All the bags of
the world are falling boisterously this last month of the year when the most
normal thing is that in these times rising rallies even caused artificially to
square results of funds of investment bills of saving funds of pensions etc.
The fact take place that like it is happening in the IBEX this last week it
suffered the worst weekly fall in the year it denotes that something is about
to happen.
From the purely
economic point of view it is clear that everybody is afraid before the effects
that it will suppose the change of tendency of the costs of the money that is
to say the end of the frozen interests, it is already official of the USA they
will go up the interests it is murmured in a 0,25 points this month end and
with he began a cycle change that nobody tastes like certain science where it
took to the world economies that we don't deceive ourselves they have gotten
used to the cheap money and for consequence to a debt easy to sustain.
This has taken
I get that the economies have relaxed themselves in spite of the epic crisis
that we are living this effect it is still a danger of incalculable effects
because the crisis has not been overcome he has simply spent that it is not the
same thing, I explain to myself the good news has been that the economies you
has overcome with measures
of increase of production of productivity fomenting the consumption reducing
their debts adjusting costs and deficits with the help of productive actions
but it has not been this way, the economies in difficulties that have been
almost all have passed the crisis taking refuge in the low costs of the debt
they have not changed this way enough their productive structures their banks
their costs of administration alone etc. they have clipped the work, the salaries,
they have not created infrastructures, and that if all have increased their alone
debts there is that he looked at Spain that there is her more than copy.
Now the costs
of the debts began to ascend and or betrayal if we had problems when we had a
debt of 400,000 million Eurus in 2008 that it passed now that we have the debt
in 1 trillion Eurus and without having increased the GDP that is to say they
have gotten in debt to pay the crisis, but it doesn't stop to solve the crisis
the concepts they are very different or at least to me he looks like each other
it
Now this
economic situation unites the doubts political that if we look well at all they
have possibly been revolved by blame of the same crisis we have this way the
jumbled Arab world Russia suffering a brutal recession the China that has been
stabilized, Europe that doesn't work, Hispanic America that is changing its
government regimens and that the emergent countries have stopped to float and
they become to collapse. For lack of one week for the general elections, here
in Spain the risk and the load of uncertainties that all electoral appointment
bears are diluted still in the market by an international bear context more preoccupant.
The balance of the last nine sessions in negative that they have experienced
the bags of the Old Continent confirms it: while the EuroStoxx has descended
8,65 percent, in the Ibex they decrease the cuttings until 7,28 percent.
The IBEX and
part of Europe is awaiting what will happen the next one December 20, but,
mainly, it will quote it on Monday 21 in how. The pacts are not discarded, the
coalitions are a possibility and a tripartite government could arrive to the
Moncloa. The elections of the 20-D will reflect the new political panorama that
began to be cultivated after the Europeans of May of 2014 and that you
confirmed later one year in the autonomous ones. The bipartisanship is no
longer the only option of the Spaniards. We can and Citizens are also presented
as candidates to the Moncloa, although the market discards Pablo Churches in
the power the society he has not still said its last word.
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