Greece has
put the horse of Troya again inside the UE he made it years ago when it was
strained in her and in the euro and he is again in the eye of the hurricane.
While it is debated if the Hellenic country needs a new rescue or even if he
needs to restructure its debt again, the Greek bag has fallen today 7,35% again
while the price of the Greek funds collapses. This history is old, something
that one already lived in 2009, but for other people's but interested comments
I believe that this time the trap is really much more dangerous.
The
financial portal Bloomberg publishes that; Ireland, Portugal, Spain or Italy seems
immune to the odyssey that Greece is living. Good example of it is it the
reaction from the Irish voucher to 10 years whose profitability falls in
today's day -1,65%. while those of Spain or Portugal are seeing small
increments of its profitability, practically insignificant that Bloomberg will
say to the Anglo-Saxon markets it doesn't interest them that it goes a long way
the panic but the reality is that the panic this here.
In their
opinion he affirms that the Euro area in general and the peripherals in
particular are under better conditions those five years ago: reformations have
been attacked, they have decreased the deficits, the banking is better and the
BCE already appears as guarantor of the system. For it, a Greek crisis 2.0
should affect countries like Spain less. Oh with Bloomberg if this is this way
because so much Greece scares, we are I eat at the beginning, the Greek debt
was ridiculous the UE concretely the euro area, it could have absorbed it but
the selfish persons markets he didn't give them the desire, and that problem of
hardly 3% of the GDP European today can put in danger the whole economy of the
euro.
The
infection risk to other countries of the area euro is total, of there the
movement and the restlessness that he comes off in the taking of the correct
decision that if to lengthen the end of the rescue that to carry out other this
it is as always the reality the euro area he doesn't know what to make or what
is worse cannot make what the economic logic advises that it is not another
thing that to kill the Greek debt and to restructure the whole outlying debt,
don't fit them doubt Mrs. of Bloomberg, that if one doesn't make this the
contamination he will extend again with more virulence because today I remind
them that the outlying debts have not decreased,
The debt of
Spain has arrived to 100% of its GDP when in the algid moments of the salvage
of Greece it was hardly of 80% and that of Italy already neither I count them
and it is not worth the fact that is decreasing the deficits this doesn't pay
the debts, but just the opposite the countries get in debt but to correct the
deficit, because the situation of so many cuttings makes fall the GDP or at
least they stagnate them with what you/they appeal to the debt to cover the defaces
between revenues and expenses the governments they cannot make another thing
because the economies are most in deflation.
And also
today to the risk of economic infection the politician is added according to
Bloomberg the BCE he will begin to buy public debt very soon. This decision can
help to cut of root the problems that Greece is living these days. But what
Bloomberg doesn't say is that Germany says that there is not purchase of outlying
debts, and Bloomberg he doesn't find out anything the UE it is in process of
change of political and it will pass more or less of the politicians old and
conservative, to those but of extreme left this way this Syriza in Greece; PODEMOS
in Spain; the decontrol in Italy and the fall in dive of Hollande in France
that they make wait a total earthquake while this doesn't clear up the BCE it
will be captive of Germany and he will wait to see what it happens.
And it is that the euro has survived a debt crisis,
but now he also faces other problems that can be similar of dangerous. The
great challenge of Europe next year won't be alone economic, but rather it will
be political: the peak of parties radicals as Syriza in Greece or PODEMOS in
Spain they are presented as the big challenges of the euro zone for 2015 and if
these parties are imposed in the respective general elections forgets to charge
all the existent debts in the euro area.
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