Everybody
economic and politician is pending of what Greece will propose I frankly don't
find me well the attitude and the address that the government from Greece has
taken in this respect, I don't find neither appropriate neither educated, I
believe that a government that has under his designs to more than 10 million
beings it cannot lose of view that no matter how much it has won some elections
it is not neither owner of the country by no means of the society of the same
one.
I can
understand that most of the society of Greece this weary one and I understand
it because I am Spanish and above Catalan with what I suffer the Spanish
recession and the Spanish pressure double on my native of Catalonia to want to
be independent says it because he didn't want that it seems that my psychic
situation is of joy and well to be and therefore maybe would disable me to
criticize the Greek government's action.
During last
week the Greek government reminded us three things: the first one is that they
will take charge that the crisis of the Eurozone doesn't end up until part of
its debt has been condoned or that Germany pays it with its reclamation of
damages for the II world war. The second this debt is untenable and unpayable
for what will have to finish investigating her sooner or later. The third are
that, sometimes, they happen accidents, and according to them of all the
foregone accidents, the most catastrophic would be, without a doubt, the call
"Grexit" or the exit of Greece of the Eurozone.
In Germany
on the contrary prevails the opinion that the exit of Greece would not be a
calamity for the country, it would cause a small shock for the Eurozone and it
would be something no transcendent for the global economy? The editorials of
the press invite the chancellor Merkel to not giving in the face of the
blackmail. Even Sigmar Gabriel, vice-chancellor and minister of Economy, assure
that the consequences of the "Grexit" can control. In my opinion
Germany is right the economic world knows that Greece cannot make in front of
its debt and today the Greek debt it is practically in hands of worthy of the
UE (banks central countries and BCE).
But I
believe to guess that the Greek government looks for another purpose that not
alone it is purely financial and he thinks that if it plays strong the UE will
give fearing the effects that could cause in the world economies and vice
versa, that is to say that the world economies would lose the trust in the euro
if this he abandons Greece to its luck. I believe sincerely that the Greek
government makes a mistake totally. In fact, I am convinced that the
consequences if Greece continues taking a risk in looking a security in its
capacity to unbalance the UE and the euro it is a suicide. Maybe calculated to
blackmail the UE or to be liberated of the democratic rigidity of the
prevailing politicians in the UE.
Greece
doesn't count that its bounces has two effects: one certainly worries the
members of the UE and especially to the partners of the area euro. But at the
same time they cause a general uneasiness to those that could help because it
puts them in a position of it turns blackmailed and this doesn't like anybody
and stiller if they are bigger than you. The possible fact that they could
leave harmed they won't like them and the Eurozone at all. Greece today doesn't
seem to understand the complex situation that would be generated with an unpaid
of its debt and the exit of the euro.
Alone they
want to see that the problem is on the contrary, because the truth is that the
Greek rulers should think How more we have to lose?, is the bad thing that they
are not asked the What a question he/she has to lose the UE?, do I already
respond them, anything absolutely, is the same as you gentlemen minister and
president from Greece its money its debt has already lost it, and do they know
it more than enough. The alone UE has to assure to the economic world that 3%
of its GDP doesn't alter its bills neither its economy at all and frankly with
a plan of injecting 60,000 million Eurus a month demonstrates it easily.
My readers
know that I am of those that say that the euro area would rot and maybe he
should have made it some years ago absorb the Greek debt in a proportion that
stops Greece under conditions to make in front of the resulting balance as
he/she said yesterday it is impossible for any country to confront a debt that
means 180% of its GDP but this doesn't happen and here we have the consequences
some consequences that single today I value them at political level. An exit of
Greece would suppose that the country would be outside of the Eurozone but it
would continue belonging to the UE. Could the UE have the unconditional support
from Greece to the sanctions to Russia? To give an example.
The exit of
the euro for a posture of force not well expert on the part of Greece could be
difficult for her economy, although the result would depend of how it was
carried out. Of the diverse bad outcomes, certainly the worst is to continue
applying political that don't work and that they don't have the back of the
Greek citizens. And this is to understand it because of this it is guilty the
own area euro those that closed the eyes so that enters to be part of the euro
with what this means, they are those that now they should study if the culture
and the idiosyncrasy of the Greek society would be able to rectify if leaves
again.
The best
outcome reaffirms myself it would be the reduction of the debt together with the
change from a fiscal surplus to a neuter budget at level fiscal and more
reformations to take a short cut the corruption and the escape of taxes, but
this doesn't fit doubt it is to continue intervening and watching over to the
country and its economy sews that it seems that the new rulers don't like it. I
believe that it is worthwhile to try to get this before to resign to that
Greece leaves the euro.
But what
cannot be consented from the UE and the euro area is that Greece begins direct
negotiations between Greece and its creditors, or that he plays with coming
closer to Russia and eye I say that it plays, if they believe that it is its
solution to change the UE for Russia it is its responsibility
No hay comentarios:
Publicar un comentario