miércoles, 18 de febrero de 2015

MAYBE GREECE CHANGES ITS RESCUE FOR "A CREDIT UNDER VERY GOOD CONDITIONS" AS SPAIN



Every time that there is a crisis, economic, political or simply of trust flights of capitals that pass of a place to other looking for some to be protected take place and other to take advantage of them trusting the later rebounds if the things are tranquilized, this it is the game. Now he plays him the shift to Greece. As it happened three years ago with Cyprus, the citizens are moving away thousands of Eurus of the country. In most of the cases, the investors are devoted to transfer the money to banks of other countries of the euro zona. Only in December of 2014, 7.600 million Eurus were sent the foreigner, the equivalent one to 4% of the GDP of Greece. 

Evidently when in a country or an economy, the richest citizens transfer their funds to other surer places, the loss of liquidity of the local banks, they face the threat of the insolvency. Then it is not another remedy that the Central Bank of the threatened Country injects to its banks millions of Eurus appealing to a well-known protocol as Attendance of Liquidity of Emergency (ELA, for its initials in English). These funds take borrowed of other central banks of the euro zona that deposited Eurus in new bills outside of Greece that the investors that moved away its money of the country had created. 

Although the situation in Greece is not still so serious, he goes on the way to it. The capital flights have to have been increased significantly since it began the year, given the cold answer of Europe to the petitions of attendance on the part of the new Government. The debt is still ignored that had the Greek Central Bank with the rest of the euro zona at the end of January. However, it is known that the reclamations of the Bundesbank to the BCE increased in 55.000 million Eurus, the third more important increment from the explosion of the financial crisis eight years ago. This means that great part of the capital of Greece will have stopped Germany. 

Last week the advice of the BCE reduced the capacity of the central bank of Greece to lend new money to the commercial banks. Before this was allowed if it was given to change emitted debt or guaranteed by the Greek government, but this debt is no longer accepted as collateral. Seemingly, the capacity to print money has been drained to help the rich Greeks, to the banks and the international investors to leave a financial system that is collapsing. 

To compensate this restriction, the advice of the BCE allowed to the Greek central bank to grant as maximum 65.000 million Eurus in credits of help of emergency liquidity (ELA) to its commercial banks under the same mechanism that you implants in the crisis of Cyprus. Although the BCE affirms that the central bank of Greece is the responsible for the payment, this sum is much bigger that the one that it could be able to pay its debts to the euro system if the Greek banks could not pay the credits ELA. It could be said that the central bank of Greece "possesses" 38.000 millions of Eurus of the monetary bottom of the central banks of the euro system. 

The BCE has granted a temporary postponement to the Greek banks to the taxpayers' of the other countries of the euro zona who are those coast that in fact they are granting credits so that the rich Greeks can take out its money of the country. To the Greek central bank it should not be allowed to live above their possibilities. The maximum limit of the help to the commercial banks should be of 42.000 million Eurus. Then the Greek government should establish capital controls to impede the flight of capitals and so that his banks were solvent.  

The question is if this situation is continued by the current Greek government or he also enters in the chapter of popular national economic liberation of the Syriza according to you finish them news of this morning in that seems that Greece is willing to continue a situation of “rescue economic” without a “economic rescue” denominated if it seems that some bills real and not so alone politicians have been made, in all ways he meant that a part of blame of this situation maybe has it Spain that didn't receive a rescue, but a "credit under very good conditions" they remember the words of Rajoy  

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