The
growth economic World cup will be "disappointing" next year, the
directress manager of the International Monetary Fund said months ago in a
tribune for the German newspaper Handelsblatt. "In many countries, the
financial sector still has weaknesses and in the emergent markets the financial
risks are increasing. All that means that the world growth will be disappointing
and unequal in the 2016", today seems so obvious this prediction that
frankly I don't believe that we need any directress or general director of the
IMF to tell us what is already here .
The
certain thing nevertheless is that he was right, in 2016 they can fall Greece
definitively Spain and Italy and I not eat the Euro, because as all we know the
USA they have already decided finally to put the things in their place and they
will get paid to lend money that is what plays, it is curious because of this
Lagarde doesn't speak, it will be because like she lives in it USES she already
goes well her. the causes of the possible falls of many economies in 2016 are
very obvious the debts of all the countries will be increased this way by the
good ones among 120 to 200 basis points the first ones 100 for the increase of
the price of the money that the FED will impose and the second quantity will
depend on the trust of the markets to that, after first ascent, understand that
some country cannot pay its debt at the second or third.
Because
it is evident that the drop productivity, the population's aging and the
effects of the world financial crisis, they continue braking the growth, and
certainly anything will change the world to solve these problems but just the
opposite the first problem is the inaction of Europe that was accentuated with
the disaster of the immigration without control that is strained by all the frontiers
of Europe that that if we connect it with the population's European original
aging we will see that the labor occupation will be for the much younger
immigrants and that they worked for less than the half that the Europeans.
Evidently
this that could seem that the competitiveness of the European production
increased is not this way because so that there is competitiveness he has to
have production and so that there is production he has to have consumption and
so that there is consumption he has to have consumers and with the salaries
that approach little consumption there will be and we all know that Europe is
so more import than exporter we have everything in against we will care more
expensive (for the dollar) and we will export cheaper (for the Euro) the
combination is the perfect so that many European countries they think about the
suspension of payments, the exit of the euro and the closing of opposite.
If
besides the economic aspects, we notice the political aspects the disaster is
it already total the Balkan ones putting decoration of wire of kitchen knives
in their frontiers the countries of the German influence will take advantage of
the possibility to pay low salaries while they have possibility to take place
with this they will be able to lower export prices the problem it will be where
they will export? Because the ascent of the alone dollar will benefit to the
USA and the economies in march as China and the whole market Asia Pacific the
problem is that these markets today they are more producing than
consumers.
And
then that we make, because I believe that we arrive late as always to all,
because the only world economic space that will be to reconstruct, will be the
area of the half East and the Africa of the North, because the center and the
south is already in hands of the market and the influence China. But as we make
it because the wars of these places are making them the Russian and the USA
while Europe looks ourselves at it terrified and we pick up them the waste that
are taken out of above, when these wars finish that they will make it soon who
believe you that will reconstruct their economies not certainly Europe.
And
us the Catalan and the Spaniards are throwing ourselves of the hair because we
don't understand each other with our politics he gives laugh before the reality
and world perspectives what happens to us to the Spaniards and the Catalan he
doesn't have any importance maybe it would be even convenient that adds us to
the south bank of the Mediterranean to see if we are lucky and the Americans
help us again as they made it in the later dictatorship to the Spanish civil
war because it is very undoubtedly the Spanish economy the country it cannot be
left it is with an unemployment of 21%, the debt in a trillion Eurus and the
GDP is not seen any improvement for years this is this way and among so much
neither we have politics neither political the perspective is like to begin to
tremble.
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