martes, 8 de septiembre de 2015

TO CREATE STRUCTURES OF A NEW STATE IS A PROFITABLE INVESTMENT NOT A COST



Political of the PP and of the PSOE, more economists country property ex ministers, as Borrell and numerous journalists of the Spanish press salmon, they have begun the depression campaign for the Catalan independent arguing that the creation of necessary structures for a new state is a cost that he could throw for the floor the small advantages that all already assume that an independent Catalonia would obtain. It was already hour that they begin to admit this last already alone it is question of what importance and quantity has this argument according to the analyst that one of the less optimistic ratios compares it but made by a former minister of economy of the PSPOE and also Catalan as it was Borrell it assumes that the Catalan GDP would ascend among a 1,5 to 2 points. 

But once already clarified and accepted by Spain that the independence is without a doubt an advantage for Catalonia they try now to convince us that to obtain a rickety 1,5 % increase in the GDP the costs to structure a new country they are so enormous that maybe it is not worthwhile to think about it. Here there is as always I say the idea that the society is silly and that he doesn't know how to analyze anything and they are believed all that the politicians and the reinforcements extended in the matter tell him, frankly I don't know because they are not quiet because with their trials of value the only thing that they make is to confirm more and more that Catalonia is right and that its independence would locate it in a guarantee level and near financial qualification to the small countries of the north of Europe. 

But now I will expose the tremendous context error that means to say that the cost of the creation of structures of a new country is almost a cost impossible of assume or I prune profitable. The first thing that it is necessary to know is that the creation of new administrative structures of a new country is an investment, is not a cost, they are a very profitable investment because they believe on of work with what they lower the unemployment that dragged the new country coming from the old political configuration. He is necessary to mount services for what buildings offices were enabled today without use this will produce rents and therefore Taxes, country property officials were also needed, tributary agents, customs brokers, more police agents, structures of control of sanity, education, public works, and all this generates taxes and employments that are not for a single time. 

Evidently besides the services and direct employments, all these new structures needed an enormous quantity of employments and indirect activities as agents, lawyers, with it a numberless of administrative structures of services, clerks, technicians in computer science, in short a series of employments that alone today exists in Madrid, all this didn't alter what today is in progress already very on the contrary in Catalonia at all it reinforced it because for example the airport of the Prat won't have to adapt to the supervision of AENA neither the shortage of customs brokers thing this that also happens in the port of Barcelona and that he makes it slower in dispatching merchandise that that of Valencia for example creating this way a disloyal competition. 

And we are not speaking of small figures neither in employment neither in investments, the president of the Generalitat, Artur Mas, next to the economists Oriol Amat and Germà Bel, presented yesterday the study of the electoral list Junts pel Yes on the economic viability of Catalonia like a new independent State. One of the most attractive proposals in the document is the one of creating between 50.000 and 70.000 new official squares. Evaluations were not presented of what would mean the indirect work but it would not be any atrocity to calculate more than 30.000 new employments induced in summary alone the fact of beginning a new Catalonia, it could already represent the creation of 100,000 new employments. 

According to the study about the economic viability of the new State, the creation of these squares of public workers would be necessary to cover the "new structures of State" of Catalonia. The financing of these officials foray in charge of the 16.000 million Eurus corresponding to the annual fiscal deficit that Catalonia maintains with the Spanish State. According to the professor in Economy Oriol Amat, the independence would take Catalonia to have an annual surplus of 16.000 million, what would allow to eliminate the debt of the Generalitat, to lower some tax and to increase the social departures.  

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