domingo, 8 de enero de 2012

THE SCREAMS OF THE SILENCE

I arrive the hour, “la suerte está echada”  “rien ne va plus” “Die Würfel sind gefallen” “Il dado è tratto”.

There is no longer returned the uncertainty behind he ends, now it is necessary to wait to see what it spends in alone two or three weeks, we will see if Greece leaves the euro, if it breaks the monetary unit, and let us wait to see what it passes with the political disunion, (this it doesn't break because it has never been united), the thing this in seeing if continuous the idea of the UE or each one leaves for its side. 

The Union Europe has four pillars basically in those that to lean on and frankly I don't see them very sure we will see these pillars they are: Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. Among the four 256.960,785 inhabitants add that is to say on the 440.159,005 inhabitants from Europe (without United Kingdom that has never been for me neither it will be European) they represent 58% and regarding the economic power, in these four countries he/she concentrates 52,2% of the nominal GDP of the union. Well if like he said God: On this stone I will lift my Church, the European union should tell the same envelope these stones I will lift my union. 

The bad thing is that these stones are at this time crucial of gritty fine and they come undone, as sugar in the coffee, when they press them a little, anything a little bit anything but, Germany doesn't harmonize with none of the other ones three its mood, position and history impedes it to him. France neither can with the other ones three, mainly with Germany to the one that fears and he envies at the same time, with Italy it can work, and with Spain for them continues being more near Africa than of Europe, expensive that Spain makes an effort a lot so that this seems this way.  Good Italy is not the one that falls but bad, it was German fifty-fifty when the a half Europa it was under Nazism, French when Napoleon, good because that, some everything, I would say that he knows how waters to be between two but it is not enough to lead anything. And finally Spain, is in this quartet anything, neither it considers it to him for its neighbors, neither for its friends, neither for its enemies, Spain cannot make absolutely anything, it is more if something can make, it is the whole lattice that could be in foot after they have just collapsed more than probable desertion of Greece. 

And here they have you the truth and with this it would be necessary to count to make decisions me frankly not you so that the presidents of the mentioned states meet if all and each one thinks that the blame is of the other one and they acted this way like a pot of crickets, alone that this time they have the expiatory male goat Greece. This circumstance surprisingly could save the European Union Greece he could make of reflective mirror where to look at you all the other ones and to see the light, and to see that if we continue we go this way one after another behind Greece and good to decide that one wants to make. 

I take a risk to give a presage, Greece was located clearly in position of having to abandon the euro and the European union, in next weeks to more to take, when the IMF and its inspectors certify that the Greek situation this worse one instead of going to better, this will be known before the day 20. And the “Merkozy” will have to solve once and for all in the summit of month end, you finishes the time for the hesitations and uncertainties of deciding what to make, they will have to take the pertinent decisions, to catch the debt for the horns and to assume it for all those affected and to combine it, or to undo the European Union and the Euro, at the end believes that the solution will be mixed the debt became unified and Greece will be remote of the euro group. Alone one will be able to this way to begin to plan the exit by means of the reactivation of the area euro that is the last step that is if there is you really win of continuing. 

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