I model cylinder capacity power of the different ranges of cars and like he said the motor before it cannot mean many variables among the existent ones its engineering key in the prepotency of making a chip that modified some results absurdly because not toward any sure lack the mark VW is or it was synonymous of duration, security, history and design the one that a VW was bought continued being bought VW it is usually incredible what they have made. 

Now the problem becomes its sense of the honorability and German seriousness on the contrary, he makes that VW will take out all the defects that nobody requests him but it is its form of being and this will put an end maybe to the mark it is not Germany but if in the rest of the world there was already enough with fixing the case uncovered in USA to recognize it and to fix it was enough but not now the own VW will uncover all the tricks and abnormalities that nobody has seen, this is maybe very honest, but I believe that or they make it the official organizations that revise the normative ones from consumption and contamination to all the cars, or VW he leaves to be without any possibility of recovering no matter how much its president says that it is the only way to leave this, the only way was not to have entered, now I don't believe that he/she must go tossing more firewood to the fire. 

THE GLOBALIZATION GOES EXTENDING FOR THE WORLD AND EUROPE AND RUSSIA WE ARE OUTSIDE

The globalization this changing to the world, I would compare it partly with the Machine of Vapor or even with the Dynamite, that is to say both products changed the world there for the ends of the XVIII century the first one and in the IXX the second, although in a different way and in different time, they brought to the western society the industrialization and the development toward the modernity, in fact they changed the world completely opening the way to an acceleration that if we look back it is enormous the technological advances from their respective appearances accelerate changing everything in a part for well and in another for bad but it is evident that it was this way. 

Well the globalization is the machine of vapor and the dynamite meetings and at the same time, in one century so single occident changes the factories entirely, the highways, the railroad, the extraction of petroleum, they are impossible to imagine without the intervention of both discoveries and its application. Well the globalization not to fact another thing that to pass over all that gotten in a part from the world to the other one, the problem has been as raisin in all the evolutions, first they are slow, later they are productive for who they direct them and finally they are saturated and I eat now they become a problem for some and a solution for others.  

The globalization converted mainly Asia, Japan and China in 'the factory of the world', fundamentally, for the low production costs that he/she offered and to the contribution of the technology that the western rich world transmitted them to make business. Thanks to it during enough time (but this time it no longer arrives neither to half century). The companies have been able to enlarge their margins of benefit thanks to the cheap thing that it left them to manufacture in the plants of this country and to sell these expensive products in their rich world. But the situation is already changing. The Chinese workers begin to obtain an improvement of salaries and conditions of life that it is taking to the companies to look for that differential again in the manpower they go another time to change place the globalization. 

The bad thing now is that we are already less to globalizer and we will no longer take out profit of it the Westerners, now the movement globalized will make without leaving Asia, this transverse of work load will move toward places with smaller labor costs and here they enter in scene Vietnam, Cambodia, Myanmar or Laos, with a high base of young population and a middle class not as strong as China. The experts already come a "transformation" in the region that is part of the development of the Association of Nations of the Asian Southeast (ANSA) as "third pillar" of the growth, after the emergence of China and the India.  

In their analysis, they identify as winning factor the conjunction of three specific characteristics of the region. On one hand, the already the workers' mentioned low cost in countries like Myanmar, Cambodia and Laos. For other, the highly efficient factories of Thailand, Vietnam, Indonesia and Philippines. And, lastly, the segment of more sophisticated producers in Singapore and Malaysia. To this he sinks the measure that he will go into effect at the end of this year to unify the market of the area ANSA. The ten countries that form it (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Brunei, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar and Vietnam) they will allow from December of 2015 the free circulation of goods, services, capital and work among the states member that add more than 600 million inhabitants.  

And arrived to this point I always return to my reasoning that we will make the alone Europeans we are 340 million we are saturated of everything and we will no longer be able to go to sell Asia inside little because they happened to us for before their products, to the step that we go will end up or working for them or serving them as waiters footballers and even as emigrants as cheap manpower. Where is our future? it is this the one that I have just drawn we don't have other, we are hypothetically in the center of the world on one hand we have the USA to the south Africa, to the east Asia, China, the India that we have left alone to stay like we are and to wait that they subsidize us buying us our debt and all our history so that at the same time we can be their final sad consumers the cradle of the western civilization doesn't find it. 

As the economists of the Bank estimate ANZ, of here at 2030 the change toward these countries on the part of the foreign multinationals and also of the own Chinese companies it will be complete. We "believe that they will remove China their throne of 'factory of the world' in the next ones ten or fifteen years, as the companies move to take advantage of the cheap and abundant manpower in areas like that of the Great Mekong (southeast of Asia) ", they explain in an analysis picked up by Bloomberg. 

Because this it is the time that we have left to make the great Europe of which I always write that is to say the union of interests and of politicians between the UE and the Russian republic is not another exit because Russia doesn't neither have another exit, when Chinese completes the expansion of her economy toward the Asian southeast, was not him more than to conquer the big steppes and wealth of Russia and certainly Russia won't be able to oppose any resistance they are single 140 millions of Russian, however if we were able to make them to see and to understand that they are more European than Asian, we could create one strong Europe it authenticates with more than 500 million inhabitants, with some autochthonous natural resources with an advanced technology and it would be this way the only way to balance the first and political economic world blocks later but both we will stay isolated 

LA GLOBALIZACION VA EXTENDIENDOSE POR EL MUNDO Y EUROPA Y RUSIA QUEDAMOS FUERA

La globalización esta cambiando al mundo, yo la compararía en parte con la Máquina de Vapor o incluso con la Dinamita, es decir ambos productos cambiaron el mundo allá por los finales del siglo XVIII el primero y en el IXX el segundo, aunque de distinta manera y en distinto tiempo, trajeron a la sociedad occidental la industrialización y el desarrollo hacia la modernidad, de hecho cambiaron el mundo completamente dando paso a una aceleración que si miramos hacia atrás es enorme los avances tecnológicos desde sus respectivas apariciones se aceleran cambiándolo todo en una parte para bien y en otra para mal pero es evidente que fue así. 

Bien la globalización es la máquina de vapor y la dinamita juntas y a la vez, en un siglo tan solo occidente cambio por entero las fábricas, las carreteras, el ferrocarril, la extracción de petróleo, son imposibles de imaginar sin la intervención de ambos descubrimientos y su aplicación. Bien la globalización no a hecho otra cosa que traspasar todo lo conseguido en una parte del mundo a la otra, el problema ha sido como pasa en todas las evoluciones, primero son lentas, después son productivas para quienes las dirigen y finalmente se saturan y como ahora se convierten en un problema para unos y una solución para otros.
  
La globalización convirtió a Asia, Japón y China principalmente en 'la fábrica del mundo', fundamentalmente, por los bajos costes de producción que ofrecía y a la aportación de la tecnología que el mundo rico occidental les transmitió para hacer negocio. Gracias a ello durante bastante tiempo (pero esta vez ya no llega ni a medio siglo). Las empresas han podido ampliar sus márgenes de beneficio gracias a lo barato que les salía fabricar en las plantas de este país y vender estos productos carísimos en su mundo rico. Pero la situación está cambiando ya. Los trabajadores chinos empiezan a obtener una mejora de sueldos y condiciones de vida que está llevando a las compañías a buscar de nuevo ese diferencial en la mano de obra van otra vez a cambiar de lugar la globalización.
 
Lo malo ahora es que ya somos menos a globalizar y ya no vamos a sacar provecho de ello los occidentales, ahora el movimiento globalizador se va a hacer sin salir de Asia, este trasvase de carga de trabajo se va a mover hacia lugares con menores costes laborales y aquí entran en escena Vietnam, Camboya, Myanmar o Laos, con una elevada base de población joven y una clase media no tan pujante como China. Los expertos ya ven una "transformación" en la región que forma parte del desarrollo de la Asociación de Naciones del Sudeste Asiático (ANSA) como "tercer pilar" del crecimiento, tras el surgimiento de China y la India.
 
En su análisis, identifican como factor ganador la conjunción de tres características específicas de la región. Por una parte, el ya citado bajo coste de los trabajadores en países como Myanmar, Camboya y Laos. Por otras, las fábricas altamente eficientes de Tailandia, Vietnam, Indonesia y Filipinas. Y, por último, el segmento de productores más sofisticados en Singapur y Malasia. A esto se suma la medida que entrará en vigor a finales de este año para unificar el mercado del área ANSA. Los diez países que la forman (Indonesia, Malasia, Filipinas, Singapur, Tailandia, Brunei, Camboya, Laos, Myanmar y Vietnam) permitirán desde diciembre de 2015 la libre circulación de bienes, servicios, capital y trabajo entre los estados miembro, que suman más de 600 millones de habitantes. 

Y llegado a este punto vuelvo a mi razonamiento de siempre que vamos a hacer los europeos solo somos 340 millones estamos saturados de todo y ya no podremos ir a vender a Asia dentro de poco porque nos pasaran por delante sus productos, al paso que vamos acabaremos o trabajando para ellos o sirviéndoles de camareros futbolistas e incluso como emigrantes  como mano de obra barata. ¿Dónde está nuestro futuro? es este el que acabo de dibujar no tenemos otro, estamos hipotéticamente en el centro del mundo por un lado tenemos los EE.UU. al sur África, al  este Asia, China, la India, que nos queda solo quedarnos como estamos y esperar que nos subvencionen comprándonos nuestra deuda y todo nuestra historia para que a la vez podamos ser sus consumidores triste final a la cuna de la civilización occidental no les parece. 

Según estiman los economistas del Banco ANZ, de aquí a 2030 el cambio hacia estos países por parte de las multinacionales extranjeras y también de las propias compañías chinas será completo. "Creemos que le quitarán a China su trono de 'fábrica del mundo' en los próximos diez o quince años, a medida que las empresas se muevan para aprovechar la mano de obra barata y abundante en áreas como la del Gran Mekong (sudeste de Asia)", explican en un análisis recogido por Bloomberg.
 
Pues este es el tiempo que nos queda para hacer la gran Europa de la que siempre escribo es decir la unión de intereses y de políticas entre la UE y la república Rusa no hay otra salida porque Rusia no tiene tampoco otra salida, cuando china complete la expansión de su economía hacia el sudeste asiático, no le quedara más que conquistar las grande estepas y riquezas de Rusia y desde luego Rusia no podrá oponer ninguna resistencia son solo 140 millones de rusos, sin embargo si consiguiéramos hacerles ver y entender que son más europeos que asiáticos, podríamos crear una autentica Europa fuerte con más de 500 millones de habitantes, con unos recursos naturales autóctonos con una tecnología avanzadísima y así sería la única manera de equilibrar los bloques mundiales económicos primero y políticos después sino ambos nos vamos a quedar aislados

IT IS NECESSARY TO PREPARE A VERY DEEP CHANGE IN THE UE

Greece has already communicated maybe too quick that the reaction leaves of the UE of passing the resolution of the economic problem from Greece to the citizen, it is a mere deceit so that the responsibility of the act of the current government's inability of solving what the governments predecessors have made with the Greek economy relapses in the society, another trap more Greece has a problem of political and governments like good Mediterranean country, it is the same thing that Spain and Italy. 

The one that they don't have money to pay more rescues doesn't mean that the blame belongs to the rescuer the whole euro included group Spain he has lent them thousands of millions the one that now cannot return them it is not like to toss him the blame to who they lent them to him in any event we are the European citizens who we should request responsibilities to each one of our governments and European institutions of because they lent them, knowing or not checking that they could never restore them, given the reality of its economy. 

Greece has had more than thirty years to change its system of life and it has not been deceived him by its politicians he preferred to continue requesting helps making rich to many politicians and poor to many more Greek today the solution that he has found Syriza it is the decision that many expected when I win Syriza the elections. Greece stopped to be member of the euro group because its economy is not comparable at all with the competitive outlines that it requires the area euro.  

Now single lack to wait to see if Syriza goes farther still and he wants to stop to be member of the UE that is another thing although I fear myself that consequently to the ideas of Syriza he also looked for to take off the Union I fear myself that starting from now Greece guided its society to the oriental social and economic structures that not to the Westerners, and this is what Syriza has really put above the table of negotiations, it doesn't feel responsible for the economic madness that carried out the Greek governments after the II world war and they want to take another radically opposed road. 

It is not that it is this position the only one that counts so that Greece leaves us to all with the "ass (the debts) to the air" but it belongs one to them, the Greek society as so many other old societies have not been able to evolve this it is a very curious case Greece he has stayed inside the same frontiers in that he was founded, I conquer almost everybody well-known in the years 750-550 before Christo but I don't consolidate it returned to its peninsula and their idyllic islands and there this. I say this like idea that it can justify because Greece has not ended up being a modern economy and chord with the evolutions of the European continent. Alexis Tsipras the new Greece of Syriza formed Greece he made comfortable in it pierces natural among Europe Asia and Africa, but Alexis Tsipras is not Alejandro Magno. 

It is curious that the problems of the current Europe begin with the oldest societies, those that forged it, maybe this comes because each one of the new civilizations or empires came from another previous culture and therefore they go a sense of life that doesn't have space in the current world crawling and they don't adaptor it is this too heavy history to drag it outside of the conditions in that he expanded it is like be the certain thing it is that the UE has all the nations of the south the Mediterranean ones in danger of death from the social and economic aspect. 

Alone we have to analyze the results of the local and autonomous elections in Spain and the perspective is not another that we are coming closer to Greece to forced marches, today we see all as people of the town it has defeated to the political structures that have been governing for forty years and more behind, in Spain the parties that have taken the power of Madrid, displacing the Popular Party of most of city councils and autonomous communities, they were not even formed a couple of years ago as parties politicians, they were simply what called you some urban movements of civilians that were whirled and they manifested in the street   

It is to think of it, they have defeated all some economic mechanisms and with political experience, they have made it without money, without history behind, without not even to know the voter if they will know how to govern or not, it is a so much preoccupant because that happened now they will know how to govern, they will know how to assume the pacts, the duties assumed by Spain like country, or it happened like with Greece that when they see the reality they will say this it is not our blame and we won't assume it, and we already have two poles of union and of conflict one in each end of Europe  

Already alone it is another culture foundational and fundamental to understand the old Europe I refer to Rome the today's capital Italian nation, a country and a politics that he already has the fame from a lot of time of being headstrong but of knowing how to live this way. As it fit in this politics when seeing that their two peninsular and Mediterranean neighbors rebel against the economic rigidity and politics of the cold Europe and it lasts of the continental nucleus, that that the Roman l the Iberian ones, in a word the Latins, Barbarians called and that they invaded them and they conquered them coming from the north and they changed the life of the Mediterranean Europe deeply transforming it into the horrible time of the obscurantism and the medieval terror the call half age. 

It is curious because the cycles leave changing because another time the luminous and cheerful Mediterranean Europe returned the happiness and the knowledge by means of the cultured of renacentismo to that entire cold and dark Europe, there for XV-XVI centuries the central Europe was imposed later with the Napoleonic wars, and the two big wars XVIII-XX more modern Centuries again, the modern Europe could no longer return already to remake the situation of those poor Mediterranean nations and he had to intervene the USA the modern power of the new world and you configures another new Europe, the one which if I incorporate another time its Mediterranean Europe it lost its bigger part Russia it lost which continues lost today in day and being isolated more and more. 

In short that mean with all this because simply that I believe that he is getting ready another great change we are already draining another historical cycle the UE and the Euro but this is already seen that it finishes the grace of the serious Europeans to know once and for all for all as finishing it well or as changing the things so that not alone it doesn't change more but rather he/she consolidates but I find that this doesn't go with the cultures and forms of belonging to the Europeans that  

HAY QUE PREPARAR UN CAMBIO MUY PROFUNDO EN LA UE

Grecia ya ha comunicado quizás demasiado rápido que se va de la UE la reacción de pasar la resolución del problema económico de Grecia al ciudadano, es un mero engaño para que la responsabilidad del acto de incapacidad del gobierno actual de solucionar lo que los gobiernos antecesores han hecho con la economía griega recaiga en la sociedad, otra trampa más Grecia tiene un problema de políticos y gobiernos como buen país mediterráneo, es lo mismo que España e Italia.

El  que no tengan dinero para pagar más rescates no quiere decir que la culpa sea del rescatador todo el euro grupo incluida España les ha prestado miles de millones el que ahora no puedan devolverlos no es como para echarle la culpa a quienes se los prestaron en todo caso somos los ciudadanos europeos quienes debemos pedir responsabilidades a cada uno de nuestros gobiernos e instituciones europeas de porque los prestaron, sabiendo o no comprobando, que nunca podrían reponerlos, dada la realidad de su economía.

Grecia ha tenido más de treinta años para cambiar su sistema de vida y no lo ha hecho engañada por sus políticos prefirió seguir pidiendo ayudas haciendo ricos a muchos políticos y pobres a muchos más griegos hoy la solución que ha encontrado Syriza es la decisión que muchos esperábamos cuando gano Syriza las elecciones. Grecia dejara de ser miembro del euro grupo porque su economía no es comparable en absoluto con los esquemas competitivos que requiere la zona euro.

Ahora solo falta esperar a ver si Syriza va más lejos todavía y quiere dejar de ser miembro de la UE que es otra cosa aunque yo me temo que consecuentemente a las ideas de Syriza también buscara despegarse de la Unión me temo que a partir de ahora Grecia  orientara su sociedad a las estructuras sociales y económicas orientales que no a las occidentales, y esto es lo que de verdad Syriza ha puesto encima de la mesa de negociaciones, no se siente responsable de las locuras económicas que llevaron a cabo los gobiernos griegos tras la II guerra mundial y quieren tomar otro camino radicalmente opuesto.

No es que sea este planteamiento el único que cuenta para que Grecia nos deje a todos con el “culo (las deudas) al aire” pero es uno de ellos, la sociedad griega  como tantas otras sociedades antiguas no han podido evolucionar esto es un caso muy curioso Grecia se ha quedado dentro de las mismas fronteras en que se fundó, conquisto casi todo el mundo conocido en los años 750-550 antes de cristo pero no lo consolido volvió a su península y sus islas idílicas y allí esta. Digo esto como idea que puede justificar porque Grecia no ha llegado a ser una economía moderna y acorde con las evoluciones del continente europeo. Alexis Tsipras formara la nueva Grecia de Syriza Grecia se acomodara en su enclave natural entre Europa Asia y África, pero Alexis Tsipras no es Alejandro el Grande.

Es curioso que los problemas de la Europa actual empiezan por las sociedades más antiguas, las que la forjaron, quizás esto viene porque cada una de las nuevas civilizaciones o imperios venían de otra cultura anterior y por lo tanto van arrastrando un sentido de vida que no tiene cabida en el mundo actual y no se adaptan o es esta historia demasiado pesada para arrastrarla fuera de los condicionantes en que se expandió sea como sea lo cierto es que la UE tiene todas las naciones del sur las mediterráneas en peligro de muerte desde el aspecto social y económico.

Solo tenemos que analizar los resultados de las elecciones locales y autonómicas en España y la perspectiva no es otra que nos estamos acercando a Grecia a marchas forzadas, hoy vemos todos como la gente del pueblo  ha derrotado a las estructuras políticas que han estado gobernando desde hace cuarenta años y más atrás, en España los partidos que han tomado el poder de Madrid, desplazando al Partido Popular de la mayoría de ayuntamientos y comunidades autónomas, ni siquiera estaban formados como partidos políticos hace un par de años, eran simplemente lo que se llamaba unos movimientos urbanos de civiles que se remolinaban y manifestaban en la calle 

Es para pensar en ello, han derrotado todos unos mecanismos económicos y con experiencia política, lo han hecho sin dinero, sin historia detrás, sin ni siquiera saber el votante si sabrán gobernar o no, es un tanto preocupante porque que pasara ahora sabrán gobernar, sabrán asumir los pactos, los deberes asumidos por España como país, o  pasara como con Grecia que cuando vean la realidad dirán esto no es culpa nuestra y no lo vamos a asumir, y ya tenemos dos polos de unión y de conflicto uno en cada extremo de Europa

Ya solo queda otra cultura fundacional y fundamental para entender la vieja Europa me refiero a Roma la capital de la hoy nación Italiana, un país y una política que ya tiene la fama desde mucho tiempo de ser ingobernable pero de saber vivir así. Como encajara en esta política al ver que sus dos vecinos peninsulares y mediterráneos se rebelan contra la rigidez económica y política de la Europa fría y dura del núcleo continental, aquella que los romanos l los ibéricos, en una palabra los latinos, llamaron Barbaros y que los invadieron y los conquistaron viniendo desde el norte y cambiaron profundamente la vida de la Europa mediterránea convirtiéndola en la horrible época del oscurantismo y el terror medieval la llamada edad media.

Es curioso porque los ciclos se van cambiando porque otra vez la luminosa y alegre Europa mediterránea devolvió la alegría y el conocimiento mediante el recentismo ilustrado a toda aquella Europa fría y oscura, allá por siglos XV-XVI después volvió a imponerse la Europa central con las guerras Napoleónicas, y las dos grandes guerras más modernas  Siglos XVIII-XX, la moderna Europa ya no pudo volver a reconducir la situación de las ya pobres naciones mediterráneas y tuvo que intervenir los EEUU la potencia moderna del nuevo mundo y se configuro otra nueva Europa, la cual si incorporo otra vez su Europa Mediterránea perdió su parte más grande perdió Rusia la cual sigue perdida hoy en día y aislándose cada vez más.

En fin que quiero decir con todo esto pues sencillamente que creo que se está preparando otro gran cambio ya estamos agotando otro ciclo histórico la UE y el Euro pero esto ya se ve que termina la gracia de los europeos seria saber de una vez por todas como terminarlo bien o como cambiar las cosas para que no solo no cambie más sino que se consolide pero me parece que esto no va con las culturas y formas de ser de los europeos, que pena.

THE REALITY SEEMS THAT HE WILL MAKE CHANGE THE LABOR RELATIONSHIPS IN THE UE

Already days ago the news about the German economy go giving key very clear that it is draining and I eat my followers they know my opinion that is that it is not drained because they give birth to her, but because we stopped it the rest of the UE that if for their blame the general exhaustion of the society of the UE makes that there is not consumption the recession process that he tries to combat the BCA with the injection of Eurus every month it doesn't work yesterday it was read in the specialized press that the banks enter millions of Eurus that is to say in the deposits of the BCE again they prefer to pay to be sure that to take a risk its money to have some beneficent one.  

And this cannot be if the banking loses its main business that is the differential of the interest from the loans to the consumption and the investment that I negotiate they have left so that we want the banks, also in one decade 30% of the bank business (payments and loans to the consumption) they will be in hands of the phone companies through the applications for the mobile telephony. This besides changing the flows for where up to now the money ran he forced to change the outline of investments it is already a secured system although to small scale the loan or direct investment that is to say capital that invests directly to a project without going by middleman some. 

On the other hand the politicians go proclaiming an and another time that the things go better than the crisis he/she ended and that it is necessary to make the recovery of the economy and possibly that song of sirens, he has opened the way to a key wave of strikes of communities in Germany it has put in evidence in the last weeks the growing deface of a system of social dialogue among employer and unions considered up to now as modeled.  

The educators of the municipal nurseries of all Germany are in indefinite strike for one week and, while dozens of parents' thousands and companies in the biggest European economy try to minimize the consequences, the collective negotiation remains blocked. This group of 240.000 employees is the last one in standing up in so far in year, already prolonging a list generous that doesn't cease of growing, causing between the citizenship understanding and surprise, but also indignation. 

Only gathering the most significant, 2015 started up with warning unemployment’s in the metal, to those that the strikes of the personnel of security of the airports, those of the pilots of Lufthansa and German wings, the protests of the workers of Amazon and the Postbank continued, that of the machinists of the Deutsche Bahn, and that of the employees of Mail and of Prosegur. In five months they have hardly accumulated already more than 350.000 days of strike in Germany, more than twice as much that in the group of the last year, according to a study of the Institute of the Economy Germany (IW) of Colony. 

Of being prolonged this tendency, this center of studies considers probable that the 430.000 days of labor protest they are overcome this year, what would suppose to surpass the biggest figure from 1992, obtained in 2006. The ballast for the economy is evident: the strike of machinists only caused losses of up to 750 million Eurus for the German economy, according to Stefan Kipar, economist boss of the bank BayernLB, what could reduce in a tenth the growth in the second trimester. 

What does it happen in Germany so that the labor conflict is shot? The experts aim a constellation of elements that they understand from the solid evolution of the economy until the atomization of the union world, going by the progressive complexity of the labor relationships. The biggest European economy that will grow this year above 1,6% according to all the estimates that to round up in 2014, enjoys an unemployment rate in minima from the reunification at the same time that her population with employment has chained nine serial years to the rise, breaking all the records. 

This real situation more the speeches triumphalism of the politicians encourage the workers to elevate their recoveries, especially after the worst years in the crisis, in those that the salary contention was imposed due to the problems in Europe. The Ministry of Economy German prevue that the net wages advance this exercise 2,8 stocking%. Let us think that the OECD and the Spanish unions have fought for a salary increase of a sad 1% this year and un1.5% for the next one. Also, some experts have pointed that the questions that face employers and workers are not merely salary, like in the past, but deeper and more complex. 

LA REALIDAD PARECE QUE HARA CAMBIAR LAS RELACIONES LABORALES EN LA UE

Ya hace días que las noticias sobre la economía alemana va dando claves muy claras de que se está agotando y como mis seguidores saben mi opinión, que es que se agota no porque la paren ellos, sino porque la paramos el resto de la UE eso si por su culpa el agotamiento general de la sociedad de la UE hace que no haya consumo el proceso de recesión que intenta combatir el BCA con la inyección de euros cada mes no funciona ayer se leía en la prensa especializada que los bancos vuelven a ingresar millones de euros en los depósitos del BCE es decir prefieren pagar por estar seguros que arriesgar su dinero para tener algún benéfico.

Y esto no puede ser si la banca pierde su principal negocio que es el diferencial del interés de los préstamos al consumo y a la inversión que negocio les queda para que queremos los bancos, además en una década el 30% del negocio bancario (pagos y préstamos al consumo) estarán en manos de las empresas telefónicas a través de las aplicaciones para la telefonía móvil. Esto además de cambiar los flujos por donde hasta ahora corría el dinero obligara a cambiar el esquema de inversiones es ya un sistema afianzado aunque a pequeña escala el préstamo o inversión directa es decir capital que invierte directamente a un proyecto sin pasar por intermediario alguno.

Por otro lado los políticos van pregonando una y otra vez que las cosas van mejor que la crisis se terminó y que hay que hacer la recuperación de la economía y posiblemente ese canto de sirenas, ha dado paso a una oleada de huelgas de colectivos clave en Alemania ha puesto en evidencia en las últimas semanas el creciente desfase de un sistema de diálogo social entre patronal y sindicatos considerado hasta ahora como modélico.

Los educadores de las guarderías municipales de toda Alemania están en huelga indefinida desde hace una semana y, mientras decenas de miles de padres y empresas en la mayor economía europea tratan de minimizar las consecuencias, la negociación colectiva permanece bloqueada. Este grupo de 240.000 empleados es el último en ponerse en pie de guerra laboral en lo que va de año, prolongando una lista ya generosa que no cesa de crecer, provocando entre la ciudadanía comprensión y sorpresa, pero también indignación.

Recopilando sólo las más significativas, 2015 arrancó con paros de advertencia en el metal, a los que siguieron las huelgas del personal de seguridad de los aeropuertos, las de los pilotos de Lufthansa y Germanwings, las protestas de los trabajadores de Amazon y el Postbank, la de los maquinistas de la Deutsche Bahn, y la de los empleados de Correos y de Prosegur. En apenas cinco meses se han acumulado ya más de 350.000 días de huelga en Alemania, más del doble que en el conjunto del año pasado, según un estudio del Instituto de la Economía Alemania (IW) de Colonia.

De prolongarse esta tendencia, este centro de estudios considera probable que se superen los 430.000 días de protesta laboral este año, lo que supondría rebasar la mayor cifra desde 1992, obtenida en 2006. El lastre para la economía es evidente: sólo la huelga de maquinistas provocó pérdidas de hasta 750 millones de euros para la economía alemana, según Stefan Kipar, economista jefe del banco BayernLB, lo que podría reducir en una décima el crecimiento en el segundo trimestre.

¿Qué sucede en Alemania para que se dispare la conflictividad laboral? Los expertos apuntan una constelación de elementos que comprenden desde la sólida evolución de la economía hasta la atomización del mundo sindical, pasando por la progresiva complejidad de las relaciones laborales. La mayor economía europea, que según todas las estimaciones crecerá este año por encima del 1,6 % que repuntó en 2014, disfruta de una tasa de desempleo en mínimos desde la reunificación a la vez que su población con empleo ha encadenado nueve años consecutivos al alza, rompiendo todos los récords.

Esta situación real más los discursos triunfalistas de los políticos anima a los trabajadores a elevar sus reivindicaciones, especialmente tras los peores años de la crisis, en los que se impuso la contención salarial debido a los problemas en Europa. El Ministerio de Economía alemán prevé que los salarios netos avancen este ejercicio un 2,8 % de media. Pensemos que la OCDE y los sindicatos españoles se han peleado por un aumento salarial de un triste 1% este año y un1.5% para el próximo. Además, algunos expertos han apuntado que las cuestiones que enfrentan a empleadores y trabajadores no son meramente salariales, como en el pasado, sino más profundas y complejas.

IN GERMANY IT IS ALREADY SPOKEN OF A LOST GENERATION WE GO TO FOR THE SECON ONE

Spain, to the head of the UE in 'ninis' with 23%. Spain is, together with Greece, one of the European countries with younger (neither-neither) that "neither they study neither they work", according to the report of the OECD, 'The competitions beyond the school' presented this Thursday in Madrid. In press wheel, the secretary of State of Education, Montserrat Gomendio, linked this fact with the high unemployment level and with "the scarce presence of the Professional Formation in our educational system”, since, according to data of this ministry, 23% of the youths neither he studies neither he works.  

This circumstance is already an European problem, in Germany today it is spoken that Spain already has a lost generation this is evidently a problem, but to me it scares me more to think that it will pass with this lost generation, like he recovered or rather he will be able to recover, this phenomenon throws for the floor many future economic planning’s, for example, the contribution to the pensions so much to the current ones and those that this generation will need when it arrives to the jubilation age, 

Spain will have during this century a hole of labor resources from the tributary point of view, I tame family and of balance of the social pyramid, of about 16 million individuals totally put off socially and economically speaking. The problem is always the, the imbalance of the structural economy of Spain has already referred to it multitude of times but that I can make me before size national disaster.  

It is evident that after the years of the dictatorship Spain step of the bad thing to the worst thing, because although during 40 years we lacked freedom, in the following ones we have lacked 40 statesmen and had more than enough political useless and presumed criminals that have governed us and they have taken advantage to empty Spain of all industrial fabric, being filled the pockets with the help of taken out fraudulent commissions of civil structures and unnecessary floor requalification’s and bringing more than seven million manpower without qualification some among the decade of the 1995 at the 2005 to become rich him more quickly possible. 

That it is the result of this today, very simple, alone three of each ten students that finish the “ESO” choose the Professional Formation in front of the High school, when in the countries of Europe with less unemployment "the percentage almost is on the contrary", and this because it happens, it is that the Spaniards are unable to work, the youths don't not simply study a profession because they come that there is not work there is not industry there is not nothing else that hotels, bars, restaurants, beaches and tourists, banks and titled some working precariously and other also in unemployment but fewer are that simple  

The problem is that this situation is already escaping from its possible control. Spain has few students in Professional Formation, that that automatically is being related with a high percentage of adults with scarce professional qualification (44% in front of 17 stocking% in the UE). On the other hand, the access rate to the university ascends to 32%, while in Europe it is of 28%. The number of 'ninis' in Spain it has "constantly" increased from the beginning of the crisis, we speak of the 2008 and it is also necessary to add the adults that came (those 7 millions of workers of the construction) that were all not when finishing the bubble in (neither - neither) but alone in neither I have work neither the training for looking for it. 

The logical thing would be to insert offers of titles of Professional Formation to the labor market, to homologate and to homogenize the titles, to impel the gangplanks and the traffic possibilities among the different branches and to increase the hours of formation in the work place. But this alone it would be possible if there is an industrial managerial structure and of strong added value, to make of waiter or charwomen of the home it is not necessary a lot of specialization no matter how much now in electoral time the PP determines to say that it will start in the next educational reformation. 

I don't worry about because in the next reformation the PP waits that it will no longer be in the government from Spain. But that they have to tell to this situation the union agents and the employer one, of doors it stops out employer and unions continue maintaining postures so divergent that it seems to be diluted the possibility to sign an III Agreement for the Employment and the Collective Negotiation, although the works and meetings interns continue. But both know the reality of Spain that I eat I already said and like sample repeats it of the 35 companies of the alone Spanish IBEX there are two industrial the rest is services, banks and sure, because the construction companies that there are also them are all working outside of Spain. 

EN ALEMANIA YA SE HABLA DE UNA GENERACION PERDIDA VAMOS A POR LA SEGUNDA

España, a la cabeza de la UE en 'ninis' con un 23%. España es, junto con Grecia, uno de los países europeos con más jóvenes (ni-ni) que “ni estudian ni trabajan”, según el informe de la OCDE, 'Las competencias más allá de la escuela' presentado este jueves en Madrid. En rueda de prensa, la secretaria de Estado de Educación, Montserrat Gomendio, vinculó este hecho con el alto nivel de desempleo y con "la escasa presencia de la Formación Profesional en nuestro sistema educativo", ya que, según datos de este ministerio, el 23% de los jóvenes ni estudia ni trabaja.

Esta circunstancia es ya un problema europeo, en Alemania se habla hoy de que España tiene ya una generación perdida esto es evidentemente un problema, pero a mí me asusta más pensar que pasará con esta generación perdida, como se recuperara o mejor dicho podrá recuperarse, este fenómeno tira por el suelo muchas planificaciones económicas futuras, por ejemplo, la aportación a las pensiones tanto a las actuales y a las que esta generación necesitará cuando llegue a la edad de jubilación,

España va a tener durante este siglo un vacío de recursos laborales desde el punto de vista tributario, domestico familiar y de equilibrio de la pirámide social, de unos 16 millones de individuos totalmente desubicados socialmente y económicamente hablando. El problema es el de siempre, el desequilibrio de la economía estructural de España ya me he referido a ello multitud de veces pero que puedo hacer yo ante tamaño desastre nacional.

Es evidente que tras los años de la dictadura España paso de lo malo a lo peor, porque si bien durante 40 años nos faltó libertad, en los siguientes 40 nos han faltado estadistas y sobrado políticos inútiles y presuntos delincuentes  que nos han gobernado y han aprovechado para vaciar España de todo tejido industrial, llenándose los bolsillos a base de comisiones fraudulentas sacadas de obras civiles y recalificaciones de suelo innecesarias y trayendo más de siete millones de mano de obra sin calificación alguna entre la década del 1995 al 2005 para hacerse ricos lo más rápidamente posible.

Que es el resultado de esto hoy, muy simple, solo tres de cada diez estudiantes que terminan la ESO elige la Formación Profesional frente al Bachillerato, cuando en los países de Europa con menos paro "el porcentaje casi es al contrario", y esto porque pasa, es que los españoles somos incapaces de trabajar, no simplemente los jóvenes no estudian una profesión porque ven que no hay trabajo no hay industria no hay nada más que hoteles, bares, restaurantes, playas y turistas,  bancos  y titulados unos trabajando precariamente y otros también en paro pero menos es así de sencillo

El problema es que esta situación ya se está escapando de su posible control. España tiene pocos estudiantes en Formación Profesional, lo que automáticamente está relacionándose  con un alto porcentaje de adultos con escasa cualificación profesional (44% frente al 17% de media en la UE). En cambio, la tasa de acceso a la universidad asciende al 32%, mientras que en Europa es del 28%. El número de 'ninis' en España ha aumentado "constantemente" desde el inicio de la crisis, hablamos del 2008 y además hay que añadir los adultos que vinieron (aquellos 7 millones de obreros de la construcción)  que al terminar la burbuja quedaron todos no en (ni – ni) sino solo en ni tengo trabajo ni la capacitación para el buscarlo.

Lo lógico sería encajar ofertas de titulaciones de Formacion Profesional al mercado laboral, homologar y homogeneizar los títulos, impulsar las pasarelas y las posibilidades de tránsito entre las distintas ramas y aumentar la horas de formación en el lugar de trabajo. Pero esto solo sería posible si hubiese una estructura empresarial industrial y de valor añadido fuerte, para hacer de camarero o asistentas del hogar no hace falta mucha especialización por mucho que ahora en época electoral el PP se empeñe en decir que va a poner en marcha en la próxima reforma educativa.

No me preocupa porque en la próxima reforma el PP espero que ya no estará en el gobierno de España. Pero que tienen que decir a esta situación los agentes sindicales y la patronal, de puertas para afuera patronal y sindicatos siguen manteniendo posturas tan divergentes que parece diluirse la posibilidad de firmar un III Acuerdo para el Empleo y la Negociación Colectiva, aunque los trabajos y reuniones internos continúan. Pero ambos conocen la realidad de España que como ya dije y como muestra lo repito de las 35 empresas del IBEX español solo hay dos industriales el resto son servicios, bancos y seguros, porque las empresas de construcción que también las hay están todas trabajando fuera de España.

A STATE IN DECOMPOSITION COULD BE REDOED BY OTHERS.

Between Spain and Catalonia, we are arrived hopelessly to the crash of trains and it is clear that it is the plan looked for by the government from Spain and for that no longer seen so feared on the part of the Catalan government's politics, they are only some local and autonomous elections of for half so that this collision happens hopelessly. 

Among point they will continue and they became worse the actions of I discredit, the false accusations or little proven, and the use in a mean way and coward to the constitutional tribunal, they are treacherous actions and of political drop, all employees against Catalonia, and that they have already passed to the category of common, that makes them to no longer make us effect some.  

And on the part of Catalonia, it seems finally that one tries to change the registration of the too submissive position and patient maintained up to now and everything indicates that will spend to the attack to the insubordination to the rebelliousness, and to also use the law to denounce the lack of legality of the approaches that the government from Spain gives like absolute reasons, for not accepting a democratic negotiation in no way.  

The facts are already history, here in Spain there is no longer way to reach an agreement previous to the collision, now the most probable thing is that the conflict between both, Spain and Catalonia, are fleshed in a continuous attack and against attack of each other and we will already see how it will finish, that that yes it is for sure it didn't finish well for Spain and simply for a single ethical reason, the big one should always be more careful in the spindle of their force than the small one, precisely for that reason for their sought greatness.  

But here it doesn't pass this Spain it is different, Spain understands that to the small one it is necessary to dominate him, it is not necessary to give him barracks that after all it is a not well educated one that is not possible that he seeks not to understand that he faces a great nation that conquered the world, without realizing that this already step and that this doesn't give right to anything that what was won got lost everything and that the surest thing is that what stays also loses if it is continued by this on the way to arrogance.   

Catalonia whose objectives were and they are still to maintain a "status quo" with the government from Spain, and paralleled to look for the legal form that he can offer a road toward the creation of a sovereign and independent Catalonia. He has said coarse and the decision of their society, of their politicians and of their government it is the one of going directly at the end of the road without already having any previous agreement with Spain, and this will make both litigants tremble they don't doubt it, what spent doesn't know about certain but I assure them that starting from May 24 everybody and fundamentally the UE will be looking sincerely that he cooks in Spain and Catalonia  

This is no more, no less the current situation, and if they also add the presence in the press and in the tribunals of the real political degradation and without palliatives of the Spanish politics, the curiosity and the international interest will be obvious why the world waits to see in that is in the local and autonomous government positions after the dirty present time like they covered themselves the swindles, bribes, bleaches of money, and the fear to that you the traditional politics of Spain dismounts with the unstoppable appearance of we Can and Citizens among other things, everything motivates it so that they have us positions the eyes above from the UE. 

What is about to happen is that thanks to the immobility and the political cowardice of the traditional Spain they have two breaks of the nation, as that of Catalonia that one can will transform into a new and independent nation, and the other break, it will be in the political structure of Spain where will be given to the old inherited political class of the century 20, and this turn that you/they don't doubt it, it happened because the Spanish society also wants to become independent of the old current Spain and caspase, and what happens and according to like happen, this will be the end of the problem because the supremacy of the traditional parties will disappear they don't doubt it. 

The new government from Spain will be directed by the new political forces that anything will have to do with the PP neither the PSOE, because the defeat in the next elections can be of such a caliber that the own internal discords of the two current national parties some were accused others of having lost the power, they were destroyed and they will be swept of the Spanish political spectrum. 

This will untie a gale of actions of all type, and from all the Spanish stamens, that is to say, they changed government's structures, going of course by the constitution, and my prediction is that in not more than two or three years, the Iberian peninsula is a place where three or four nations cohabit maybe federal: Spain, Portugal and Catalonia and I will tell them that maybe Andalusia. With some new more liberated more modern more open mentalities of old damages and bad habits acquired by centuries of immobility, I don't discard that these three or four nations come to an agreement with economic and political treaties of presenting before the UE a new one and economic area prospers, able to be redoes independently and I eat consequence on the whole of the misery in that now is put.