sábado, 21 de febrero de 2015

THE EURO GROUP IS GIVEN FOUR MONTHS TO PREPARE THE EXIT DE GREECE OF THE EURO



After the decision of the Euro group of extending the credit of Greece four months, I understand very clearly that the Greek situation is already irreversible and that this period of time is simply to go preparing like one makes the exit of Greece with the euro group. Athens worked to against clock to present on Monday the concrete reformations that convince its partners definitively, while an agreement that assures takes place that he leaves the era of the rescues behind neither this last it is certain neither the other thing can be studied in 36 hours. 

After three Euro groups and you tighten negotiations marked by the ribbon and it loosens between Athens and Berlin, playing for their minister of Finances, Yanis Varufakis and Wolfgang Schäuble, the Greek Government has reached an agreement that although it depends on the concrete proposals that it presents in two days, it maintains part of his red lines. The objective of primary surplus of 3% of the GDP is suppressed for this year and of 4,5% for 2016 and, in its place, the growth will notice function of "the economic" circumstances of Greece. This is the same thing that to say that Greece no longer anger to the rhythm of the Euro group now single lack to know if this means that besides not going to rhythm it will no longer be in him.  

Athens has also been able to freeze the measures that demanded to increase the IVA, a measure that affected especially to the tourism, the economic motor of the Hellenic economy, and to reduce the pensions. In their place, it has been able to center the pact with the partners based on the common objective of combatting the fiscal escape for that only reason I believe me that the euro group has given this term of four months that a priori doesn't have any sense because the other measures, against the corruption, the reformation of the public administration and to fight against the humanitarian crisis this is not gotten in four months this will be the work of the new Greece that was after its exit of the euro group.  

The Executive nothing else to be known the result of the meeting to transmit that he has not given march in all their positions, but rather it has won "time" to negotiate a wider agreement I throw the following messages "Greece it has passed page" or “we are beginning to be joint authors of the exact reformations" in these messages he hides what I am exposing Alexis Tsipras he is telling to their town the help he finished there won't be so now new rescue we will be us the authors of the reformations because Tsipras knows that in Greek or in Etruscan he will write a lot of reformations and to disguise them of own so that the Greek society believes them to him and it completes them. 

Government stressed after the decision of the euro zona that Athens will "continue with the application of its program of Government", that is to say, it will begin to legislate, and I eat Tsipras he already announced this Tuesday, on the most urgent matters. A law that enlarges the circle of people that you/they can be welcomed to the payment in a hundred terms of their debts with Treasury and another that protects against the ousters of the first housing.  

Although it was foreseen that both you introduces last week in the Parliament their procedure he was delayed to avoid to transfer a provocation expression to Brussels amid the tense negotiation. Varufakis informed to its homologous that Greece has moved away the law on the ousters, but sources of the Greek ministry of Economy assured today to “Efe” that the project continues in march and next week it will be introduced in the Parliament. In next days you will also begin to debate the norm on the payments to terms of the debts with the Treasury.  

As they come Greece it already acts alone except in the topics that can alter the daily normality of the economy of the euro group the fact that is allowed Greece to go preparing their internal measures and that he has remembered a term of four months when the rescue has left six he gives enough hints that what has remembered is that during this prudential time Greece not adjusted its economy but like it will leave the euro.  The Government's spokesman, Gavriil Sakelaridis, I conclude that in the agreement important benefits have been achieved for the Greek" town and that the opposition should "be adjusted to the new reality to help to the country, if he wants" this way it and another time you leave the same purpose to help to that.  

The German press, as me, reacts with reservations before the agreement on the extension from the plan of help to Greece achieved in the Euro group and it points to that the decisive thing will happen on Monday, when the government from present Athens its list of reformations. "The next term is completed soon", it titles the economic newspaper Handelsblatt in its digital edition. That means accepts that the agreement is a ray of hope for Greece but he added that anything has not still been solved since everything depends on what happens on Monday.  

The danger that Tsipras tries to deceive with new tricks the decisions of Brussels it continues I live, and for the euro and Europe stops an exit of Athens of the Monetary Union it would not be a catastrophe but if it would be it for Greece, they have reached an agreement that they had been able to achieve ten days ago, and if it has not been made it is because both need a time to get ready, the first test, on Monday will be seen when the Greek government presents his concrete plans of reformations and the second later when it is seen if the plans are made reality or they stay in the paper. The hard line in the negotiation with Greece is important because it only is not money but of the fight among the populist forces and the forces moderated in Europe. 

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