I arrive the hour, “la
suerte está echada” “rien ne va plus”
“Die Würfel sind gefallen” “Il dado è tratto”.
There is no longer returned the uncertainty behind he ends, now it is
necessary to wait to see what it spends in alone two or three weeks, we will
see if Greece leaves the euro, if it breaks the monetary unit, and let us wait
to see what it passes with the political disunion, (this it doesn't break
because it has never been united), the thing this in seeing if continuous the
idea of the UE or each one leaves for its side.
The Union Europe has four pillars basically in those that to lean on and
frankly I don't see them very sure we will see these pillars they are: Germany,
France, Italy, and Spain. Among the four 256.960,785 inhabitants add that is to
say on the 440.159,005 inhabitants from Europe (without United Kingdom that has
never been for me neither it will be European) they represent 58% and regarding
the economic power, in these four countries he/she concentrates 52,2% of the
nominal GDP of the union. Well if like he said God: On this stone I will lift
my Church, the European union should tell the same envelope these stones I will lift my union.
The bad thing is that these stones are at this time crucial of gritty
fine and they come undone, as sugar in the coffee, when they press them a
little, anything a little bit anything but, Germany doesn't harmonize with none
of the other ones three its mood, position and history impedes it to him.
France neither can with the other ones three, mainly with Germany to the one
that fears and he envies at the same time, with Italy it can work, and with Spain
for them continues being more near Africa than of Europe, expensive that Spain
makes an effort a lot so that this seems this way. Good Italy is not the one that falls but bad,
it was German fifty-fifty when the a half Europa it was under Nazism, French when
Napoleon, good because that, some everything, I would say that he knows how
waters to be between two but it is not enough to lead anything. And finally
Spain, is in this quartet anything, neither it considers it to him for its
neighbors, neither for its friends, neither for its enemies, Spain cannot make
absolutely anything, it is more if something can make, it is the whole lattice
that could be in foot after they have just collapsed more than probable
desertion of Greece.
And here they have you the truth and with this it would be necessary to
count to make decisions me frankly not you so that the presidents of the
mentioned states meet if all and each one thinks that the blame is of the other
one and they acted this way like a pot of crickets, alone that this time they
have the expiatory male goat Greece. This circumstance surprisingly could save the
European Union Greece he could make of reflective mirror where to look at you
all the other ones and to see the light, and to see that if we continue we go
this way one after another behind Greece and good to decide that one wants to
make.
I take a risk to give a presage, Greece was located clearly in position
of having to abandon the euro and the European union, in next weeks to more to
take, when the IMF and its inspectors certify that the Greek situation this
worse one instead of going to better, this will be known before the day 20. And
the “Merkozy” will have to solve once and for all in the summit of month end,
you finishes the time for the hesitations and uncertainties of deciding what to
make, they will have to take the pertinent decisions, to catch the debt for the
horns and to assume it for all those affected and to combine it, or to undo the
European Union and the Euro, at the end believes that the solution will be
mixed the debt became unified and Greece will be remote of the euro group.
Alone one will be able to this way to begin to plan the exit by means of the reactivation
of the area euro that is the last step that is if there is you really win of
continuing.
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