The agency of
qualification of Standard risk & Poor's (S&P) it considers that the
imbalances inside the area of the euro are "significant", in spite of
the fact that in the last five years a macroeconomic adjustment has taken
place. Adjust that it has not been good for nothing else that to increase the
imbalances quantitatively although has masqueraded in its percentages.
S&P points
out in a report that Spain, Italy, Greece and Portugal, the four bigger
external "debtors of the area of the euro", they will owe 1,85 billion
Eurus to non residents of the area of the euro at the end of this year, in
comparison with the 875.000 millions of ago ten year-old Eurus, are speaking of
almost a trillion but this is an increment impossible to sustain, because the
GDP of these countries this immobile one or tendentious to the drop.
But not alone
they are the macro figures what it is necessary to see but the concepts of the
same ones and we can see this way that the adults "worthy of the area of
the euro", Germany, Holland and Belgium, they will have a position of
"active external net" of 2,36 billion Eurus this year, very above the
343.000 million Eurus in 2004. That is to say these countries almost have
duplicated their assets with relationship to the debts of the previous
ones.
The outlying
countries of the area of the euro have considerable foreign debts, while the
countries of the center are in a strong accrediting position, according to
S&P. this explains that while half Europa works industrially and
commercially with the world, the other half doesn't work at all. And it is for
that reason that the big companies and the big Spanish banks as example,
leaving to make business outside of their territory, because in him, there is
not economic activity some, with these figures, almost we could say that europa
mediates he could buy to the alone other stocking paying its foreign debt.
They
understand now because my insistence in the fact that the euro area cannot
stay, it is more, as my readers they know, my theory is that it is not
sustainable the UE to the complete one. It is impossible that Spain Portugal
Italy and Greece can be liberated of the debts that have with their creditors
and to the inverse one, it is impossible that these creditors charge these
debts at some time, for that reason it is impossible to continue with this
economic mark, where both at the end will come out losing, the situation is a
diabolical hairspring that doesn't have end and he doesn't have it, for the
imbalance productive, half europa it produces consumption goods with important
added value and the alone other stocking offers services, sun and flies, that
hard and clear.
The European
Union is a total economic and political failure, I don't know in what order it
should place these concepts, but that that yes it is clear, it is that the UE
doesn't work neither politics neither economically. And the worst thing is that
I have serious doubts that to these heights and with these exposed figures one
can think of a social and industrial economic development, neither on the
whole, neither already for separate, of the European Union, and the more take
in understanding it more debt and but imbalance will have. The thing finished
bad I said it ago I believe two days, the 2015 have many possibilities to be
the final year of the European dream, let us hope it is not also that of the democracy
in europa.
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