He commented
them few days ago in one of my articles that the central banks of the European
countries are repatriating their "GOLD" this fact it is a clear sign
that it is not clear the consolidation of the euro and of euro area this you
has begun to move in the face of the fear of the political situation of Greece
in these moments nobody he has clear that this nation can continue in the euro
if Syriza wins the elections and it completes their advances of to refinance
the Greek debt and not to follow the rules that it imposes the economy of
Brussels.
The
specialists continue maintaining some values of the old foreign currencies of
the UE, and this is not making it now today it is a work that stays since they
disappeared of the monetary market if to the final Greece it puts in risk the
euro they can happen two things that alone it leaves the euro and of euro area
but that it continues in the UE or that he stays outside of both organizations
if this step as if I have not been happened to look that possible repercussions
would have to the other European countries because the decision of Greece for
example could be a the beginning for the Spain of PODEMOS for example.
These
contemplated possibilities already causes a breakup of the political and of course
economic part, with both you will proceed to divide them so that each nation
and economy returns to its origins, and try to leave like he can. They were
some points of union in form of office of studies and statistic that he
observed the evolution of the European countries that voluntarily want
everything without any obligation neither dependence of anything for if it is
gotten and he/she wants attempt again again, among so much you acted by means
of collateral treaties among you tune mainly from the economic side.
The system
of European operation regarding trade and economy will be governed by the world
international norms or with multilateral treaties with what won't be necessary
to create anything special, they will recover the international frontiers those
which and for initiative of multilateral agreements they will be able to
survive some of them among the signatories.
It is
excluded naturally and mainly the free movement of capitals, and very probably
without a bilateral agreement they won't be been able to implant non national
banks in any country. A great discussion exists about the possibility of
maintaining well in foot the BCE as observer of the evolution of the national
economies and also as point of change and agent of payments between the
international economies and that of the European countries. It is necessary to
keep in mind that it is not clear that the rest of the economic world accepts
of good grade the foreign currencies of the different European countries
another time like payment means and financial transactions.
The
possibility to maintain the BCE is problematic because in principle serious
primordial condition that this entity is low it guides her of Germany. This way
the things the most essential thing is to see what values they are given to the
foreign currencies peculiar of the countries up to now members of the
euro-group the calculations they can be made because they stay values of change
so on the Dollar using the patron dollar he/she gives us these current parities
and according to the change euro/dollar of Friday.
PAIS
|
DIVISA
|
PAR/DÓLAR
|
PIB en $ (mill)
|
|
Germany
|
DM
|
1,330
|
2.806.266.000
|
|
Spain
|
Ptas.
|
113,175
|
1.438.959.000
|
|
France
|
FF.
|
4,461
|
2.108.228.000
|
|
Italy
|
Lir.It.
|
1316,920
|
1.740.123.000
|
|
PIB en Div Propia (mill)
|
Par €/$
|
PIB en €
|
Par Div/€
|
|
Germany
|
3.732.333.780
|
1,365
|
2.055.872.527
|
1,815
|
Spain
|
162.854.184.825
|
1,365
|
1.054.182.418
|
154,484
|
France
|
9.404.805.108
|
1,365
|
1.544.489.377
|
6,089
|
Italy
|
2.291.602.781.160
|
1,365
|
1.274.815.385
|
1.797,596
|
We have this
way an idea of the parity of the main ones you sight European nations, with
this accepted, it is simple if the BCE stays that each country goes to this
entity and it changes him its Eurus in proportion to the foreign currencies
that it puts in circulation by means of its central bank, this way for example,
Spain could print 154,484 Ptas. For each euro that entered in the BCE, in
definitive the currencies would have two patterns the Dollar AND the Euro is
not so complicated in fact those that we have some years have already lived
him.
The serious
novelty that a coffee in Spain could cost 185,40 Ptas. Who knows perhaps they
would round him at 185 and we would leave winning.
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