Everybody coincides all they know and they know the situation and the
problems. The perspectives for the world economy in 2012 are clear, but they
are not favorable: recession in Europe, anemic growth in the best in the cases
in United States, and an abrupt deceleration in China and in most of the
emergent economies.
The Asian economies are exposed to China. Latin America is exposed to
smaller prices of matters cousins (as China and the advanced economies you des accelerations)
there is also a tremendous drought in the south cone what affected to the
cultivation of cereals. Central Europe and oriental are exposed to the euro zone.
And the turbulences in the Middle East are causing serious economic risks - so
much there as in other parts - as it continues high the geopolitical risk and,
therefore, the prices of the petroleum can that they limit the global
growth.
There is no doubt that there will be recession in the euro zone.
Although it is not possible to predict their depth and duration, neither if it
will be general and with the same intensity in all their extension, my opinion
is that there will be different recessions, the constant contraction of the
credit, the problems of sovereign debt, the lack of competitiveness and the
fiscal austerity imply all a serious one and in some places deep economic
contraction.
United States that grows at a snail's pace from 2010 faces considerable
risks to the drop due to the crisis of the euro zone. It should also fight with
significant fiscal ballast, for that reason the new saving measures in expenses
of defense that has opted to apply Obama are indispensable, the political
stagnation that has already begun in view of the 11 months of elections that
he/she has the country will block all new initiative to longer term
Meanwhile, they are more and more obvious the flaws in the pattern of
growth of China. The fall of the real estate prices is detonating a reaction in
chain that will have a negative effect in the construction companies, the
investment and the government's revenues. But with everything I don't believe
that Chinese suffers if she will make it the international financial world
because he is put in all that smells of expansible bubble.
The situation in Africa and everybody Islamic it is of a such complexity
that cannot be more than with the luck, so that they get ready the things and
it can leave the economic atony that they suffer these regions gives you
immemorial times, the petrodollars don't change the whole complex Islamic, but
rather alone world they unbalance it more and more the social and tribal fights
and nuns confuse the real objectives of the society and they maintain it
anchored in kind of a similar dark age to the western medieval time.
As he said in the heading All we know what happens, but the reality is
that nobody can put order and remedy to all that we know that it happens.
Curious paradox but simple very simple of understanding, the knowledge of the
situation is thing of the globalization, the problems are caused by the globalization,
but however the globalization is not prepared for globalized the solutions,
because the solutions are not global, as well as neither they are it the
politicians, the beliefs, and the societies.
Already days ago in my comments I demand the retreat of the theory of
the globalization that is destroying the world, but it is a similar case to the
contamination all we know that we contaminate and that it is bad for all, but
who he wants to do without of her, but this is an error, the globalization he
has an effect contrary to which is supposed, the globalization it doesn't
balance neither societies, neither economies, neither political, neither
resources, but just the opposite.
The globalization what globalize is the speculation, and it makes worse
the social, and economic imbalances in the world, it is necessary to disable
the idea of the globalization and to change it for the cooperation, that is to
say it is necessary to give to each society the possibility to supplement him
in what is necessary him to prosper in its future and in its economy, and not
to force him to apply what was them well in its day to some few ones, under
some circumstances that are not to repeat in other atmospheres and
circumstances, this performance practice is very from the USA that they believe
always that everybody should be as them, to practice its system of life, to
follow the rules of its economy, and until they should speak in English.
I believe that the USA took in its moment the idea that as them they knew
all that passed in the world, they were the suitable ones in unifying and globalized
the world to its image and likeness and they rushed to it, the consequences
will be brutal if we didn't stop this aberrant politics suddenly, and
characteristic of a country and some specialists and political that are single
preparations to understand to the USA but that centuries they still lack them
to understand what is the world and its disparity minimally.
The global situation of the world that is indispensable that we have to
solve it as soon as possible, we have to solve it even solving each one their
own imbalances that have been caused by the application of a false and mistaken
theory, for those that benefit them in principle, and that today like to all it
is ruining them and making go back or it is not this way Mr. Obama.
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