viernes, 20 de enero de 2012

THE UNEMPLOYMENT IS A PUNISHMENT FOR SPAIN


Somebody has noticed that 21,5% of productive people is not working, That is correct. One of each five people in age of taking place of this country is charging the unemployment, or anything is in situation of social exclusion, this is a problem of much care, because if this fact that and reflected it is violent, they will see now when he translates it to social numbers. If we give for good that there is an average of 3 family units behind each unemployed, it is that the unemployment situation in Spain excludes at 15.000.000 of people that is to say to the national population's 32%.  That they are forced to be integrated in the submerged economy, or where it is and like be, Spain has in danger of social exclusion a third of its society. 

And among so much the government is clipping budgets and expenses because it cannot sustain them, the banks looking for money, the companies without orders, and the consumption doesn't exist, and the worst thing is that meanwhile Europe neither is fixing anything.  We are in danger of putting in risk a generation of Spaniards meeting them to the chronic unemployment, especially the men and young women and bigger than 50 years, and our legislators cannot see beyond the problem of the sovereign debt and the budgetary deficit. And I am not sure that they not even look further on. 

The PP and their government have not even demonstrated their concern for what represents in economic losses on the alone national budget it seems that they outline it from the social and political point, but it is not if it is millionaire and unbearable expenses for the country. This way today in day the heavy and dangerous drama of the debt, it is increased and it is developed quickly with the costs of the unemployment, the political leaders and their respective ones political partisan. They are unable to face the fact that 5 million terrible workers that have fallen in the category of unemployed, take years in labor extra situation. How future we have left it, the crash is not other neither debt neither default neither anything, is the pure and hard decadence of the values of the society. 

It is not anything pleasant to treat this topic in these terms so hard. But I cannot leave this I should insist this way in that the things are becoming very ugly for all, and for our blame, it is not necessary to give him turns the last well-being it is killing us, the humanity is not made to live idling, he seems to be that we should have to fight, if the society gives it to us all we ruin it. As it has been this way, we have ruined the demographic balance and I eat consequence the economics of our country, me you that it sounds bad but I cannot stop to stress it, the imbalance that has been created among the plaintiffs of employment opportunities, and the employment that can offer the Spanish economy, has been unbalanced completely and if we don't vary both parameters substantially this situation he doesn't have any exit. 

Such and like it will develop the evolution of the Spanish economy in the legislatures that come, I assure them that we won't be able to absorb but there of 1,5 million unemployed, and this if the things in our own country and our environment accompany, I calculate that the first year 2012 will be possible to brake the employment destruction and to reabsorb unemployed tips of among the 1, and 1,5%, that is to say our unemployment index oscillated among 19/20%, it will be later in the 2013 that one will be able to see a certain employment creation and with luck we could arrive at the end of this year with an index of 18%. I Believe possible if this goes for this road and there is reactivation of the world economy that in 2014 we can absorb as much other two points, and to stay in an index of 16/17% of unemployed, that is to say a population of 3,8 millions and I don't believe that one can make but, sincerely think that each oscillation point is the equivalent one to 230,000 employments. 

These figures are not assumable for the future industrial development of Spain, for two causes, a because with the globalization of the industrialization it is not necessary the creation of productive processes of high manpower consumption, in the world up to now rich call, these processes have moved to the universe BRIC or even below, it happens this way that in the environment of the first world to call it somehow, the increases of indexes of the GDP, don't keep the same relationship that before with the increase of the occupation, in the included next future they can go in against, because the theory is bigger productivity and but tecnification, these two factors can with all security to reduce the manpower necessity sensibly, while the economy of the country grows. 

This situation believes an evil paradox in our country, we need to improve our productivity to balance the economy and to palliate the unemployment, but the more we improve it more unemployment we believe. It will be a divine punishment for our speculative lust of the years 90, it can be that and it is that hard, this should plan it the new government, it is not worth me that our prepared youths leave to the Brazil, the China or to Germany, they are in proportion so small that they don't move the figures, the solution is in prevailing the emigration of the surpluses of manpower of the industry that I cause the disaster, that is to say the construction. 

The only way to balance in the advanced countries the manpower imbalance in relation to the possibility of real work is or balancing the demography relating the offer of workers to the demand of the productive economy of the country, or the inverse one creating a work offer able to absorb the imbalance and this in the current moments thinks it is impossible because the economy in frank recession would not allow the setting in march of constructive projects of public character that are the only ones able to absorb the type and quantity of manpower surplus. 

If he doesn't face the problem, at the end it will be Spain to which they will have to rescue us because the cost of maintaining to 5 million unemployed doesn't get off 50,000 million annual Eurus, it is much more than what needs the banking with the aggravating difference that is a single time for the banking, and for the unemployment it is an and other and another time so many as years pass with these imbalances. 

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