RAJOY ARRIVES LATE AND BAD

A scenario it carries to an extreme graveness for the Spanish economy until at least, 2014. That is the presage of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that has just made public their new forecasts, in the widespread discount of the general economic expectations and especially those of the euro area, Spain is taken the worst part, with a serious recession that the IMF extends at 2012 (-1,7%) and 2013 (-0,3%). AND in that scenario, he gives for fact that the Government Spanish it won't complete the objective of conventional public deficit with Brussels. 

The bill is very easy and bad him in spite of Rajoy and De Guindos, better it would be that they exposed it clearly before the European authorities before these they put them red before three months. Look at you, Rajoy and their economic cabinet I calculate the objectives for the 2012, in locating the deficit of Spain in 4,4% this percentage leave starting from the supposed deviation figure foreseen for final of the 2011 of 6%, I believe that this figure Rajoy and his had bought it ahead of time, because if not, as explaining that between the first and the second council of Ministers, without there is necessity and without nobody demands him to him, the cuttings and increase of taxes were already presented quantified to arrive at the 4,4 magic. 

Now following the evolution of the reality is that at the 4,4 it is necessary to add him two more points, because the deviation of 2011 has not been of 6% if not of 8% so in coincidence with what tells the IMF the deficit to final of the 2012 will be of 6,4% as minimum, (IMF gives 6,8) this supposing that the government from Spain, it can absorb the recession of 1,5% that is predicted, because of not making it the deficit at the end of 2012 he would rise again to 8%, since the deviation figure would be compared with a lower GDP, concretely 1,5 inferior% to that of 2011 this is this way without any discussion. 

So review the numbers another time to the 16,000 first millions of reduction if I don't remember bad, we will add other 20000 millions more it doesn't stop to reduce deficit if it doesn't stop to absorb the fall of the GDP to stay at the same time, that is to say with a deficit of the 7,5 or 8%. This is impossible to vary in a country in that there is not possibility some of reacting to the rise this year and with these perspectives neither in 2013, with the bolted unemployment and the most important companies working and making business outside of Spain, this doesn't fix it neither God. In Spain Mr. Rajoy lament to have to repeat it an and another time has more than enough 7 million inhabitants and not young of course, I don't know how he gets ready that, but they have to fix it or they won't be able to reduce but the deficit rather to enlarge it or to get ready for the most violent social revolts that it can suppose. 

Because to all that the current unemployment but the future that comes, arrived to the 5,5 million workers, this way for the low thing this already represents an alone cost in direct grants of about 52 thousand million Eurus, this is loaded the box of the social security, the pensions, the IVA, the IRPF, and to its whole government they don't come it or they don't want to see it, you cannot continue making of fair magicians hiding the pellet among tumblers of it cracked of coconut it is necessary to confront the reality and to become trained it such and like it is to the European Union. 

Mr. Rajoy to Greece can allow it to fall to Spain not. Good unless Spain outlines to be allowed to fall, after all you in its first trip to the exterior as president, slip Morocco of which said that it was a mirror where to look at you the other nations of the Maghreb, undoubtedly that said it before the intent of 5 university graduates' immolation without future possibilities, go the same as here. 

Please you return of the Moor if it is that you is there, and look at you the numbers because it is that they don't give a, you don't go you that just as the things are you the only thing that can make is to pray and to request help to Europe, both sew at the same time with an alone one it won't be enough, you look at Mr. Rajoy and Mr. De Guindos it is that neither they can undertake the bank readjustment that they seek, it is that they have to leave the things like they are, it is that they have that to give employment to but of 3 millions of unemployed of the 5.5 that will be already in the second trimester of this year, they don't understand it they don't add more firewood to the fire, anything that they want to readjust, any increase of taxes that you are gone by the head, represented more unemployment and less collection for the state, that is to say they will get just the opposite of what they seek. 

Alone there is a solution within their reach, and for what seems their minister they go on the other hand that is to say on the contrary, I don't know if they continue their you magnify you order or they make it thinking them alone, but be like be they go the setback, you look at Mr. Rajoy Spain he has to sell everything, to the price that is it is the only way, to have if he understands it, we are ruined and they will condemn us and above we will have to pay the debt that is us, go as an excluded social normal, of those that the bank removes him the house for not being able to pay the mortgage. It is necessary to catch the jewels that we have left, the skins, the cars, the grandfather's clock, everything absolutely everything and to sell it. 

But not, you move away the offer of sale of the airports of Madrid of cards and the Barcelona because it is not opportune moment, it moves away the privatization of Lotteries of the State, they don't want to privatize any marine port, they don't really privatize the RENFE, neither ADIF, neither the AVE, not one doesn't want to deepen more in the wound, but this it is the Spain that you sowed although other I work it, but you wanted to wait alone to pick up the fruits, and they didn't want to begin to clean of bad you boil the field and now here have it, but I dry off that an esparto field, and now that like he said at the beginning they have arrived late and not well very bad.