domingo, 14 de diciembre de 2014

THE LAW OF AUTONOMOUS FINANCING AND THE LONER'S GAME



Mariano Rajoy has opened the debate on becoming of those more than 80.000 million of debt of the autonomous communities with the State, in the breast of the Commission of Economic Matters that he informs directly to the Council of Secretaries for the adoption of decisions. 

The enormous stanchion owed by the autonomies continues growing to a very high rhythm that is about 15% in the last two years. Before this scenario, the minister that compose the economic commission, already consider the possible one it removes, condonation or reduction of the debt, relate this Sunday "The Vanguard". The plans are already studying in relation to the debt accumulated, like to the future one that leaves generating. 

In the first case, the minister of Economy Luis De Guindos assured in October that the autonomous debt was already assuming for the State "in the practice". That yes, with the shade that it didn't contemplate a condonation since this measure it would imply that the debt was transferred to the state deficit, what would raise the immediate rejection of the European Union that doesn't cease of requesting more efforts in the reduction of the same one.   

The funds of the State are already in the practice assuming a debt that continues in escalade, and that it is even deriving in supplies of state liquidity so that the regions can make in front of the most urgent payments. This explanation is absurd it is the same as to be made traps in the loner. The debt of the CCAA is the Spanish government's debt that transfers to the mentioned autonomies, leaving separated the one that some of them waste in splendid works or waste of political corruption the reality it is that no CCAA is autonomous fiscally I relent except the Basque and Navarre Country.    

The question that I want to mean with this I articulate that a thing is the control of the expense and other the possibility to make in front of this expense, on the part of some CCAA mainly Catalonia that has assumed many services and functions of public order. Although the Government's member has admitted it openly, it is assumed that those more than 80.000 million owing Eurus are already irretrievable for the inability of the autonomies of making in front of his refund, in spite of the cuttings attacked in the last three years. 

The case resembles each other to that of the debt acquired by Greece, on which to assume a future refund is highly unlikely. To make in front of the current debt and the one that will be generated in the future, the Government studies two mechanisms: the emissions through the Treasure, or the exit of the own autonomies to the markets to look for their own financing, although with more requirements of those specified in previous experiences   

Last Thursday you begin the discussion in the Commission of Economic Matters. After that debate, he remembered a new meeting for next days, in this week, in which one waits that the president Mariano Rajoy makes a final decision. The commission is the Government's organ that he prepares the topics of economic nature that are discussed in the Council of Secretaries. 

Montoro has already come making declarations in the line of considering that debt like of the State. In an interview in "The Vanguard" last month of October it pointed out that "in the practice this debt is already being her to him the State", we are mutualizing it, he is becoming debt of the whole State, you cannot condone because Brussels would force to transfer that condonation to the deficit. It is not, however, this end the only front that worries the Government. The governments of the autonomies that have not been welcomed the FLA, headed by the Community of Madrid; head the opposition to a possible condonation of the debt of the other autonomies. 

The bottom of the debate in the Government is that the funds of the State are assuming an autonomous debt that at great speed grows and they no longer cover only the expirations with the foreign creditors; they are also giving them liquidity for their more urgent payments, even when they have already overcome the fixed deficit limits. It is it that the Catalan conceller, Andreu Mas-Colell, it qualifies as "deficit in the shade", superior to the theoretically fixed, but covered with transfers of the State, what avoids the financial collapse of the communities with more financial problems. 

An implicit recognition that the autonomous adjustments have arrived to the limit and that communities like Catalonia are not well financed, with the current conquered model and without perspectives of one new in the next horizon, in fact, the rhythm of increase of the autonomous debt continues being very high, installed in the last two years around 15%, in spite of the five pesetas applied adjustments. Partly, like it points out Mas-Colell, because the autonomies assume a third part of the whole public expense, but they are only entitled to a sixth part of the deficit of all the public administrations.    

Although any responsible for the Administration of the State recognizes it openly, the reality is that that debt has become in irretrievable. Do next sources to the central Government speak however, ironically that "if it is thought of cases like Greece, somebody believes that he will request the repay of their debt“, is an assumption of facto of the payment inability. Regarding Spain the enormous debt of the CCAA owes herself basically to that the central state has used them as external fiscal elements and it has used them as corrective factor of the deficit of the Spanish state. 

I repeat that this is not obstacle so that the state fixes a new in agreement financing with the reality of services costs, and contributions that the country properties of each CCAA support and they make to the Spanish state, but incomprehensibly the current government doesn't want to change the system of the coffee for all that it is the established one, when now when lapsing of the times in some communities there is not coffee, and others should assume the coffee and the milk, everything seems that is to say to indicate that the problem has it the Government in its own house in the PP, from where they don't accept to change the system because this would take to many CCAA to even have to think about to disappear.     

And it is very curious to see as Catalonia that is the community that more money owes in absolute figures to the funds of the State, about 32.600 millions, it is the one that is responsible for including the security, and it is also the second CCAA in contribution to the public treasure, the third debtor is Andalusia that is immerse in the scandals of the ERE and is the  more populated autonomy and not governed by the PP, and is Valencia, the one that heads the ranking in proportion to the size of her economy, near 20.000 millions. These communities concentrate more than 80% of the resources of the FLA. 

In definitive we are in the customary thing the Kingdom of Spain he chose a form of autonomous state, to please all of entrance he made them to all equals and I mount a financing system for all, (always leaving separated to Basque and Navarre) today already lapsed more than 35 years the things they are not like they began, but this the government doesn't interest him to see it, because surprisingly the communities tune the PP these if they continue being the same as at the beginning, that if, with a general crisis that apparently and surprisingly it doesn't rebound them, curious truth.  

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