It is necessary to enter as
soon as possible in electoral campaign in Spain because the confusion is
extending I never eat. Is the governability of a nation complicated and is it
clear that it is not within reach of anyone and do I fear myself that this is
what has been happening behind in Spain from times I would say that the
Spaniards have not realized this until Spain has exploded (metaphorically) and
now they do realize that here anything is not Where the industry, the work, the
credit is, the housings, the sanity, the education, the wages, the extra pays,
the paid vacations, etc.? Where all this will have stopped.
This is now the question we
realize that to Spain they have not governed it well because we have passed of
poor to rich and to poor another time, in less than 70 years today I dare to
say that it is after the post-civil war the worst moment in the Spanish society
and now it seems that many Spaniards finally realize that the things in this
country don't go well the question it is serious but I am afraid that the worse
east still to come and my reflection is because of state politics’ change that
approaches, I explain to myself Spain it has been governed these last 70 years
by a dictatorship first and for two tendencies and political parties later, it
is summary for the right the left and the right another time this it is the
sequence.
If we look at this sequence
one he can think that in the face of this regularity the things should have
gone very well you should have instituted a complete and solid country
structure with a good economy, a good industry, a good justice, a good banking,
in short some stable and strong because in fact alone pillars has been
governing two parties and two tendencies, but it has not been this way,
apparently here what has happened is that each one of the tendencies and
parties that have governed have been devoted to destroy the little thing that
the other one had made instead of going growing on the bases that each
government went leaving fact, but not this doesn't go with the Spanish
politicians.
Now everything indicates that
this will get complicated and I becoming distressed am already because what
seems insurance is already that starting from this year there won't be single
two tendencies and two parties to govern Spain but rather at least there will
be three political tendencies and more than 5 or 6 parties to come to an
agreement. I don't know you but to me I worry about this very much because for
that of the rule of three, if two political tendencies have made the disaster
that they have made with this country, imagine that they can make three. And
this not alone I worry about it but rather it begins to worry to the
world.
The advance of Iglesias
postpones the improvement of the 'rating' Spanish. The agency of credit
qualification Moody's estimates that the Spanish economy is "in a
virtuous" circle that has allowed in certain measure the disconnection of
its evolution of that of the group of the Eurozone, although he notices that
the unforeseeable political panorama in the country - in clear allusion to the
ascent of PODEMOS, the party revelation of the Europeans - it supposes a key risk
in 2015, year in which doesn't believe that they will implement additional
reformations due to the different ones convoking electoral.
The examining of risks decided
last week to maintain the long term rating of the sovereign debt of Spain in
Baa2' wiz positive perspective, what reflects the diversity of the Spanish
economy and the competitiveness of their exports at the same time in their
opinion that the moderate perspectives of growth around 2 percent in next
years.
A virtuous circle that has
started a positive evolution of the growth that allows that it has braked the
serious situation of the labor market, the agency it trusts in that this
circumstance serves from support to the private consumption, at the same time
that the homes benefit this year of the discount of the IRPF although I doubt
that this last he stays last the different elections that there is wing
seen.
Moody's considers that the
behavior of the Spanish economy has been dissociated" in certain measure
of the registered one in the group of the area euro. Although it is still
vulnerable to negative tendencies for the growth of their main commercial
partners of the Eurozone, the domestic demand has emerged as the main factor of
growth and we wait that this it is the case for 2015 and 2016, the analysts of
Moody's explain. The agency aims that the rating of Spain would rot it turns
pressed to the rise if one observes an improvement in the trajectory of the
public debt that Moody's calculates that it will end up overcoming 102 percent
of the GDP in 2016.
But will all this good
perspectives leave to the well of the desires as soon as you disassembles the
national political balance that what will pass without a doubt in this country
between the 2015 and the 2016, is and with this I am not asking the Spanish
voter not to look for a change because we have already seen that satisfies now
the things without changing they have represented the stagnation of the country
and her economic and social decadence this the great what a dilemma is we
should make? I don't have it clear at all because the truth is that I don't
trust the politics of the PP, I don't see clear what is making the PSOE and he
scares me a lot the popular and too populist politics to my way of seeing if PODEMOS
and in this case we can see the first steps of Syriza that don't seem to be
very different from what waits for us.