The trust managerial German falls for third serial month in February to
reach its lower level in more than one year, while the perspectives of the company’s
manufacturers not collapse at levels seen from soon after of the crash of
Lehman Brothers in 2008. What demonstrates once again that the crisis that
began then not alone it has not been overcome, but rather it is in full
devastating activity.
The data of the economic institute IFO, with headquarters in Munich, takes
to the euro to minima of three weeks in front of the dollar and it deepens the
doubts about the strength of the main European economy that has suffered for
the fall of the demand of the emergent markets in Asia and Latin America. That
it lowers the euro it is a good news, to see if the Germans understand it once
and for all that not the whole UE can support a foreign currency a 20% above
its value comparing it with the economy of the dollar.
Most of the companies are pessimistic before their managerial perspectives
for the first time in more than six months, most of German companies expressed
restlessness regarding the growth, especially in factories when being known
that the results of the IFO confirmed that that in their bills of having been
was appreciated already clearly. The index of managerial, followed climate very
closely for the investors, he fell at 105,7 in February from the 107,3 the
previous month to play their lower level from December of 2014.
The fall was headed by a descent in the managerial expectations that went
down abruptly to 98,8 from 102,3 in January, reflecting the concerns in the
German administration advice on the turbulences in the markets and the
continuous fall of the emergent markets, in short in China. “Carsten Brzeski of
the bank ING” qualified the figures that took for the first time to the euro
below the 1,10 dollars in almost three weeks, of call of attention. "The
global events finally have reached to the advice of administration of the
German" companies he said.
After knowing the fact, the economist of IFO Klaus Wohlrabe said to Reuters,
that the forecast of economic growth of Germany in 2016 carried out last year
by the institute at the end of the he needs to be revised to the drop, although
it is not still clear how much, but it is clear since the industrial sector
German will cross a fall. "In the group of the economy we expect a
deceleration", it indicated. In December, the IFO had a forecast that the
German economy would grow 1,9 percent this year. In January, the German
Government revised to the drop his own forecasts of growth for 2016 to 1,7
percent.
It is so evident the risk of deceleration of Germany that the government
has undertaken a bigger expense public and investments that took to a growth of
0,3 percent of the (GDP) German in the fourth trimester, enough to compensate
the weakness of the exports, they showed the presented data, confirming a
preliminary presage of growth.
The Federal Office of Statistics said that the public expense contributed
in 0,2 percentage points of the GDP in the period between October and December
since the authorities they spent more in helps to refugees. The investments
contributed in 0,4 percentage points, while the trade supposed a fall of 0,5
percent and the exports fell 0,6 percent in the fourth trimester.
It is incredible that the UE stays blind and it moves before the evidences
of what is happening it is a continuous setback what they suffer the economies
of the Eurozone up to now the fools or the vagrants we were the Mediterranean
Greece, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and not alone that, but rather the infection of
the insecurity of the economy already extended to France, but I already arrive
the monster in Germany.
There are reasons of course for it the null reaction of the UE in front of
exaggerated number of refugees that has assaulted us and it continues coming,
although with less force it has ended up unbalancing the budgets of all mainly
of Germany that was declared as leader of the welcome of thousands and
refugees' thousands in principle, it is evident that such and I eat he had
already announced this it has put in I discourage to the German society that he
has stopped to spend on one hand fearful because suddenly there is in the
country a manpower that is able to work for anything alone for a paper that
authorizes them to be in Europe.
Automatically the companies lose production and they also get scared alone
it lacked the case VW, and he also harms a lot of that we are not the Mediterranean
poor those that we complain it is that now it is already Great Britain the one that puts the conditions to
continue in the UE because they know that if he doesn't intersect the
hemorrhage of social expenses and trust is not given to the reactivation of the
industry and with it the economy of the UE is better to escape before to be
entangled in the cloth of spider of a charity not well expert.
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario