"The
crisis", Machiavellian word that, it has put in check to the whole UE, and
questioned the belief that you could continue with a monetary union without
evolving toward something much narrower. The Countries current partners of the euro
will have to deepen in their integration until achieving a total and
homogeneous economic and monetary union. Everything aims that "Europe has
gorged of crisis" and that he goes toward an enormous qualitative jump
that is already compared by many with the Treaty of Maastricht that in 1992 he
sat down the bases for the birth of the euro and the approaches to consent to
the Monetary Union.
For what I have read
today and yesterday, the ideas that are managed agree completely with my idea
of what should be the European union, I am convinced that if has been this way
we would not have arrived to "The Crisis" that is destroying us. The
version 2.0 (as some specialists they begin to denominate the rectification of
the treaty of current Maastricht), it could include, according to the theses of
Berlin, from the direct election of a president of the European Commission, to
the creation of a true monetary bottom for the partners of the euro and to
arrive for that road, on-line with the Elíseo, until the emission of Eurobonds
of all the partners' combined debt, possibly also to the creation or transformation
of the BCE in a more even institution to the FED.
Everything it with the
objective of increasing the political genuineness of the Monetary Union, to
shield the financial stability of their components, and to be endowed of
budgetary instruments to compensate the unavoidable macroeconomic imbalances in
the breast of the area euro. The first steps toward that new European Monetary
Union are expected they can be approved in the summit of final of June, when it
could be made a pact the method and work calendar.
But any advance in
this sense, it will be subordinated to a narrow and centralized control of the
national, such budgets and like the German chancellor wants and like it
supported on Saturday Mariano Rajoy. Berlin wants to guarantee for law, a veto
right about certain budgetary decisions that now they are considered exclusive
competition of the national Parliaments, and it is conscious that the change
will require a negotiation at the highest level.
The challenge of
Merkel could scare in France, country that rejected in 2005 in referendum the
first intent of giving the jump toward a European Constitution. The current
president, François Hollande, defended the then yes. But in their Cabinet today
they are some of the most prominent leaders in the no to the European
Constitution, as the minister of External, Laurent Fabius.
The step toward the
economic and monetary federation includes many other obstacles. Among them, the
creation of a true Bank" "Union to avoid that the possible
deterioration of the financial sector, threaten the solvency of some Countries
that they no longer have a central bank characteristic with executive capacity
to defend. That bank union, marked as priority in the informal European summit
of the past May 23, it would happen, among other things, for the creation of a
unique financial supervisor, a European bottom of guarantee of deposits and a
European mechanism of liquidation of insolvent entities.
This same Wednesday,
the CE has foreseen to approve the project for that mechanism, but its entrance
in vigor it seems still distant. Anyway, Brussels already recognizes that alone
there is an alternative to these advances, alternative to which seems to give
up definitively, since would consist on the disintegration of the euro. In all
ways I don't want to sing the hymn to the happiness, as sign of total and almost
definitive europeísmo, he plays us to suffer and to suffer 20 days that are
fancied very long and with more curved and differences that a Russian mountain
of fair.
The question is if all
the countries of the euro group are already, convinced and resolved, to say it
is already enough to the chaotic political situation with which manage
ourselves, and that in definitive it is the causing one main of the economic
crisis, the absence of a common politics has deepened to unsuspected abysses
the economies of each country, and he doesn't survive neither Germany, although
its position of force maintains it outside of the chaos it is very possible
that no longer has more remedy than to arrive to a balance point between its
national interests and those of the European Union. Always memory when making
this comparison that was Germany the instigator of this project because in
their moment he already saw that alone it could not continue growing.
The doubt that presses
me now, is that the attitude of hardness of which has made Gallic the
chancellor Merkel that we don't deceive ourselves has crawled to the deepest
crisis to the economies of many countries, have created a sense of mistrust and
rejection to the solution of the created problem, this dilemma is right now for
me the possible Gordian knot that it is necessary to cut. Greece accepted a new
European constitution that ties it more, and France, will have enough protagonist
to satisfy its "Grandeur" they are examples to illustrate the
difficulties with which it can be the possible new European treaty.
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