sábado, 3 de enero de 2015

I ADVANCE THEM THE POSSIBLE UP-TO-DATE VALUES OF THE EUROPEAN FOREIGN CURRENCIES



He commented them few days ago in one of my articles that the central banks of the European countries are repatriating their "GOLD" this fact it is a clear sign that it is not clear the consolidation of the euro and of euro area this you has begun to move in the face of the fear of the political situation of Greece in these moments nobody he has clear that this nation can continue in the euro if Syriza wins the elections and it completes their advances of to refinance the Greek debt and not to follow the rules that it imposes the economy of Brussels. 

The specialists continue maintaining some values of the old foreign currencies of the UE, and this is not making it now today it is a work that stays since they disappeared of the monetary market if to the final Greece it puts in risk the euro they can happen two things that alone it leaves the euro and of euro area but that it continues in the UE or that he stays outside of both organizations if this step as if I have not been happened to look that possible repercussions would have to the other European countries because the decision of Greece for example could be a the beginning for the Spain of PODEMOS for example. 

These contemplated possibilities already causes a breakup of the political and of course economic part, with both you will proceed to divide them so that each nation and economy returns to its origins, and try to leave like he can. They were some points of union in form of office of studies and statistic that he observed the evolution of the European countries that voluntarily want everything without any obligation neither dependence of anything for if it is gotten and he/she wants attempt again again, among so much you acted by means of collateral treaties among you tune mainly from the economic side. 

The system of European operation regarding trade and economy will be governed by the world international norms or with multilateral treaties with what won't be necessary to create anything special, they will recover the international frontiers those which and for initiative of multilateral agreements they will be able to survive some of them among the signatories.  

It is excluded naturally and mainly the free movement of capitals, and very probably without a bilateral agreement they won't be been able to implant non national banks in any country. A great discussion exists about the possibility of maintaining well in foot the BCE as observer of the evolution of the national economies and also as point of change and agent of payments between the international economies and that of the European countries. It is necessary to keep in mind that it is not clear that the rest of the economic world accepts of good grade the foreign currencies of the different European countries another time like payment means and financial transactions. 

The possibility to maintain the BCE is problematic because in principle serious primordial condition that this entity is low it guides her of Germany. This way the things the most essential thing is to see what values they are given to the foreign currencies peculiar of the countries up to now members of the euro-group the calculations they can be made because they stay values of change so on the Dollar using the patron dollar he/she gives us these current parities and according to the change euro/dollar of Friday. 

PAIS
DIVISA
PAR/DÓLAR
PIB en $ (mill)
Germany
DM
1,330
  2.806.266.000  
Spain
Ptas.
113,175
  1.438.959.000  
France
FF.
4,461
  2.108.228.000  
Italy
Lir.It.
1316,920
  1.740.123.000  
PIB en Div Propia (mill)
Par €/$
PIB en €
Par Div/€
Germany
             3.732.333.780  
1,365
  2.055.872.527  
          1,815  
Spain
         162.854.184.825  
1,365
  1.054.182.418  
       154,484  
France
             9.404.805.108  
1,365
  1.544.489.377  
          6,089  
Italy
      2.291.602.781.160  
1,365
  1.274.815.385  
    1.797,596  
                                
We have this way an idea of the parity of the main ones you sight European nations, with this accepted, it is simple if the BCE stays that each country goes to this entity and it changes him its Eurus in proportion to the foreign currencies that it puts in circulation by means of its central bank, this way for example, Spain could print 154,484 Ptas. For each euro that entered in the BCE, in definitive the currencies would have two patterns the Dollar AND the Euro is not so complicated in fact those that we have some years have already lived him. 

The serious novelty that a coffee in Spain could cost 185,40 Ptas. Who knows perhaps they would round him at 185 and we would leave winning. 

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