sábado, 21 de enero de 2012

WE CONTINUE MOVING THE PARTRIDGE AND IT ALREADY STINKS


That stupidity that it lacks of common sense, like it can be that the world of the economy and the finances, seek to take to term some impossible negotiations, and that the other ones practically stop to wait that it passes what has to happen, without making anything to go solving what affects us that it is not little, I refer to the negotiations between the private creditors of the Greek debt and the own Greek government.  

Yesterday and until this morning the news were that it could have an agreement of it removes on the Greek debt on the part of those worthy of until 70%, with the help of changing an old and unpayable debt, for another new one under other conditions and that it would restore to the old one, the crash was avoided this way, (terrible word) he was lowered the quantity, and all contentment’s and deceived. Well the thing has broken, I not eat, somebody will have tossed bills and bill has been given that Greece neither he can pay the old debt, neither he will be able to pay the new debt.  

This way those that at the moment the decision is that the best thing is to allow to fall the things, to have up to where they arrive, recently I have read through an agency news (Reuters) that the representatives of the private creditors from Greece, they have left Athens unexpectedly to everything to run without having an agreement on a plan of debt exchange, vital to avoid a disordered suspension of payments, they said to Reuters near sources to the negotiations. The conversations will continue telephonically during the weekend, but it is not very probable that an agreement is achieved before next week; they added the sources, while Athens runs against the clock to achieve a treatment. 

The IMF and the countries of the UE, and in particular the leader of the block, Germany, they want to make sure that the agreement returns to the disordered Greek finances to a sustainable road, before approving a new rescue for 130.000 million Eurus that it is also crucial to avoid a disordered default. The IMF insists in that the agreement should guarantee that the load of debt of Greece is reduced to 120 percent of its GDP for the 2020, from the current 160 percent, just as it was agreed in a summit of the UE in October. 

To my these numbers don't square me at all, as always I say somebody he doesn't say the truth, we will see, if one was negotiated it removes of among the 50º 70% of the debt my numbers tell me that if the debt is of 160% of the national GDP of Greece, it should be this debt in the supposition of arriving to I finish the it removes, to some percentages of among 80 to 60% of the Greek GDP, it calculates that it is always considered the logic of bearable indebtedness, however according to the news of (Reuters), they calculate a debt after the negotiation of 120% of the GDP and to arrive to this figure for the 2020, this discount or alone condo nation means 25%, and if we keep in mind that Greece would be supporting interests of the order of 4 annual%, it is that of here to 7 years he opened up paid the condoned quantity amply, since to 4 % annual the interests go up 28% at the end of the period, with what the business is as that of the Roberto of the goats that changed two black goats for a white one. 


The creditors have noticed that that objective is complicated because the economic perspectives of Greece have deteriorated instead of leaving overcoming. "The things are complicated, we are coming closer to the figures, but it continues there being work for before", he said a source. "The discussions will stay for telephone during this weekend, but it is not very probable that an agreement is achieved before next week, if it ends up having agreement", it indicated.  

I am that I have never seen that they are negotiated you remove of debts, before a crash or real suspension of payments, because it cannot be otherwise, to reach an agreement of this type it is necessary to have the certainty that it won't change anything on the part of some, and that the business won't continue on the part of the other ones, unless you arrives to this agreement type, the creditors see this way that it is better 40% that anything, and they accept, but intervening to the debtor to see of to overcome the situation and to take out the whole profit that they can, but this it is not the case until it is it, I explain to myself, here in the bottom of the situation the security underlies on the part of the creditor and of the debtor that at the end the euro won't have more remedy than to pay, and that makes in viable throwing some to lose and the other ones to pay, because this it is the situation, Greece he has it clear he doesn't plan to pay anything, he knows that who has the problem it is not Europe them, so already the solution arrived and if non Greece doesn't have already nothing else that to lose. 

The current situation should remember the Spartan situation of the 300 that they stopped to the Persian army in the battle of the Thermopiles, the situation it is similar the Greek government and its society, today he already knows that he has it all lost one, and it fights to avoid its total economic colonization because of this it is, if it gets it stupendous but because good they will have fought as skilled strategists and warring brave until the death, and after this he played us to the other ones to continue liberating battle after battle for our survival and fiscal and financial freedom, until getting the victory or the death, there is not half term.    

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